Politics

Obama Ready To Run - But Is The US Ready For Him?

port1080.

Posted to Politics on Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 01:37:37 PM EST (promoted by 1fastdog). RSS.

U.S. Senator Barack Obama launched his presidential campaign with a Tuesday announcement that he would create an exploratory committee before starting serious activities next month.

Obama is not the first African-American to run for President (Jesse Jackson made the most serious previous runs in 1984 and 1988, although he lost in the primaries both times), but his campaign seems to have a different tone than early attempts by African-American politicians. Early analysis suggests that Obama has a race-neutral appeal which may be able to transcend American's notorious inability to elect anyone other than white Protestant males to the nation's top position (with one notable exception).

Although Obama is politically inexperienced, having served less than one full term in the Senate, and relatively young (45 years old), he is attempting to turn that to his advantage, by casting himself as a reform-minded political outsider. Ivy-League educated and the son of a Kenyan economist, Obama is much more a mainstream candidate than former African-American protest candidates, such as Al Sharpton or the aforementioned Rev. Jackson. He also has other advantages over the rest of the field - unlike Hillary Clinton, he opposed the Iraq War from the start, and unlike Joe Biden, John Kerry, John Edwards, and Al Gore he has not already run and lost. Those reasons aside, he has far more national name recognition than the other currently declared candidates, and is still reaping dividends from his speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention.

Questions remain about Obama's candidacy, however. He faces a strong field of contenders in the Democratic primary, and may have trouble distinguishing himself from a reform minded / outsider Republican candidate (should someone like Rudy Giuliani win the Republican nomination). The ultimate question may be a simple one, however: Is America ready for an African-American president?

Tags: written by port1080, edited by 1fastdog, Barack Obama, primaries, democrat, politics, race, African-American, nomination (all tags)

This story: 32 comments (12 from subqueue)
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7

A cheap way

Steve Urkel.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 03:49:23 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

I won't be voting for Obama. Were Obama white, I wouldn't be voting for him either. Can you say the same thing?  

I doubt it, because if he were white, he would be percieved at most a sort of less qualified version of John Edwards. So why all the hype? Because supporting Obama is a way for leftists to flaunt what they consider to be their moral superiority when it comes to racial matters, and unlike actually living among blacks or sending their children to school with blacks or starting a business that employs blacks, a cheap way.

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Re: A cheap way

MayorBob.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 04:08:42 PM EST

5.00 (interesting)

I'll be honest here and say I don't know if I'd vote for him, all things being equal among the candidates.  But then, he shares that distinction with any number of other candidates, announced and otherwise, right now.  Is anyone ready to vote for or against Tom Vilsack at this point?  Would anyone vote for or against Bill Richardson, given what we do or don't know about him.

In other words, I'm willing to give Obama and Biden and Giuliani and Vilsack and Richardson and you name it among the possibilities the time to show their stuff and articulate their vision for the country before I'll vote for anyone.  As one of the few registered Republicans on TnT and a Vietnam Vet, you might think I'd be favoring John McCain.  You'd think wrong.  I wrote in McCain's name in 2000 but that was when it was the repugnant choice of Bush versus Gore.  McCain has not grown in stature with me over time because, other than campaign finance reform, I find it hard to hear his message without feeling the need to take some steel wool into the shower and scrub the crap away.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

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^ 8

Re: A cheap way

Steve Urkel.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 04:49:44 PM EST

none

If we had betting on politics and I was the sort who bet on politcs (I'm not, and I never would, because it's boring)  I'd take long odds on Vilsack (or Ballsack, as I call him (see, I do it to everyone?)) upsetting the field.

 

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Kucinich or bust!

Acefantastik.

Sat Jan 20, 2007 at 10:40:30 AM EST

4.00 (funny)

I've got some good Kucinich smack, but I've got to address that move likely pushed ahead by the buzz surrounding Barry Obama-- Senator Hillary Rodhan Clinton's released an indecipherable video that as analyzed, seems to announce a Presidential bid. What do you think of this, by the way? Meanwhile, Governor Bill Richardson (D-New Mexico) is also running for president, running as one of those hip new tough guy Western Democrats (whose ranks include a woman, Janet Napolitano), and Governor Richardson also happens to be part Hispanic-- possibly the sexiest new voting bloc since women got the vote. (And by "sexy", I mean election tipping) And if you have the time, please remind MSNBC that Dennis Kucinich is on the warpath for peace. This prognosticator anticipates that Mr. Kucinich's strategy is a media assault on the Daily Show and MySpace generation, designed to pick off delegates and get some good language in the party platform. However, my inside connection at the Kucinich headquarters tells me that Dennis will have the last laugh: Due to as-yet-unnaounced scandals and gay sexings by all the other candidates, Kucinich will inexplicably get the Democratic nomination, and name Al Gore his running mate, The (presumed) McCain-Romney ticket will implode during the GOP convention, and Michael Bloomberg will then jump into the race as an Independent, and he'll either pick Clint Eastwood or Joe Lieberman as his VP. Due to massive vote splitting, Kucinich-Gore wins California, New York, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Washington, Oregon, Minnesota, Wisconson, Illinois, and Maryland. This would leave Kucinich with about 208 electoral votes, not enough to win a majority but hopefully ahead of the other two--it figures that the GOP will take the deep south and Texas no matter what, but the midwest and west are up for grabs by the right independent. In a split vote, the House of Representatives decides the presidency, and therefore, General Secretary Speaker Pelosi would be sure to install Kucinich. It can happen. Oh, and I've given a friend 7 Points and the Colts on Sunday. I think the Pats cover.

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Must be good stuff

Lou.

Sat Jan 20, 2007 at 11:43:14 AM EST

5.00 (funny)

I've got some good Kucinich smack

It must be good...I'm getting a contact high.

Yeah man!  Kucinich 2008: It could happen!

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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^ 26

Re: Kucinich or bust!

Steve Urkel.

Sat Jan 20, 2007 at 01:23:53 PM EST

none

I have a hard beliving Clinton's operatives are leaking to Insight, but you never know. But they will have to stick the knife in all her opponents, and democrats overlook how unscrupulous the Clintionoids are when it comes to the researching/smearing of opponents/enemies/ex-girlfriends/witnesses.

That's a fascinating Kucinich scenario. Have you thought about getting a show - on public acess cable? I'm convinced Americans would never vote for a vegetarian, but you never know.

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Re: Kucinich or bust!

coquito.

Sat Jan 20, 2007 at 03:31:19 PM EST

none

What do you think of this, by the way?

I think it smacks of the same hysterical mud-slinging (for lack of a better term) as the QL I posted on Obama being a smoker. I mean, really, people worry about this stuff?

I'm actually not sure though who looks worse here, Insight or "Hillary's camp." For now, I just think Insight is being ridiculous and inflammatory. But if I come to believe that Hillary's people really are the ones spreading this, then there's simply zero chance in hell I'd vote for her. Even if she does win the nomination.

Now with caps!

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Re: A cheap way

coquito.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 04:23:51 PM EST

none

You're absolutely right, you've called me out. (Despite the fact that I'm not white, I'm an educated, middle class, liberal American and 99% of my friends are white, so I'm close enough).

But seriously, I may vote for Obama. Certainly if he were the Dem candidate (and no good Repub candidate were chosen, and I don't see a good one yet) I would. So far, he sounds like an intelligent, considerate candidate and I approve of his stated ideals of moving away from partisan politics, which he states more sincerely, imo, than any other candidate recently.

Would I vote for him over the other Dem candidates running? Let's run down the list, and I'll give short answers:
Hillary? Yes. I don't think Hillary can win the presidency.
Edwards? Probably. He didn't impress me last time and I'm not keen on him running again.
Kerry? Yes. I may agree with his policies, but I also don't think he can win the overall election.
So, basically, it looks like I'd vote for Obama over the rest of the Dem field at this point.
And you know what? If he were "white" (or, you know, more white) I'd still be just as likely to vote for him. Why? See above.

But if Sharpton's really going to run I'd vote for him. It would assuage my liberal "whitey" guilt. And besides, it would be awesome to have Sam Jackson as the VP. I mean, VM -- Vice M*therf*cker.

Now with caps!

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^ 9

Sam Jackson

Lou.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 05:11:12 PM EST

none

Of course, he'd be a great orator...

(cheap joke)

"I'm tired of all these muthafucking conservatives in the muthafucking House!"

(/cheap joke)

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

1

Don't know much about Obama

pO157.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 01:51:18 PM EST

none

But I doubt many do.

Quite frankly, at this stage I doubt many Americans honestly even know much about the man besides the fact that he is A) African-American, B) Wrote a Book, and C) Has quite a bit of Buzz about him for some reason.

This not necessarily a bad thing, I am sure many candidates wish they could start the race off with this level of buzz so early. It reminds me of when the pollsters called the other day and asked about my opinions on various candidates, all but two I had no idea as to what their specific platforms were. However, no opinion was not an option, and I had to give a favorable or unfavorable rating for each once I indicated even the most basic level of familiarity with the name (eg telling the man I heard him mentioned a few times on CNN). This makes me wonder how much of his "support" is from folks who would actually align themselves with his views on the issues and who are simply along for the hype ride.

The primaries should be interesting.

2

The first coke snorting President.

MayorBob.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 02:00:24 PM EST

none

You just know his admission that he indulged in a bit of nose candy during his early years will end up being played up and played out by whomever he ends up facing.  Perhaps it won't come down to Hillary or Joe Biden or John McCain getting in his face about it, but that's what Political Action Committees and Swift Boat Veterans are for anyhow.

Much is being made of Obama's relative inexperience in government as a detriment to his chances.  But, of the presidents since I've been of voting age, I think only LBJ, Nixon, Gerry Ford, and George Bush (the elder) had any serious experience in politics on the national stage.  Most of the presidents who have come and gone have come straight from a governor's seat somewhere and I'm not sure people had any better idea or confidence in Jimmy Carter's or Bill Clinton's or George W. Bush's ability to be the most powerful man in the world before they got elected either.  And, at this point, you'd have to consider that Carter and Bush turned out to be mistakes and Clinton was a success.  I think the important things are:

  1.  Does the person resonate with the electorate?  Can they like him or her and believe in him or her enough to vote for him or her?

  2.  Can he impress the money people that he is serious and has a chance?

  3.  Can he develop his own message and begin delivering it to the right audiences?

 

Illegitimi non carborundum.

4

^ 2

Re: The first coke snorting President.

1fastdog.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 02:47:44 PM EST

none

Much is being made of Obama's relative inexperience in government as a detriment to his chances.

Aside from the glittering punditry, I doubt that most people could give a rat's ass. The current Weasel-in-Chief is a prime example, although in the complete opposite direction. He was the governor of a large and fairly populous state and that particular bit of experience didn't translate into anything worth a flying fuck over a wet woodpile. Meanwhile, his long string of failing business adventures didn't seem to attract the attention of the general public - too bad it didn't though, cuz his administrative powers are following almost directly his gameplan for business ventures: con somebody into handing him the keys to a reasonably well-running business, then proceed to bankrupt said business with his steely resolve compensating for any deficiencies in intellectual decision making. Next verse? Hey, just keep repeating the first verse over and over again until someone takes the keys back.

Again, I doubt that most people are going to put much stock in that particular sentiment. Ran across this at the Wa-Po's media notes column:

Paul Mirengoff at Powerline argues  that Barack Obama is the candidate with the scantiest credentials to be President in (recent) American history.
To which I can only ask, What about George W. Bush?
Yes, Bush had been governor of Texas--a relatively powerless role, after a career of nepotistic business failures--but he came to the White House proudly and defiantly unaware of the rest of the world.

Somewhere in my soul, there's always Rock -n- Roll... Joe Strummer

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^ 2

Re: The first coke snorting President.

Lou.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 02:50:42 PM EST

none

The first?  I'm not so sure (RE: Bush).  Say what you will about Bush, though.  He may have tried coke...but he didn't inject.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

3

I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm X

wetkarma.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 02:12:33 PM EST

none

Barack Obama has a way with words and speech that reminds me very much of Martin Luther King. The cadence and rhythm of how he speaks and the issues he speaks on is very similar.

That said -- I agree with him on virtually no policies that he has commented on.  To me he is a socialist politician in the Democratic party. While he'll find a natural base with lefty Democrats, I think its unlikely that libertarian types will support him.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

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^ 3

Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

coquito.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 03:29:37 PM EST

none

I agree with him on virtually no policies that he has commented on.  To me he is a socialist politician in the Democratic party.

Could you elaborate on that?

I am not well versed on his position on specific policies, but I did find this run-down of Obama's stance on certain issues.

Now with caps!

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

BigDumbSpaceApe.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 05:12:41 PM EST

none

Hey, thanks coquito... very helpful.

It looks pretty good to me, though I like to see the Environmental and Foreign Policy area flushed out.   The lack of any foreign policy experience might really hurt him in a general election, but he looks to be about as close to a dream candidate as I could get if he came out for green taxes or Kyoto.

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

wetkarma.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 08:28:47 PM EST

none


Could you elaborate on that?

Certainly:

Where I'm opposed to welfare, Sen. Obama wishes to extend welfare benefits to immigrants.

Where I want to see social security dismantled, he wants to extend benefits to immigrants AND  give 2k for retirement to each individual earning under 50k per year.

He intends to "strenghten union and workers rights" which I interpret as hobbling business effeciency with the same rules that France and Germany have.

He wants to increase the earned income tax credit -- basically taking money from rich and giving it to poor.

My take is that the man is a tax and spend liberal straight out of the 1970s.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

coquito.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 08:50:12 PM EST

none

OK. At least you didn't call him a "gun grabber."  :D
But seriously, does this mean you essentially wouldn't vote for any Democrat? Isn't the Democratic Party platform essentially pro-progressive taxation, pro-welfare, and pro-social security? (not to mention and pro-or at least note rabidly anti-immigration?)

P.S -- speaking of immigrants, am I to assume you only mean illegal immigrants, or are you against any non-native born person receiving gov't services? (and la migra doesn't count as a "gov't service" for the purposes of this question ;)

Now with caps!

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

ms sue.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 09:03:39 PM EST

none

But seriously, does this mean you essentially wouldn't vote for any Democrat? Isn't the Democratic Party platform essentially pro-progressive taxation, pro-welfare, and pro-social security?

Coquito, have you been snoozing all this time? :-)

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

coquito.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 09:11:38 PM EST

none

I've been accused of worse :D
Someone called me "obtuse" once. But I showed him. No one likes "the box."

Anyway... my point was that, if you are essentially unable/unwilling to vote for any Democratic candidate, why not just say so? Why say I don't like some of "Obama's positions," as though it was just about him? I just feel like, if you aren't ever going to vote Democrat anyway, then, well, who cares what you think about the Dem candidates?

OK, that's a harsh way to put it. But I don't get into discussions about the electability of Repub candidates (except for those that maybe once had a chance of me voting for them, like say, McCain). I wouldn't add anything to the discussion really, save for the obvious (well, I may have gone out of my way to knock some of the really crazy ones in the last couple of elections, but that was for fun :D

I kinda feel the same about Urkel's comment. I mean, of course he wouldn't vote for him even if he were white! Neither would about 30-40% of the American population. They wouldn't vote for a Dem. (So, in answer to Steve's question, lots of people can say they wouldn't vote for him regardless of his skin color).

OK... I should go back to snoozing now.

Now with caps!

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^ 19

Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

ms sue.

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 12:19:19 PM EST

none

You know, my mistake. When I asked you whether you've been snoozing, it was really in reference to your "Isn't the Democratic Party platform essentially pro-progressive taxation, pro-welfare, and pro-social security?" rather than whether wetkarma would vote for a Democrat.

I just thought that you would have been familiar with his strong libertarian stance. I may disagree with him on just about everything, but I do respect him for his consistency and well-stated opinions.

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

wetkarma.

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 07:29:15 AM EST

none

But seriously, does this mean you essentially wouldn't vote for any Democrat?  Isn't the Democratic Party platform essentially pro-progressive taxation, pro-welfare, and pro-social security? (not to mention and pro-or at least note rabidly anti-immigration?)

I've mentioned in my prior posts that the majority of time I vote an anti-incumbent ticket when a libertarian candidate is not available.  In the recent election, I voted for Jim Webb (D), Virginia's new senator - so despite Ms. Sue's implication I have no problems voting for a Democrat if A) I agree with the positions they have taken or B) they are not the current incumbent.

If you believe the Democratic party is pro-progressive taxation, pro-welfare and pro-social security thats fine (might even be accurate). As I'm fiscally conservative, I'm naturally against all three. However since I'm also socially liberal there are plenty of areas I have common ground with party on (abortion, sex education, gay rights etc.).

As to the immigrant question -- I'm against the programs (welfare, social security) themselves. Given that the country does not have open borders partly because these programs exist, I'm against any measure which extends the coverage/budget of these programs. Social programs acts as an inhibitor on immigration and the free flow of labor because any country that is throwing out free money to people who live there will eventually either a) go bankrupt or b) implement restrictive rules on who can live there.

 I favor immigration (actually I'm an immigrant myself) on the basis that a free market should not only apply to goods but labor as well -- so its not a question of not wanting to see government services go to those who were not "natural born" citizens. It is rather that my view of what services government should provide does not encompass welfare or social security; programs which I view as incredibly flawed and which have caused incredible harm to the people it was allegedly meant to help.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

coquito.

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 09:02:44 AM EST

none

Thanks for the in-depth reply, wetkarma. All very interesting. If and when you have time, and you can always just send me a message if you don't want to post, I'd like to hear more about your objections to welfare and social security, and how you think they should be changed, or if they should just be abolished. I am also curious about your idea of open borders. Are you suggesting unrestricted access? A kind of "work visa" program?

Thanks again,

      --coq

Now with caps!

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

wetkarma.

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 10:29:16 AM EST

none


I'd like to hear more about your objections to welfare and social security

Much of my thoughts on welfare  and social security have been posted over the years on Plastic and more recently on Tnt.

My basic objection is this: Welfare acts as an incentive for people to not maximize their producitivty.  It creates a cycle of dependency which (over time) causes more harm than good to the people it means to help.

Social Security is a similar program to welfare in that it depends on government to fund a persons "retirement" (i.e. when they are in theory too old to work) thus removing incentive for people to save for themselves AND creating a financial structure with ever escalating costs to the working population.

Combined together these programs (and others like medicare/medicaid) has the government spending money on things with poor/zero return on investment. We've taken money from productive people and given it to non-productive people. This is not only ineffecient, but at the margins it converts the productive people to become non-productive, and keeps those who are non-productive in that category.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

coquito.

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 11:47:45 AM EST

none

Thanks again. Gonna take me some time re-read all those threads... Oy!

Now with caps!

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^ 21

Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

Thalia.

Mon Jan 22, 2007 at 08:57:22 PM EST

none

Are you also against minimum wage and OSHA?  I'm just curious.  I'm also an immigrant, but free flow of labor has serious problems, even if you assume that we provide no services beyond education, roads & national defense.  

Thalia

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Re: I like MLK, but I would have voted for Malcolm

wetkarma.

Tue Jan 23, 2007 at 10:34:13 AM EST

none


Are you also against minimum wage and OSHA?  I'm just curious.  I'm also an immigrant, but free flow of labor has serious problems, even if you assume that we provide no services beyond education, roads & national defense.  

As an ideological point, I am against the minimum wage.* On a practical level, I don't really care. I think that the mid/long term effect of arbitrarily raising the minimum wage is simply to raise inflation while maintaining present levels of wealth distribution. (i.e. as you raisie the minimum wage, the buying power of the minimum wage earning indiivdual  remains neutral.)

As for OSHA - my position on OSHA is similar to that of my position on the ACLU. In principle I am supporter, but some of the regulations they have are dumb -- overbroad, counterintuitive and unjust. OSHA does a lot of good, but we shouldn't ignore the inordinate harm done to small businesses trapped in a quagmire of complying with various regulations. Regulations often written by the entrenched larger business oligopolies.

My position on what government should do differs from the standard libertarian line -- I believe in the least intrusive form of government which maximizes personal liberty. Under this formulation its relative easy to see within the spectrum of government programs which reduce liberty, which enhance it, and which are in a gray area.

If you believe the free flow of labor has fundamental problems, I'd really be interested in hearing your thoughts on the idea. If you can link those thoughts back to the the present free market system (for goods) we use, I'd appreciate that .

*True story: back in college I was earning the minimum wage and after 3 months of work was given a raise of .50c/hr for my performance. I was quite pleased. Until a month later Congress raised the minimum wage by .50c/hr. All my work to outperform my colleagues and -earn- an increase in pay was set to naught.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

10

Ready or not...

gerrymander.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 04:28:02 PM EST

none

The US was ready for Obama's level of experience at least once in the not-to-distant past; he has as much on his resume as JFK did. (Or, to choose a more recent but less successful run, John Edwards.)

11

^ 10

Re: Ready or not...

Acefantastik.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 04:36:07 PM EST

none

he has as much on his resume as JFK did.

Really?  What war did Senator Obama fight in?  

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^ 10

Re: Ready or not...

MayorBob.

Thu Jan 18, 2007 at 04:40:22 PM EST

none

Hmmm.  Let's see.  John F. Kennedy, scion of a powerful Boston political family.  A decorated war hero.  Served three terms as US Representative in the House and a full term and reelected to a second in the US Senate.  Wrote a Pulitzer Prize winning book.

You're right, that first termer from Illinois has just as much in his resume as JFK.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

20

Re: Obama Ready To Run - But Is The US Ready For H

permazorch.

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 03:12:03 AM EST

none

I don't know...
So far as I know him (not much at all, yeah), I like him, & I'd vote for him with far more enthusiasm than the last 3 dem candidates for prez (Clinton, Gore and Kerry).

----- I, for one, renounce our insect overlords!

31

Too Soon

3fingerspointback.

Tue Jan 23, 2007 at 03:51:44 AM EST

none

My call:  This is going to be Obama's first of multiple runs for the presidency, and it's going to fail because he's too inexperienced.  Yeah, he gives good speeches, but what exactly has he done?  Written a couple of books about being Barack Obama, twiddled around with existing entitlement programs, and injected himself into the existing immigration debate.  He's going to get killed in dueling campaign ads with Richardson and Clinton.  

I see the run as more of a method of self-promotion.  Even if he fails, he's put it out there that he has the chops to come in third against more experienced pols.  That will get him more clout in the senate, which will allow him to pass bigger bills, which will give him more cred when he eventually does run again.  My theory will be proven when Obama gracefully exits the race at a point before he is forced to, in order to stump for the leading candidate.

(is 3fingerspointback)

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