Sport

They Are What We Thought They Were: NFL Playoffs Begin

thefadd.

Posted to Sport on Wed Jan 03, 2007 at 03:52:30 PM EST (promoted by port1080). RSS.

"We won enough games to get in the playoffs. It's very simple," said Kansas City Chiefs headcoach Herm Edwards in reaction to talk that his team had "lucked into" the National Football League's playoff "tournament." It might not have been quite that simple but that hardly mattered to Edwards as his team became the twelfth and final franchise to punch their ticket to "the show." By the time the Denver Broncos blew their season's final home game to San Francisco in overtime, eleven other teams had already clinched the opportunity to continue playing in January for a chance at the NFL's Super Bowl, the world's most watched television event.

On the American Football Conference side, the San Diego Chargers and Baltimore Ravens own the top to spots and receive the all-important first round byes. That leaves Tony Dungy's choke artists extraordinaire the Indianapolis Colts to face Herm Edwards Chiefs in the first round. Aside from the Manning aspect, this matchup in extremely intriguing because it features the league's far and away worst rush defense against the new league record holder for rushes in a season, he of the eternal shoulder chip, Larry Johnson. When these two teams last met in the playoffs a couple years back, the Chiefs defense failed to stop the Colts offense from scoring on even a single possession, which is why the defensive minded Edwards was brought in.

The other first round AFC match-up is equally intriguing with the New York Jets travelling to the veteran New England Patriots, winners of 3 of the past 5 of these tournaments. Just as Edwards is a protege of Dungy's so is the Jets' coach Eric Mangini a protege of the Pats' Bill Belicheck. Protege, but not friend. When Mangini's team recently beat the Pats in Foxboro, Belicheck refused to participate in the typical post-game handshake. This marks, then, that dreaded "third game" between division opponents, the teams each winning on the road.

For the second year in a row, the parity driven NFL features seven teams in its playoffs which were not invited to the big dance last season. Three of those are in the National Football Conference -- the New Orleans Saints who earned a bye along with the Chicago Bears and the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys and Eagles represent the NFC East along with the New York Giants, making their division the most well-represented in the league, comprising half the NFC field. Philadelphia, which faces the New York Giants, is no stranger to the NFL playoffs, though, reaching the Conference Championship game in each of the four seasons before last year. The Eagles-Giants matchup is another one of those "third games" between two divisional opponents, this one also with the road team winning the previous two.

The Cowboys, darlings of the league only one short month ago went into virtual free fall in December, landing in a wild card playoff game in Seattle. There they will face the defending conference champion Seahawks who a broke a streak of late of Super Bowl losers not making the playoffs the following year.

In other NFL news, Dennis Green was fired from his head coaching position in Arizona and Jim Mora, Jr. from his in Atlanta. Each of them failed to make the playoffs for at least the second year in a row.

Tags: writted by thefadd, edited by port1080, nfl, playoffs, sports (all tags)

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1

Mark This Down.

MayorBob.

Wed Jan 03, 2007 at 04:51:12 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

The winner of the 2007 Vince Lombardy trophy will be the San Diego Chargers.  They have the entire package: offense, defense, and special teams.  Plus I think it's about time for Marty Schottenheimer to prove his critics wrong by keeping his head out of his ass for entire playoff series.  Sorry to the Ravens, who are my second choice to win if the Chargers chartered plane crashes during the playoffs.  Sorry also to the rest of the AFC which are just pretenders this year (and especially those Colts who failed to notice you have to keep your opponent's point totals under the total you score in order to win).

Ah, the NFC, what can you say?  The Cowboys come into the playoffs a beaten squad who, from head coach down to waterboy, don't have a clue what happened to them.  Any team which loses in a game that matters to the Detroit Lions doesn't deserve to be in the playoffs anyhow.  So, Sayonara to T.O. and Jerry Jones better hope that Parcells returns after T.O. gets let go.  The Seahawks should slap a bright new bandage on their ego with an easy win over Dallas and then play sacrificial lamb the following week.  

New Orleans is the feel good story of 2006, indeed.  Drew Brees goes to the Saints and excels.  Reggie Bush becomes the man of the future.  An entire downtrodden community has something to lift its spirits.  Unfortunately, that was 2006 and the playoffs are in 2007 where each and every game matters and teams like the Eagles aren't going to go brain dead the second half and let them squeeze out a victory.  Da Bears would be the logical choice from the NFC if they weren't dinged on defense and screwed at QB.  

Will Tiki manage to pull another personal best out of the bag for the playoffs?  Could be, but doubtful.  Facts are that the Eagles handled Tiki well the first two times they played.  Shockey might play, but he hasn't really been much of a factor in any Eagles-Giants matchup of late.  And Plexico Burress without Amani Toomer as another receiver threat becomes Plexiglass Burress.  The Eagles should handle the Giants easily this weekend.  A healthy Westbrook and Garcia behind an offensive line that's playing killer football should have the Giants defenders wondering what happened to them (and keep that "deer in the headlights" look that Coughlin's been favoring pasted on his face).

Illegitimi non carborundum.

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Re: Mark This Down.

thefadd.

Wed Jan 03, 2007 at 07:38:20 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

The winner of the 2007 Vince Lombardy trophy will be the San Diego Chargers.

I'm just not so sure of that. Sure Schottzy has changed his Martyball ways here in the regular season but when push comes to shove in the waning minutes of an afc championship game -- even in sunny San Diego -- which tactics will he fall back on? People are seriously sleeping on the Ravens. They've got the defense and the old vet quarterback willing to give his entire body to the game. Rivers still makes the occassional, "I'm still feeling this thing out," mistake of a first year starter, even if he did show incredible grit playing the second half of last Sunday's game on a severly sprained ankle. I know SD has a defense, too, but that Baltimore D wins games all by itself and this year for once they haven't had too. Still, I'm picking SD, too :-)

The only picks I haven't settled on are the AFC first round matchups. I think they're a moot point, though, because those top 2 seeds in the AFC are probably far and away the best two teams in the NFL and will almost certainly face each other in the championship game. I wish KC and the Jets would upset Indi and the Pats but those would be two seriously playoff experienced teams for those relative newbies to take care of, the LJ factor not withstanding.

Over in the NFC, I think Dallas will find SOME way of staunching the blood letting in their defensive backfield even if Parcells has to play d-back himself. They did hold the NFL's #2 offense in Philly to its least impressive offensive performance since that Monday night massacre in Indi. Philly had damn well better beat New York, if only so that I no longer have to look at Coughlin's shocked face on an NFL sideline. Too bad he can't take the douche Eli with him. With Strahan and Shockey, is that not the best sideline in the league for entertaining facial expressions?

I do see Dallas (or anyone else with two pages of a football playbook to rub together) dispatching Chicago but I can't see Philadelphia (or anyone else) upsetting a rested New Orleans squad in the Super Dome so I guess that puts them in the Super Bowl to face SD. I'm holding out hope Philly can still run the table, though :-)

escalators never fail; they just become stairs

4

^ 1

Re: Mark This Down.

thefadd.

Wed Jan 03, 2007 at 08:36:02 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

Sayonara to T.O. and Jerry Jones better hope that Parcells returns after T.O. gets let go.

Somebody brought up the idea recently that nobody can really have TO on their team after this because of what he'll do but that his talent is so undeniable, people might sign him for a couple weeks, let him go, maybe bring him back a little later if he's still available, etc. The whole situation is so bizarrely unthinkable because it's such a singular situation. But then, TO is a singular situation and it seems like that's all he really wants -- one way or another to be stand out and be different. Is it possible, some team might pay TO not to play and then unleash him during the playoffs or something like that?

Just because he's such a media whipping boy, I try to like the guy but I was re-watching the '98 wild card game when he made the catch with 8 seconds left against Green Bay and the guy is bawling at the end of that game, literally bawling in the arms of his coach to the point where Mariuci is like, dude, get over it. I mean he just saved Mooch's job and the guy's reaction goes from "yes we won" to "dude calm down" in half a second. He's just so exceedingly weird, nearly to a Michael Jackson level (relatively speaking -- the guy is a model citizen who doesn't even drink among a league of thugs off the field) in the degree to which he's a total pariah among his co-workers. But that only made me think -- is this what the age of media over-exposure does to people? Or just our image of people?

So anything really is possible in how the NFL as a collective will react to TO. Seriously, who would sign the guy? Miami's new coach. Hey bring back Ricky, too, introduce them to each other and hope they cancel each other out? Maybe Ricky can get TO smoking to calm the f down. The weed has worked better than TO's anti-depressants for most of my friends. Denver -- is Shanahan that desperate? Oakland -- could Randy Moss be the only alpha dog in the league able to put TO's ego in check?

escalators never fail; they just become stairs

6

^ 1

Re: Mark This Down.

nmiguy.

Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 08:41:26 AM EST

5.00 (informative, interesting)

I am rooting for the Pats (my home team) or the Saints.  I think Drew Brees would destroy his old team, the Chargers in the Super Bowl.  The Patriots are a well balanced team.  Despite losing Deion Branch, Willie McGuinest, David Givens and Adam Vinatieri, they rolled to a 12 and 4 record.  They also have suffered numerous key injuries this season and keep on winning.  Their defense is a franchise best in terms of points allowed, and Asante Samuels leads the league in picks.  With Dillon and Maroney healthy and running extremely well, and with Tom Brady at the helm, this team could be surprising in the playoffs.  First things first, they need to beat the Jets.  If they do, then next would be the Chargers, Baltimore, KC or Indy.  

Any team should be afraid of the Chargers, they are very well balanced and Ladanian Tomlinson is amazing and an incredible threat.  His record setting year did not come against cream puffs.  The AFC west is a competitive division (except Oakland).  Rivers is a rookie QB, and Marty S may protect him and do his routine playoff collapse.  The Charges work best when they are not playing too conservatively.   What has saved Marty's butt this year is when he plays conservative (run the ball) LT breaks it free every time.  He would have more trouble doing that against the Ravens or Pats.  Thus in the playoffs, it will be interesting to see if Rivers can keep his composure when the game and season is on his shoulders.  

3

Re: They Are What We Thought They Were: NFL Playof

port1080.

Wed Jan 03, 2007 at 08:30:54 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

Well, this wasn't Pittsburgh's year, but since I live in northern Delaware now I guess I can be happy that the Eagles are having a good year. My personal desire would be a San Diego vs. New Orleans Super Bowl. The teams seem to match up well and it shouldn't be boring since both have explosive offenses. The other good matchup would be a Bears vs. Ravens game - but if that did happen, is it possible for the Super Bowl to end in a nothing-nothing tie? Here are my picks (winners in all caps):

AFC Wild Card Round

KANSAS CITY vs Indianapolis

Two words to explain why Indy won't make it past the first round - Larry Johnson.

NEW ENGLAND vs New York

Two great coaches, but I think the Patriots just have a more talented team. Mangini will get a ring before he retires, but not this year.

NFC Wild Card Round

DALLAS vs Seattle

The Cowboys should win this one, but I don't have a lot of confidence in this pick - still, how can you pick a Seattle team that only managed a 9-7 record, even though they're in the worst division in the NFL?

PHILADELPHIA vs New York

The Eagles have the Giant's number - sad to say, but Tiki's going into early retirement.

AFC Divisional Round

SAN DIEGO vs Kansas City

The Chargers lost a close one to the Chiefs early in the season, but they handled them easily in week 15 - no reason to suspect things will change in the playoffs.

BALTIMORE vs New England

Belichick's decision to cut his entire receiver corp at the end of last season dooms the Pats in this game. Baltimore's run defense is absolutely stifling, and while I think Brady could handle the pass rush if he had a good rapport with his receivers, their relative inexperience will mean that they won't always be ready for him to throw the hot route or to catch the dump off pass.

NFC Divisional Round

CHICAGO vs Dallas

All the matchups favor the Bears - that said, all the matchups favored Chicago last year and they still managed to lose to Carolina. Hopefully another year's experience will keep them moving on to the Championship Game.

PHILADELPHIA vs New Orleans

This could go either way, but I'm calling the Eagles because they have more playoff experience and probably better team chemistry than a relatively young New Orleans team.

AFC Championship

BALTIMORE vs San Diego

The Ravens defense is just too good for a first year quarterback, and even LT can't carry it alone against such a dominant run defense.

NFC Championship

CHICAGO vs Philadelphia

Tough game to call, but I think the Bears should be able to run the ball against Philadelphia, and I think Chicago's talented linebacker corp matches up well against an Eagles team that relies on quick, short passes.

Super Bowl

BALTIMORE vs Chicago

This is one for the true fans - two dominant defenses and two offenses based on the run and on fundamentals of the game. Great for those of us who care, but will probably end up going down as one of the most boring Super Bowls ever. Which, of course, means that the final score will be 55-49.

Ce n'est pas une pipe. C'est une signature.

5

^ 3

Re: They Are What We Thought They Were: NFL Playof

thefadd.

Wed Jan 03, 2007 at 09:03:15 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

The other good matchup would be a Bears vs. Ravens game - but if that did happen, is it possible for the Super Bowl to end in a nothing-nothing tie? Here are my picks (winners in all caps)

If the Bears and Ravens play, the Ravens would win 63-7 on nine interception returns for touchdowns and one Devin Hester special teams score for Chicago. Seriously, though, before Dallas imploded and Philly took the division, I was hoping for a defensive minded Dallas-Baltimore final. That would have been awesome. Something like a 12-5 final score would have rocked.

escalators never fail; they just become stairs

15

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Re: They Are What We Thought They Were: NFL Playof

port1080.

Sun Jan 07, 2007 at 08:33:43 PM EST

none

We'll, I'm .500 but I should be .750 - I can't believe Romo blew that hold. Who would have foreseen him choking worse than the Manning Bros.? The KC / Indy game was just bizarre too - what happened to the Chief's offense - did they miss the bus? If they could have converted those Manning INTs to TDs the game would have been theirs. Anyway, I'm still sticking with my picks as far as the Championship games go. Hopefully I'll do better than the coin toss next week.

Ce n'est pas une pipe. C'est une signature.

11

The count on ex-NFL coaches increased a tad.

MayorBob.

Sat Jan 06, 2007 at 12:20:13 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Nick Saban left Miami for the lucrative playing fields up in Alabama.  Art Shell got the ax in Oakland, but Al Davis wants to find a position so he can remain a "valued member of the Raider family."  I'm thinking, Al could make him a greeter at the team dressing room as a life-sized reminder of what happens to you when you go 2-14.  The GM at Tennessee resigned just ahead of getting canned.  I wonder if Jeff Fisher will be long in his job?  Bill Cowher resigned to spend more time with his family.  I wonder if the Giants throw up a massive turd on Sunday whether Coughlin won't be shown the door?

But head coaching jobs are like a revolving door in the NFL and Mora is already talking to the Dolphins.  If Fisher does get the ax, he probably won't have any trouble finding another gig.  Cowher, if he's not just suffering from Steel City rust, might be enticed to coach elsewhere.  I doubt that anyone is going to hire Denny Green to do much of anything, but then I figured Ray Rhoads was coaching road kill after his stay in Philly.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

12

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Re: The count on ex-NFL coaches increased a tad.

port1080.

Sat Jan 06, 2007 at 01:17:13 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

I wonder if Jeff Fisher will be long in his job?

Fisher will be fine - the Titan's bad season wasn't his fault, he was given a shitty team by management (which is why the GM resigned). The Titans went on a spectacular late season run with a rookie QB - look for them to keep Fisher and make the playoffs next year.

Ce n'est pas une pipe. C'est une signature.

13

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Re: The count on ex-NFL coaches increased a tad.

MayorBob.

Sat Jan 06, 2007 at 02:15:29 PM EST

none

One hopes that Fisher ends up all right.  He's a class act and you're right, much of the Titans' woes were not his fault.  I've always liked Fisher from his days as defensive coordinator under Buddy Ryan.  I've often wondered how things would have worked out if he had gotten picked to replace Ryan rather than the lamentable Richie "They Didn't Leave Anything In The Lockerroom" Kotite.  We could have avoided the pain and anguish of him and Rhodes' shticks, but the Iggles have done real well under Andy Reid.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

9

Guaranteed Wrong

Coelacanth.

Fri Jan 05, 2007 at 07:28:17 AM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Wild Cards first.

Pats - Jets: Pats win and cover whatever the spread is.  Brady lives for this stuff.  The Jets are young, exciting, and done in one.

KC - Indy: Peyton gets wild, the Colts' D is tired of being humiliated, and Indy pulls out a shootout win.

Cowboys - Seahawks:  Dallas is out of magic, chemistry, and tranquilizers.  Seattle is out of cornerbacks.  This game will stink, but Seattle pulls it out.

Eagles - Giants: The Giants haven't shown up for a game in weeks, don't know why they'd start now.  Eagles.

Second round:

Chargers - Pats: Chargers win easily.  Take the over.

Ravens - Indy: Ravens win easily.  Take the under.

Bears - Seahawks: Seahawks in a big upset.  The Bears are the least-well-equipped team in the league to take advantage of Seattle's broken secondary, and Seattle can run on the Bears.

Saints - Eagles: The Eagles have looked great, but Garcia's magic runs out here.  

League Championships:

Chargers - Ravens: The two best teams meet here in a pick-em game.  Ravens win a close one because they can shut down anyone's running game, and if Rivers has to carry the Chargers, he will be tortured by the Ravens' secondary.  This time it will be low-scoring, unlike the regular-season shootout these teams had.

Saints - Seahawks: Saints win easily.

Super Bowl:

Ravens - Saints: The whole world is rooting for the Saints.  The Ravens know this, and shut the Saints out.

10

^ 9

Re: Guaranteed Wrong

thefadd.

Fri Jan 05, 2007 at 03:21:41 PM EST

none

Pats - Jets: Pats win and cover whatever the spread is. Brady lives for this stuff. The Jets are young, exciting, and done in one.

The spread is 9.5, which is just insanely high to me, especially given that the over/under is 37.5. I don't see either team putting up enough points for the Pats to build that kind of lead.

I'll take the under in that game and the over in the Dallas game. Not only is Dallas's the worst pass defense in the playoffs, Seattle has lost its top 3 corners to injury and signed to replace them 3 guys who were selling insurance and/or managing a gym last week.

escalators never fail; they just become stairs

16

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Re: Guaranteed Wrong

Coelacanth.

Mon Jan 08, 2007 at 03:30:29 AM EST

none

If you used the above 100%-correct picks, and won a ton of money doing it, yer welcome, but please do not tell me about it.  Thanks.  Oh, and I had nothing to do with that Romo thing.

7

Re: They Are What We Thought They Were: NFL Playof

Dvandom.

Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 12:59:39 PM EST

none

I'm just amused at the icon used for this story.  :)

This is not a signature.

8

Re: They Are What We Thought They Were: NFL Playof

rombuu.

Thu Jan 04, 2007 at 02:17:57 PM EST

none

The Chiefs are not going to do much this postseason... I can accept that.  I think they have a puncher's chance against Indy, but can't see them getting past the Chargers in San Diego even if they do advance.

Having said that, last Sunday's unexpected turn of events with everything falling in place and 3 home teams blowing games to allow the Chiefs into the playoffs was one of the single most entertaining sporting days I've observed in my entire life, maybe going back to KU winning the '88 final four.

14

"I Thought I Had Seen Everything."

MayorBob.

Sun Jan 07, 2007 at 10:16:22 AM EST

none

That's a quote from Mike Holmgren, coach of the Seattle Seahawks, at the unbelievable moment which sent the Cowboys scurrying for tee times at various golf clubs around the country.  He then added, "just another entry for the journal."  He was referring to Tony Romo's mishandling of a snap from center for what would have been a game-winning field goal (actually not any more challenging than an extra point) in the final minutes of the Cowboy-Seahawk matchup yesterday.  From obscure back up to savior of the team to nationally televised goat; this was the arc of Romo's life this year.  Actually, the Cowboys played a much better game than I thought possible from them, thereby negating my prediction for an easy win by the Seahawks.  It's fairly obvious to me that whomever the Seahawks play next week, Chicago or the Saints, they're going down and going down hard.  But then, I did foresee that easy Seahawk victory here, didn't I?

Illegitimi non carborundum.

17

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Re: "I Thought I Had Seen Everything."

thefadd.

Mon Jan 08, 2007 at 06:17:47 PM EST

none

That was an odd one. Dallas was already covering the spread but if Romo goes in for the touchdown there, they would have hit the over. Of course, if Dallas had hit the fieldgoal and then the Seahawks came back with a field goal of their own, then they would also have made the over. That was a fantastic play by the Seattle defender as Romo looked like he had a clear shot to the endzone.

Oh well, 2-2 against the spread ain't nothing to write home about but it's not awful either. What's really intriguing are the games this weekend. Given how the Pats have been playing, their game against the Chargers might just feature the 2 best teams in the league right now. You're just waiting for Schottenheimer to screw it up against Belicheck but you gotta think LT and Meriman will be enough to save him from himself. The next two best teams in the league are probably Baltimore and Indi and what a study in contrasts those 2 are. No matter what happens this weekend, I will enjoy mightily the spectre of Peyton Manning being subjected to the brutality of a Ravens home playoff game.

I'd forgotten the Saints finished only 10-6 and earned the home playoff bye solely on the strength of their head-to-head versus Philly. They really lost a little of their poise and momentum at the end there. I know Philly didn't look fantastic against New York but I am always most wary of the divisional team that blows someone out the first weekend -- they usually tank the next week. Minnesota in 2004, Green Bay in 2003, Jacksonville in Jimmy Johnson's last game with the Dolphins...Much as the Giants game was the same back and forth battle that the regular season matchups were, I don't see this as being anything but more of the same -- two solid but unspectacular teams giving their best. Certainly some spectacular moments, though. The Bears and Seahawks game, I don't have much hope for. I think these are the worst two teams in the playoffs and I have little doubt it will show. Turnovers, sloppy play, let's hope it snows and doesn't rain in Chicago this weekend.

escalators never fail; they just become stairs

18

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Re: "I Thought I Had Seen Everything."

MayorBob.

Mon Jan 08, 2007 at 08:13:16 PM EST

none

Difficult as it was to believe about a month and a half ago, there really is only one thing standing between the Eagles and another chance at the Super Bowl.  That thing is this year's darling of the NFC, the Saints.  But, even though the Eagles lost to the Saints in the regular season, they lost by a slender margin in the last minute in the Super Dome.  I'm hoping that, with a much more balanced attack led by a QB who knows how to get the max out of a West Coast offense, the Birds should be able to put up some serious points against the Saints.  As far as stopping Brees and McCallister and Bush, well, I have faith in Jimmy Johnson to find a silver bullet.  The thing that troubles me is that Lito Sheppard is out for the game and is being replaced by the erratic Rod Hood.

I will admit to having my heart in my throat as Akers got set to kick the winning field goal, having seen what happened to Romo with dry conditions and much closer in than Koy Detmer had in Philly.  As for what happens if the Birds do beat the Saints, I totally agree that the Bears or the Seahawks don't represent much of a threat to block a trip to Miami.  Once there, they'd be facing the Chargers or the Ravens and the Eagles would probably have a better shot against the Chargers.  But, even if they do play the Ravens, anything can happen and that's why they play the game.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

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