Politics

Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Posted to Politics on Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 07:32:41 AM EST (promoted by port1080). RSS.

"How was Christmas, good? You know what I got for Christmas? Eight hours sleep. It was outstanding... By the way, some of you may have decided, you know, 'I really love Joe Biden or Chris Dodd or somebody else. We're getting close enough that if you're firm in that decision, we still want to be your second choice."

Thus said Barack Obama as campaigning for Iowa's caucus on Thursday, 3 January, recommenced in earnest after Christmas break. With less than one week to go until the first votes of 2008 get cast, Obama, Clinton, and Edwards still seem to be too-close-to-call among Iowa and New Hampshire Democrats, and strength of candidates' organisations and second-place vote preferences in Iowa may decide who goes into New Hampshire with big Mo. Viewed from abroad, people still expect 2008 to be Democrats' year, so final pitches by favourite Hillary Clinton and potential giant-slayer Barack Obama take on special import. Barack says "Everybody now is talking about change. If imitation is the sincerest form of flattery, then we're doing pretty good, because at the beginning of this campaign we said we're going to bring about change and do things differently, and now everybody's talking about change. That's fine. But when you make a decision to caucus, you've got to ask yourself, who's been about change their whole lives?" Hillary fires back "We've never needed change more, nor the strength and experience to make it happen... It's time to pick a president."

Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee appears to be maintaining his lead over Mitt Romney in polls in Iowa and Mitt Romney remains just ahead of John McCain in New Hampshire as jabs get ever more serious. Huckabee concentrated his fire on Romney. After bagging pheasants with his .12-gauge shotgun, he suggested caucus-goers should take notice: Maybe it will show that I certainly understand the culture of being outdoors." Not like that Romney fellow, who only shot "small varmints" and didn't own his own gun. Romney has been trying to paint Huckabee as helping illegal immigrants with his (expensive) mailing campaign, but he reserved his verbal shots for McCain, concentrating on immigration and taxes: "The point is that under his bill, that he fought for, everybody who came here illegally could stay forever. And does he still believe that or does he not believe that? And likewise on taxation. He said, well now he's for making the Bush tax cuts permanent. Well, does he admit he was wrong in voting against them before?" McCain saved his ammunition for Romney, figuring Huckabee's beating Romney in Iowa would help McCain in New Hampshire: "I know something about tailspins, and it's pretty clear Mitt Romney is in one. It's disappointing that he would launch desperate, flailing and false attacks in an attempt to maintain relevance." But what happened to Giuliani, Thompson, Ron Paul, Keyes? Thompson has been swinging at Huckabee in Iowa (as Arkansas governor, Huckabee raised taxes "like a Democrat"). But it may be almost time to forget 'em.

Who will you be pulling for on 3 January and 8 January? Do you expect any upsets?

     

Tags: edited by Port1080, written by novy, primaries, horse race, politics (all tags)

This story: 59 comments (0 from subqueue)
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10

Home stretch my ass

Lou.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 04:05:05 PM EST

5.00 (brilliant)

Sure, NH and IA may be done soon...but after that we will have 9+ months of grueling, divisive bullshit campaigning.

I can't wait.  

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: Home stretch my ass

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 04:39:09 PM EST

none

You will know identity of Democratic candidate for President by evening of 5 February at latest if not on 9 January, and you will probably know identity of Republican candidate for President by March. "Home stretch" was reference only to primaries, not to general election.

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Re: Home stretch my ass

Lou.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 06:09:32 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

There's a mountain here in Maine called Tumbledown.  Back in the day I had an interest in hiking and since I have never been the svelte one, I had been working my way up to doing that hike.  On that first hike, we spent the first hour or so climbing what felt to me a long muddy ladder.  But soon, I could see light through the trees and that gave me energy to continue on to the top.  When we reached the top, I was hugely proud of myself.  I had done it!  I had climbed my first "mountain".

Then my  buddy tapped me on the shoulder and pointed to this huge wall of dirt, granite and trees.  No, he said...that's Tumbledown.  This was just the hill next to the parking area.

That's kind of like how this upcoming election season feels to me.  At least the views from the top of the mountain were awesome.  All we'll be able to see from the top of this upcoming electoral mountain is four more years of someone else's bullshit.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: Home stretch my ass

zyxwvutsr.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 09:15:29 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Oh, and I went back a few months later and took the middle trail (can't recall the name of that trail, but it's the one on the east side of the big cliff). It was a muggy fall day, very hazy and far warmer than it should have been, which accounts for the poor contrast in these:

http://uppershelf.com/images/Autumn1.jpg

http://uppershelf.com/images/Autumn2.jpg

I thought I'd have the mountain all to my self since it was a weekday long past tourist season, but I met some nice folks on the summit who were in Maine on a hiking vacation. They were from California and had previously only hiked in the Sierra Nevadas and Rockies. They were, they told me, shocked at how awesome the mountains in Maine were.

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Re: Home stretch my ass

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 09:39:50 PM EST

none

Entertaining metaphor. But just as your friend probably enjoyed climbing that hill next to that parking lot (it just whetted his appetite for balance of climb), some people actually relish reading (and even writing) political tripe. Some even find other countries' political tripe worth diving into if their own country doesn't provide enough tripe for their tastes. Maybe when you start following elections in places like Kenya, it may be time to start wondering about yourself, but I don't feel all that embarrassed about being political junkie. Lead-ups to big elections seem like lead-ups to Stanley Cup, Super Bowl, or World Series to me. Each to his own taste.

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Re: Home stretch my ass

Lou.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 12:00:28 AM EST

none

Have I mentioned I hate sports, too?

But, don't let that stop anyone from following the political process...it won't stop me.  I just don't have any faith in it.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: Home stretch my ass

zyxwvutsr.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 09:06:18 AM EST

none

A few years ago I went up to Weld to do the Chimney Trail on Tumbledown, only to find that the chimney was inaccessible due to a cave-in. I mean, I found out once I had reached the chimney.

1

Holiday Intuitions

port1080.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 11:54:14 AM EST

3.00 (interesting)

My family is mostly Republican, so I found it sort of interesting to see the range of support the different candidates got. Surprisingly, a lot of them still liked Fred Thompson, but felt that he didn't have a chance, so they weren't really supporting his campaign. Not surprisingly, the family members who are working in Big Business (TM) mostly supported Romney and weren't big fans of Huckabee. Somewhat more surprisingly (to me, anyway), the religious conservatives also didn't like Huckabee. They felt he was too much like Bill Clinton. They didn't go for Romney though - they preferred Giuliani. I guess almost all can be forgiven as long as you're a "real Christian" (even if that means Catholic) and not a Mormon. This makes me wonder if Huckabee can win outside the southern/midwest bible belt. He's certainly not going to get the business-conservatives of the north voting for him, and if the religious conservatives in the north are skeptical too, then he might have a tough time getting the votes he needs.

Not surprisingly, there wasn't a whole lot of talk about the Democratic candidates, but I was surprised to find a general level of acceptance that Hillary would be an okay President. There was a strong personal disliking of her, but also a lot of grudging admission that "the Clinton years weren't all that bad". I think most of them were okay with Obama too. There wasn't much love for Edwards though - his populist message just didn't resonate (and, indeed, seemed "fake and calculated" coming from "a southern trial lawyer").

Ce n'est pas une pipe. C'est une signature.

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

Steve Urkel.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 01:49:19 PM EST

2.00 (funny)

"a lot of them still liked Fred Thompson, but felt that he didn't have a chance, so they weren't really supporting his campaign"

What campaign?

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Re: Longshot

zyxwvutsr.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 08:48:40 AM EST

2.00 (funny)

What campaign?
"Titleist DT SoLo sleeve of 3 golf balls. High lift construction for longer distance on all shots."

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Re: Longshot

Steve Urkel.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 02:17:58 PM EST

3.00 (informative)

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Re: Longshot

zyxwvutsr.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 05:51:03 PM EST

2.00 (funny)

The funniest thing about that golf ball (and perhaps the baby garment, too, it's harder to tell) is that it's pretty obviously a Thompson logo photoshopped on a plain ball. It's like the people who are selling these things don't want to be stuck with a big inventory.

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 01:15:56 PM EST

none

You put your finger on exactly why I hope Huckabee takes Republican nomination. I really hope that naked power play of fundamentalist Christians to conquer Republican Party for themselves works, and that they alienate every Catholic, bourgeois, Mormon, and neo-con in that process. Your fundamentalists really need to get slapped down hard, and few things seem calculated to accomplish that better than letting them try to force another foreign policy illiterate, who believes in big government and fiscal wrecklessness and who commits himself to winning America back for (his version of) Christ (as if Christ ever had US to begin with and had it pried away from him by secularists and atheists), down American throats.

Republican Party has become party of South and of rural people. In those places, fundamentalists may well form majority of Republican voters, and Huckabee looks to be their guy. Urban voters everywhere will be appalled? Good! No wonder your relatives have started to say things like "the Clinton years weren't all that bad". Fundamentalists destroyed Democratic Party by foisting Jimmy Carter on US, now they have chance to destroy Republican Party in similar fashion. I can hardly wait for Huckabee to win in Iowa and then in South Carolina. I look forward to Republican spinners squirming when they have to make excuses for why their candidate thinks more Pakistanis enter US illegally than anyone but Mexicans or why he believes martial law still in effect in Pakistan or why we need walls to keep out Mexicans when he offered in-state tuition at Arkansas schools for illegal immigrants. Ready or not, here he comes!

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

Acefantastik.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 01:47:05 PM EST

3.50 (interesting)

I really hope that naked power play of fundamentalist Christians to conquer Republican Party for themselves works, and that they alienate every Catholic, bourgeois, Mormon, and neo-con in that process.

You say this as if you don't believe that the power elite in each of those groups gives a shit about anything but global profits.  

Republican Party has become party of South and of rural people.Yeah, except for all the republicans in the north, often in cities, or in high density suburbs, who you consistently forget to mention.  You may counter that most Republicans from the "Union" states are more moderate than their southern and western peers, but since 2000, on issues of real substance, they have given George Bush and Dennis Hastert everything they wanted.  Your continued failure to include Northerners and city dwellers as identified conservatives or republicans is a huge hole in your theory.

Fundamentalists destroyed Democratic Party by foisting Jimmy Carter on US, now they have chance to destroy Republican Party in similar fashion.

The Democratic Party controlled the House of Representatives until 1994, which was 14 years after Carter was defeated in an election.  The Democrats lost 3 consecutive elections from 1980-88 because they fielded weaker candidates than the Republicans did.  It wasn't until 1994 that the Democratic party imploded, and that was directly due to the simultaneous ineptitude of the Clinton junta and the gross hypocrisy and corruption of the Democratic Congress.  

No wonder your relatives have started to say things like "the Clinton years weren't all that bad"

The Clinton years were exactly the same as the Bush years, only with less government-sponsored gay bashing.   The whole myth that "everything was better under Clinton" is complete bullshit--its exactly the same as right wingers whining that the 80s were better than the 90s because "their guy" was president.  Clinton presided over a steady economy, and also a completely corrupt and horrible presidency with no lasting diplomatic, environmental, or cultural legacy to speak of--rather, it was Clinton's wretched presidency and its use/abuse of executive order and a strong vice-president that set the groundwork for what is happening today.  

they have to make excuses for why their candidate thinks more Pakistanis enter US illegally than anyone but Mexicans or why he believes martial law still in effect in Pakistan or why we need walls to keep out Mexicans when he offered in-state tuition at Arkansas schools for illegal immigrants.

Who will they have to make excuses to?  George Bush defeated a much more intelligent candidate (Kerry), who just happened to be the worst campaigner of all time.   Bush's victory was due in no small part, I'm sure you'd agree, by stupid rural Southerners whose sole motivation for voting for the man was that he was a nice man and a good Christian.  Pakistan is a police state as it is, so misunderstanding the definition of martial law may make bad policy, but fits in nicely with the developing Pakistan=bad story the media is pushing.  I also don't think that the illegal immigration thing won't hurt him that much--the scare notion of a white american person being denied in-state education at the expense of some scary brown person doesn't hold water--no one is being denied anything,  and college educations and middle class aspirations are exactly the type of assimilation behaviors that Americans have come to expect of all immigrants,  so people aren't all that emotionally angry about Mexicans going to college.    

Ready or not, here he comes!

He'd lose to Obama or Biden or Edwards,  but I like his odds against Hillary.  All predictions declared null and void when Bloomberg/Hagel enter the race.  

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

Steve Urkel.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 02:21:32 PM EST

none

"George Bush defeated a much more intelligent candidate"

Kerry is actually slightly dumber than Bush. That's why Kerry's campaign was so bad.

"people aren't all that emotionally angry about Mexicans going to college"

Ordinary people are tired of picking up the tab for immigrants in so politicians can engage in displays of non-racism.

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Playoffs?

Acefantastik.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 02:41:43 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

Kerry is actually slightly dumber than Bush. That's why Kerry's campaign was so bad.

I'd liken Kerry to the Jim Mora, Sr. of big-time politics.  Remember, Jim Mora had a great early career--serviceable college player, US marine, young coach talent, two time USFL champion!   Then Mr. Mora entered the NFL, and although he blessed us with many wonderful press conferences and glorious near-misses,  he never achieved his place in the champions' circle.  Looking back on his career, Mora responded to his shortcomings philosophically, in a way that also-rans such as Senator Kerry surely have thought to themselves at some point:  "You don't know. You just don't know. You may think you know, but you don't know. And you never will."

As for who "picks up the tab" for someone forking over a few grand to the state college, I'm not sure who you are referring to.  Out-of-state tuition fees are totally a sham.

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Re: Playoffs?

Steve Urkel.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 05:13:54 PM EST

3.00 (astute, astute)

My recollection is hazy, but wasn't Mora driven to "diddley poo" after losing to fairly high quality oponents?

I know we disagree on what should be done about immigration, but wrong or not I think it's a fact people are motivated on this issue and it's effecting the campaign. Look at how Democrats changed regarding drivers liceneses.

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 04:34:18 PM EST

none

Didn't you previously say George Bush liked Mexicans so much because he can't speak English or read? Do you figure Kerry can't speak English or read either? Or do you put so much stock in IQ scores when these people went to college that you don't hesitate to call Kerry "slightly dumber than Bush"? That would explain why you take studies of black IQ scores so seriously, and also why you shouldn't.

So does Huckabee hate white people? Will you trust him enough to vote for him anyway?

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

Steve Urkel.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 05:06:19 PM EST

none

Do you have any evidence Kerry isn't slightly dumber than Bush? He was unable to provide any in his inept campaign loss.

"That would explain why you take studies of black IQ scores so seriously"

I take them seriously because they fit with observed reality.

 

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 05:21:35 PM EST

none

"I take them seriously because they fit with observed reality."

Like your "observed reality" that Bush can't speak English and doesn't read but still has higher IQ than Kerry, who obviously can speak English and does read?

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

Steve Urkel.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 05:40:24 PM EST

none

Yes, Bush has a slightly higher IQ than Kerry, and does slightly less than Kerry with it. This is only a cunundrum in your head.

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 09:27:22 PM EST

none

Right, so you could have higher IQ than some black or Latin person but he might do more with his than you do with yours?

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

pO157.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 12:33:37 PM EST

none

Ordinary people are tired of picking up the tab for immigrants in so politicians can engage in displays of non-racism.

I went to a private school so this is not an issue (or is it, with federally subsidized loans and all of that?) but something that kind of gets me. I got the latest version of my alumni newsletter and it included a picture of the class of 2011. What was the first thing the caption said about the future leaders of America?

The class is the largest and most diverse in our history with about 700 new students, nearly 14 percent of whom are students of color...

Is it just me, or is that ridiculous? If they want me to donate cash/IRAs/401ks/'remember them in my will' to my alma mater they have to make the case they will do something useful with the money. I want to see something that makes me proud of this group, such as 'Highest grade 9-12 overall average GPA of any incoming class! Best SAT scores!' Hell, even '17% easier on the eyes than the previous 5 classes' would have been better than subtly implying they let people in based on outward appearance.

I wish people in this country could put race behind them and abolish these stupid quota systems. Let the best people for each job or position get it and stop worrying about color.

Spread it on!

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

Ozyman.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:18:21 PM EST

none

make the case they will do something useful with the money.

I guess helping to improve the lot of classes of people who have historically been disadvantaged is not useful?  

There are plenty of reasons for affirmative action policies, and this discussion has been had a hundred and one times at every discussion site on the internet, so I won't bother to reiterate, other than to point you to the relevant wikipedia page:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affirmative_action#Justifications

One additional justification for affirmative action that they do not mention on wikipedia, is that it helps to provide role-models for the next generation, so that at some point we can do away with affirmative action.

Yes of course in the short and near term it would be better to just give the job/position to the most qualified applicant.  In the long term it is better to get everyone involved in the economy as much as possible, and to reduce the drag on our society that poor undereducated people represent.

And yes, poor and undereducated != 'person of color', but at this point in time it's the simplest way to run the system, maybe in the near future affirmative action should be based upon class instead of or in addition to race, but for now it's better than nothing.

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

pO157.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:43:07 PM EST

none

I guess helping to improve the lot of classes of people who have historically been disadvantaged is not useful?  

Hiring or admitting somebody who is less competent because of their color or just because their ancestors/relatives were disadvantaged is a horrible way to do business. It cheats the company (in cases of public employees, the taxpayers) out of the full value the better employee would have brought. In addition, it is fundamentally unfair to the person who likely put significant effort into qualifying themselves for that position to be denied over something they had no control over. Jobs, promotions, or seats in public universities should always go to the most qualified, not those with the most sympathetic stories.

One additional justification for affirmative action that they do not mention on wikipedia, is that it helps to provide role-models for the next generation, so that at some point we can do away with affirmative action.

I disagree with this assertion. What use is a role model for the next generation if it can be implied that the only way they came about their success was due to their race/color/background? Isn't Affirmative Action rather an insult, suggesting that the only way some people can rise out of poverty is to be held to  a lower standard or be given charity?

Spread it on!

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 04:28:33 PM EST

none

Let's say I believe that Catholics, Mormons, and neo-cons cannot be distinguished from international businessmen and only care about global profits. Iraq hasn't been good for global profits. Economic mismanagement and sky-high deficits at home haven't been good for global profits. Killing value of US currency hasn't been good for global profits. Alienating all of US' most dependable allies so that US could take up with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan hasn't been good for global profits. Why do you think Democrats have collected 70% more money than Republicans so far this campaign season? Why do you think hedge funds have been giving to Democrats at 5 to 1 pace over Republicans? Why do you think Rupert Murdoch now raises money for Hillary Clinton? Why do you think Richard Mellon Scaife now antes to Clinton Foundation? Why do you think Drudge can barely restrain his support for Hillary Clinton?

But Catholics, Mormons, and neo-cons really can be distinguished from global bourgeois, which explains why in 2005, 43% of Americans claimed allegiance to Republicans and 43% claimed allegiance to Democrats while now 35% claim allegiance to Republicans and 50% claim allegiance to Democrats. Republicans have already begun process of alienating substantial portion of their own previous base, but they haven't see anything yet. What 7% have swung from one side to another? Suburban northern former-Republicans.

Democrats controlled Congress from 1980 to 1994 in same way that Democrats control Congress today: in numbers but not in fact. Reagan and Bush did as they pleased, and were barely restrained by Congress  just like now. If Carter hadn't screwed up so overwhelmingly, liberal Democrats would probably have held Presidency through most of 1980s, but instead conservatives (whether they called themselves Republicans or Dixiecrats) controlled all branches of government, packing Supreme Court with crypto-fascists, thereby assuring themselves of faux-victory in 2000 presidential election even after Clinton appointed Ginsburg and Breyer.

If you live in Australia or Canada, Bush years were same as Clinton years. Otherwise, you either kid us or kid yourself. US economy was never as good as during Clinton years, even during 1950s and 1960s. Remember longest economic expansion in US history? Remember huge rise in stock market? Remember tech boom? Remember housing boom? Remember substantial rise in incomes for poor people? Remember balanced budgets, after years of record deficits? Remember Greenspan's opinion that Clinton was best economic president he served under? I guess not. Reagan and Bush years were continuation of 1970s, with high inflation, huge bank bailouts, off-and-on recessions, and so on, while years under latest Bush drove down living standards for most poor people, added to people below poverty line every year, killed currency, killed housing market, killed tech boom,  created credit crisis, and only raised stock markets after Fed started printing increasingly worthless money. "Steady" economy damns with faint praise.

"Who will they have to make excuses to?" Their former base. People who can't listen to patent nonsense and cry "Hallelujah!" This time, only class of people who will be voting for Huckabee will be stupid rural and southern fundamentalists. I doubt Catholics will be amused by his visits to openly Catholic-hating churches where he preached sermons during his primary campaign, and I doubt Mormons will be amused by his open contempt for their religion. Maybe neo-cons will embrace him because they have no choice, but if Hillary Clinton wins Democratic nomination she may look better to some of them than "bunker mentality" Huckabee.

If you like Huckabee's odds against Hillary Clinton, you can still put your money down in London and get great odds. But perhaps prospect of Bloomberg/Hagel puts you off, since that would nail Republican coffin shut, just like in 1992.    

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Re: Holiday Intuitions

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 05:17:44 PM EST

none

Consider these links when you tell yourself about "global profits":

"Huckabee's rise drives wedge between Wall Street, Evangelicals": "The Wall Street Journal editorial page has repeatedly attacked Huckabee in recent weeks, and the National Review magazine warned Republicans against committing "Huckacide.''

"Shake, rattle and roil the grand ol' coalition": "He has criticized executive pay, sympathized with labor unions, denounced 'plutocracy,' and mocked the antitax group the Club for Growth as 'the Club for Greed.' ... 'It's gone,' said Ed Rollins, who once worked as President Reagan's political director and recently became Mr. Huckabee's national campaign chairman. 'The breakup of what was the Reagan coalition -- social conservatives, defense conservatives, antitax conservatives -- it doesn't mean a whole lot to people anymore. It is a time for a whole new coalition -- that is the key..."

"Huckabee's choice: populist or fiscal conservative?": "In one memorable riff at the Reagan Library early this year, Huckabee called it 'criminal' for corporate CEOs to take fat bonuses while shipping the jobs of ordinary workers overseas, adding 'If Republicans don't stop it, we don't deserve to win in 2008.'"

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Latest Republican Poll

novy.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 07:03:23 PM EST

none

If you think your family confused, check out latest national results: McCain 17%, Huckabee 16%, Romney 16%, Giuliani 15%, Thompson 12%, and Ron Paul 7%, with 13% undecided. In poll with 4% margin of error, difference between No. 1 and No. 5 candidate amounts to 5%, barely beyond margin of error. That means no national front-runner.

Data from RasmussenMarkets.com guesstimates that Giuliani has 30.2% chance of winning Republican nomination, Mitt Romney 24.4%, John McCain 21.2%, Mike Huckabee 11.8%, and Fred Thompson 3.3%. Iowa has gone back to toss-up between Huckabee and Romney as Romney outspends Huckabee dramatically, attacking Huckabee on immigration and tax issues. Considering Romney will surely outorganise Huckabee on caucus night, even in polls probably means Huckabee has fallen back into second place. If Romney wins Iowa but McCain wins New Hampshire, who has edge in Republican race? Will two candidates have to get together, agree to entire ticket (one as President and one as Vice President) to have any chance to sew up nomination at Republican Convention? Considering Romney may be in this one to bitter end, and considering his willingness to use big money to slash and burn other candidates, eventual nominee may be injured beyond possibility of recovery, especially if one Democrat becomes heir apparent on morning of 6 February.

2

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

Acefantastik.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 12:16:30 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Who will you be pulling for on 3 January and 8 January? Do you expect any upsets?

I will be pulling for Kucinich, but I'm not a registered Democrat, so I don't really care if he wins or not---I just think he's the only candidate who sincerely  means what he says, right or wrong.  

In other news,  Hillary and her smear machine have not destroyed Obama with the whole "he's a Muslim Black Drug Dealer!" scare tactic.  However, as my Quicklink from today noted,  longtime partisan news analyst Joe Conason actually found some decent criticism of Obama's Senate record--to wit, Senator Obama has not convened hearings of the Senate sub-committee he now chairs, even though it is the somewhat important Sub-Committee on Europe.  Conason notes how Joe Biden used the same chair in the 80s to bolster his now-impressive knowledge of foreign affairs,  and although he doesn't explicitly say it,  one is reminded of Conason friend and former president Douche Clinton's completely unironic assertation that Obama has been running for president since he was in the US Senate.

Also, I'm looking forward to see how science denier, unhinged racist and Neo-nazi appeaser Ron Paul manages to outspend his rivals to victory, since you know, he and his legion of Asperger's-afflicted supporters are ALL CAPSING his way to victory on teh interwebs.  

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Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

zyxwvutsr.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 08:52:25 AM EST

3.00 (funny)

I will be pulling for Kucinich...I just think he's the only candidate who sincerely  means what he says, right or wrong
If David Duke were running and Kucinich wasn't, you'd be pulling for Duke, right?

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Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

Acefantastik.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 03:18:16 PM EST

none

I'd likely not be rooting for Duke, but if he were running on one of the two major party platforms, attracting donors, and hiring like-minded people who are then annointed as "official" parts of the party, I would be pulling for him to get press coverage, as it dovetails nicely with my "both parties are poopyheads" theory.  I am aware that you don't agree with Rep. Kucinich's silly economic ideas, but do you think that out of this group, there is a more sincere candidate?  I don't even think that Gravel is sincere because I think his crackpot electoral ambitions were based on the flawed assumption that running a campaign targeted at white boomers who wished it was 1968 again would actually translate into votes.

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Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

zyxwvutsr.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 05:24:48 PM EST

none

...but do you think that out of this group, there is a more sincere candidate?
Perhaps there is no candidate who is more sincere than Kucinich, but I don't think sincerity is a virtue when it is coupled with bad policies. President Bush is a sincere man, I think, and look where his convictions have gotten us.

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Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 01:45:59 PM EST

none

You don't think Ron Paul sincerely believes what he says, right or wrong? Please remember that Kucinich's wife actually said her husband would consider running on same ticket with Paul, probably entirely on strength of his believability on wanting to end Iraq War, not wanting to attack Iran, not caring what happens in Pakistan, not wanting US troops anywhere outside Americas, and readiness to legalise drugs. Which goes to show left-Democrat policy priorities, with isolationism becoming more important than abortion, stem cells, creation science, or support of "patriots" so far to right that some people wonder if they might be left. (At least you've come up with interesting new way to diagnose Asperger's syndrome: anyone too freaked out about war or too good with computers and internet probably has Asperger's.)

You don't think Mike Huckabee truly believes what he says, right or wrong? You don't believe his number one priority amounts to winning America back for Christ? You think he kids you? Or do you just believe left-wing politicians but not right-wing politicians, even if you haven't registered Democrat?

Paul couldn't win Republican nomination with $1,000,000,000 in cash because of war issue alone. Kucinich couldn't win Democratic nomination with $100,000,000. (With $1,000,000,000 and his hot-looking European lefty wife, maybe.) Huckabee has excellent chance of winning Republican nomination though with lots less money than most of his colleagues.

Sure Obama has been running for President since he entered US Senate. Bill Clinton knew he was running for President as soon as he became Governor of Arkansas, Hillary Clinton started running for President as soon as she moved to New York, and George Bush probably knew he was going to run for President in 1997. But raw ambition doesn't tell us how good or bad someone will be as President. Familiarity with European politics won't get Obama elected President in 2008 because big action can be found in south and southwest Asia, where his positions appeal to neo-isolationists. Conason's criticism makes no difference, for good or ill. But Hillary's failure to get any mileage out of "Muslim Black Drug Dealer" shows just how nervous she makes people; even B. Hussein Osama's negatives pale in comparison to hers.

9

^ 4

Im in yr evol, mocking yr rnpul

Acefantastik.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 03:17:44 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

You don't think Ron Paul sincerely believes what he says, right or wrong?

Not really. He's a little too clever by half.

Kucnich's wife said...

I love new celebrity candidate wives!  I especially love how Mrs. Obama and Mrs. Edwards are much smarter than their husbands.  Anyway, if Mrs. K says Dennis wants to hang out with Ronron, I'm not exactly going to object--it streamlines all my fringe favorites into one crazy cup of coffee!  With 2,100,000,000 combined, Paul/Kucinich could possibly win zero states and a few million popular votes.

Which goes to show left-Democrat policy priorities, with isolationism becoming more important than abortion, stem cells, creation science, or support of "patriots" so far to right that some people wonder if they might be left.

I think the only consistent left-Democrat position is anti-capitalism, or to put it in a milder yet longer sense "being against rampant runaway extremist capitalism that exploits humans and pollutes the earth all for economic profit and few if any tangible benefits".  A socialist like Dennis could team up with Ron Paul, since Paul will stagnate the economy as surely as Kucinich would. Centrist Democrats only care about social issues to the degree that it keeps them elected.

You don't think Mike Huckabee truly believes what he says, right or wrong? You don't believe his number one priority amounts to winning America back for Christ?

Absolutely not.  I think he's willing to play ball.  Huck figures, hey, I've been governor of the same state Clinton came from, I'm friendly with most of the establishment, I can steer the ship GW style and let my team run the show.  Huck will then get to do a few favors for some friends, and maintain the current status quo--shitty president, things seem bad, rich corporations profit and keep america propped up on precarious credit.

Or do you just believe left-wing politicians but not right-wing politicians, even if you haven't registered Democrat?

I don't really believe any of them.    Even the crazies like Dennis and Ron are aware of how electoral politics in America work--its why they've clawed their way up in the process despite their lack of sex appeal.

14

^ 9

Re: Im in yr evol, mocking yr rnpul

novy.

Sat Dec 29, 2007 at 04:53:35 PM EST

none

Please mock Ron Paul. I oppose Iraq War but find much of Paul's platform and stated beliefs anathema. But calling him "too clever", as if he calculates his statements for political advantage, ignores his unpopularity among Republicans and how he earned it.

Paul/Kucinich or Kucinich/Paul, anti-Iraq and pro-drug ticket, would make most people wonder about both of them; not wonder as in "receptive" but as in "they must be nuts". They might even be able to scare off each other's base of voters.

Anti-capitalism? You jest again. No genuinely anti-capitalist parties exist in US, including Greens. Social democracy, involving business regulation, doesn't remotely count as anti-capitalist, as you would know if you had ever lived under genuine command economy for week or two.

I agree to some extent that Huckabee would "play ball" on many issues. Republicans don't like immigration? Build walls! Republicans don't like taxes? Abolish income taxation! Republicans want "masculine" foreign policy? Which advisers do I have to hire? But Huckabee won't play ball on core issues of dismantling wall between church and state for sole benefit of fundamentalist Christianity, abortion, gay marriage, and guns. But then he won't have to either.

Not believing politicians makes for easily defended position. Even most believable politicians seem unbelievable when you scratch surface.

34

^ 2

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 10:27:16 PM EST

none

For those wondering about Democratic upsets, consider this article speculating about John Edwards winning in Iowa. He has gone slightly ahead in recent polls (24% to 23% for Clinton and 22% for Obama), most professionals think he has best organisation among Democrats in Iowa, and his message seems to be catching on so well that Obama in particular has recently begun to copy it. Since Edwards has so much less money to work with in New Hampshire and later primary states, many speculate that Edwards' victory might actually help Clinton, explaining why she has not attacked him during his recent surge to front of Iowa pack. It should be remembered that Edwards consistently does best among potential Democratic nominees in match-ups against Republicans (as might be expected from Southern white male as compared to black man or widely hated woman) even though his "populist" economic message would probably be at least as alienating to potential bourgeois supporters of Democrats in 2008 as comparable message from Huckabee has been to many Republicans.  

40

^ 34

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

Acefantastik.

Tue Jan 01, 2008 at 07:59:59 PM EST

none

It should be remembered that Edwards consistently does best among potential Democratic nominees in match-ups against Republicans

I'm not going to imply that Edwards isn't running well against this crop of Republicans, but if he was so great with his fellow Southern white men,  why didn't he help Kerry pick up any states over Gore/Lieberman?  

41

^ 40

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Tue Jan 01, 2008 at 08:08:43 PM EST

none

"Why didn't he help Kerry pick up any states over Gore/Lieberman?"

Pick one:

Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry (D-Mass)
Diebold voting machines
Fundamentalist enthusiasm for war and torture
Fundamentalist distrust of Catholic Yankees
Lack of resemblance to Jesus Christ
All of above

42

^ 41

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

Acefantastik.

Tue Jan 01, 2008 at 10:38:08 PM EST

none

Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry (D-Mass)


...picked Edwards to help him win certain "battleground" states that ended going Republican, such as Iowa and Florida and Ohio. They didn't.  They didn't even win North Carolina, which Mr. Edwards represented in the Senate at the time of the election.


Diebold voting machines

I am less interested in the 2004 voter fraud allegations, since I scorn the entire Kerry/Edwards operation.


Fundamentalist enthusiasm for war and torture

Kerry and Edwards voted for the war, supported it during the campaign, and didn't disavow until after the election.  As for "torture", I remind you that Senators Kerry and Edwards both served in Senate committees that afforded them the opportunity to view classified material,  and as we have found out, this did include briefings on interrogations.  Most of the "leadership" of the Democratic party are as culpable for the current torture regime's antics as the administration itself is.   Just because Edwards is embarrassed about it now doesn't erase the fact that he was a Senator (and a lawyer) prior to 2004, and if he thought that certain US practices were illegal, he could have spoken up.  


Fundamentalist distrust of Catholic Yankees

I don't recall alot of Fundamentalist opposition to Antonin Scalia or Samuel Alito (New Jersey-born Catholics) being appointed to the Supreme Court.  Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum is a devout Catholic who was quite popular and powerful within the Republican party, despite his election by damned Keystone Yankees.  Sean Hannity (born New York City) has a television and radio show whose ratings don't suffer in the Bible Belt even though he is a papist.


Lack of resemblance to Jesus Christ

Both Senator Kerry and Senator Edwards have nicer hair than Ronald Reagan did, but neither of them are as likable.  

43

^ 42

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 12:41:39 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Although I intended response as toss-off, thinking it obvious that Vice President can only help President when President doesn't kill sale himself immediately, and that Edwards was actually intended to help Kerry with rural midwestern voters rather than southerners (Edwards' real failure was not pushing Kerry over top in Ohio, not losing North Carolina), I address your remarks anyway.

Ohio was stolen in 2004, much as Florida was stolen in 2000. Republicans under Bush have believed in playing hardball in manner Democrats played hardball in 1960. Making it next to impossible for hundreds of thousands of urban blacks to vote in Ohio "won" that state for Bush. Now that Democrats control Ohio state government, one can safely assume that state will be stolen for Democrats in 2008, if necessary. It won't be necessary, if polls can be believed; if party takes all those extra booths from central Ohio and Cincinnati area and moves them to Cleveland and Toledo, Republicans don't have any chance, no matter who they nominate. Kerry campaign was extremely disappointing, to be sure (how could Vietnam War hero manage to convince millions of people he wasn't actually hero?), but something more than his incompetence was going on in 2004.

Democratic ambivalence about War and about torture has been damning. At time when over 60% of US people want out, it amazes me that Democrats will neither come out against it or explain why they have doubts about wisdom of rapidly departing. If US wants to stay because it covets Iraqi oil, why won't anyone have nerve to say so? If it stays because Israel and Saudi Arabia want us to stay, why won't anyone say that? If Republicans refuse to tell US people what would constitute "victory", why won't Democrats grab that ball and run with it, telling us what they hope US troops can actually accomplish that would be worth accomplishing? What do they mean when they say Surge "works"? Reducing violence to 2005 levels doesn't really explain where their new strategy takes them in long run. Have Democrats bought into nonsense that al-Qaeda in Iraq threatens US if troops depart? If so, why not just say so?

If Hillary Clinton tries to play this issue as Kerry played it in 2004, she stands real chance of losing this election to Bloomberg-Hagel, who won't have any qualms about playing War issue, and anger about it among liberals and leftists, for all it can get them.

Scalia and Alito were both anti-abortion ultra-conservatives, and every fundamentalist knew it. Santorum was also ultra-conservative. When Catholics sound like fundamentalists, fundamentalists will tolerate them. But Kerry was openly pro-abortion and liberal in every other important way besides War. Huge difference.

My last line actually meant that Edwards would have had to be Jesus to overcome Kerry's unpopularity in southern states. He wasn't. Reagan was likable in way grandfather with Alzheimer's was likable: when he was accused of breaking law during Iran-Contra scandal, you could really believe he didn't know or remember anything. With Reagan, likable meant pitiable. But US presidents shouldn't be pitiable.

46

^ 43

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

pO157.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:40:54 PM EST

none

Democratic ambivalence about War and about torture has been damning. At time when over 60% of US people want out, it amazes me that Democrats will neither come out against it or explain why they have doubts about wisdom of rapidly departing. If US wants to stay because it covets Iraqi oil, why won't anyone have nerve to say so? If it stays because Israel and Saudi Arabia want us to stay, why won't anyone say that? If Republicans refuse to tell US people what would constitute "victory", why won't Democrats grab that ball and run with it, telling us what they hope US troops can actually accomplish that would be worth accomplishing? What do they mean when they say Surge "works"? Reducing violence to 2005 levels doesn't really explain where their new strategy takes them in long run. Have Democrats bought into nonsense that al-Qaeda in Iraq threatens US if troops depart? If so, why not just say so?

Brilliant comment. The Democratic party looks like it is being run by people with no vision or common sense. At this point I would wager many recent BAs in political science or history could do a far better job managing the party than what is going on right now.

The two party system has effectively forced people to choose the lesser evil. And that makes me sad.

Spread it on!

47

^ 46

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:53:02 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

When Bloomberg-Hagel get on ballot in 48 or 49 states, possibly with assist from Independence and Reform Parties, and start calling for immediate pullout, justifying it by saying that our very presence causes chaos, Hillary Clinton won't have luxury of playing both sides of street any more. All that "responsible withdrawal" nonsense will either have to get explained or have to be jettisoned, and quickly. Lesser of two evils won't work in 2008, thank goodness.

58

^ 43

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

Acefantastik.

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 04:03:01 AM EST

none

At time when over 60% of US people want out, it amazes me that Democrats will neither come out against it or explain why they have doubts about wisdom of rapidly departing.

That is the problem with the "Democrats".  They are for the war, and all the stupidity that comes with it--Democrats are generally in favor of enriching themselves and retaining political power.  Edwards doesn't fool me a bit---for all his newfound populist rhetoric, he is still a nice white boy who found his fortune, and can therefore afford to liberalize his politics for electoral gain.  He's a fucking lawyer and a supposed liberal and he voted for the war and all its sideshows knowing that he would run for the US presidency tow years later--if you still support him after his VP run and subsequent Presidential run, you are the one who is hoodwinked. Mr. Edwards commits crimes of opportunity to get elected,  whereas you are committing crimes of intellectual stupidity if you think that his populist message is anything more than an electoral gambit.    

59

^ 58

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

novy.

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:58:51 AM EST

none

Internationalist wing of Democratic Party favoured this War at first. They thought it was mission of mercy to rid Iraqis of evil dictator. They thought they could make it possible for Iraq to produce large quantities of oil again. They wanted to do something to avenge 9/11, and they were afraid Americans would think that Afghanistan just hadn't been enough. Maybe they even thought that Iraq really had WMDs or would have them soon.

It turned out that ridding Iraq of evil dictator was first step in disintegration of country. It turned out that without unified government and in face of serious resistance, oil wasn't ever going to flow at 1979 levels. It turned out that they hadn't really won in Afghanistan yet, just waded into swamp, and that Iraq was even bigger swamp than Afghanistan. Because "libertarian" wing of Democratic Party, composed of committed isolationists, felt violated by War and angry at those who had authorised it, those internationalists like Edwards who came to realise that War was big mistake for strategic and tactical reasons couldn't just acknowledge why they had voted for War to begin with and had to pretend they had been suckered into it by wicked president and his minions.

Better US should be led by internationalist with some sense of reality, prepared to change course when his original course doesn't achieve results he hoped for, than internationalist who can never acknowledge mistakes and will continue to butt his head into meat grinder in preference to humiliation of changing course. Since I empathise with "libertarian" Democrats, it would be better to support someone you know would reject dubious wars at front end, like Howard Dean or Barack Obama or Dennis Kucinich, than someone like Edwards whose instincts would lead him into battle, even if he would correct his course if that seemed appropriate. But your wrath at internationalist Democrats, which seems more intense than your wrath at Bush Republicans who get painted as evil incarnate and thus beyond reason or logic, seems more extreme than warranted. His "crimes of opportunity" must certainly be preferred to Bush's foreign and domestic incompetence.

As for his populist message, he must realise that his message was as likely to cost him support among bourgeois community as land him Democratic nomination by positioning him as favourite of Democratic left. If that message still looked sensible to him, give him credit for believing in it. Lots of rich people believe in helping poor people.

Finally, I don't get to vote for any of these folks, so please don't make my "support" of anyone more than intellectual exercise. If you hate people who will vote for Edwards, that doesn't include me. Feel better now?

44

^ 42

Re: Home Stretch In Iowa (and New Hampshire)

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:19:11 AM EST

none

I don't recall alot of Fundamentalist opposition to Antonin Scalia or Samuel Alito

Four words:  Anti-abortion and conservative.  Those two things will trump any Yankee Carpet Bagger vibe.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

32

Four horsemen of the electoral college

Lou.

Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 06:04:06 PM EST

2.00 (funny)

It looks like Romney is taking some hits.  That's too bad since I thought he would be the best qualified to unleash the apocalypse.  Huck will do, of course...but he doesn't have the nuance that the Dark Lord looks for.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

35

^ 32

Re: Four horsemen of the electoral college

Steve Urkel.

Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 01:50:44 PM EST

none

Your witticism made me think: what do mormons believe about the apocalypse? I tried to find out, but it remains a mystery.

However I did find this site on Mormons in science fiction.

36

^ 35

I Sought The End Of Times In The House Of Mormon.

MayorBob.

Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 05:04:02 PM EST

none

I likewise came up empty.  At least nothing on the level of the Rapture or the flinging of the faithless into the Lake of Fire.  They do have a good feel for emergency planning and disaster recovery with an emphasis on recovery.  Might want to make a note to yourselves.  If you experience an Extinction Level Event which leaves you alive, remember that nice Mormon family down the street probably has a year's worth of food on hand.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

37

^ 36

News you can use

Lou.

Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 06:16:34 PM EST

none

remember that nice Mormon family down the street probably has a year's worth of food on hand.

But don't forget that they're probably armed to the frigging teeth too.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

38

^ 37

Re: News you can use

Steve Urkel.

Tue Jan 01, 2008 at 06:08:48 PM EST

none

So am I. Who isn't?

49

^ 38

Re: News you can use

pO157.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:09:03 PM EST

none

I don't own a gun. My ancestors were Quakers.

Spread it on!

39

^ 36

Re: I Sought The End Of Times

Steve Urkel.

Tue Jan 01, 2008 at 06:18:04 PM EST

none

Someone should ask Romney about it (I'm serious). Speaking of Mormons and science fiction, not only is the Mormon religion kind of science-fictiony, so are many Mormon names. A sample from that link:

Tchae, Xko, Corx, G'ni, Vvhs, Garn, Ka, Deauxti, Xymoya, Sha'Kira, Zy, Nivek, Zon'tl, Zagg, Xan, Xylan, Tolex, Zylan, Daycal, Falycid, Zerin, Davon, Sydal, Dynevore, Xtlyn.

48

^ 35

Re: Four horsemen of the electoral college

pO157.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:08:09 PM EST

none

From the (batshit crazy*) ones I know it is that all of a sudden for some reason everything is going to stop working and get shitty really fast. The odd thing is, those that believe this seem to have a different hypothesis of what is scheduled to occur and when. Zombies, plagues, high fructose corn syrup poisoning our precious bodily fluids, demons trying to slowly tempt the faithful and/or the FCC to allow more porn on TV (yes, I have heard that one). Or, on different days the problem is more centrally caused by God as "loving Jesus" is going to come back as "Hardcore Rambo Jesus" and bust some shit up in an unspecified (but terrifying) manner.

Depending on the day, air pressure, or latest internet chain e-mail you will hear that the execution of Holy Order 66 results in a long terrifying ordeal that would be any survivalists wet dream involving the need to dip into those 1 to 2 year stocks of dried grain in the basement while neighbors starve, or it will involve a nice gentle translation into "heaven" while the unbelievers roast below in torment and agony (despite the fact that the rapture concept was clearly an addition into Christianity during the early to middle ages). In short, I find it is really hard to pin down but almost sickening how some people actually seem to hope for mass calamity to befall civilization.

Anyway, it is really going to happen, man. I mean, the timing, placement and creation of the United States and the Constitution only occurred so that Joseph Smith could spread his bullshit and thus is divinely inspired. I would consult your local door to door religious salesmen for more information now.

*Of course, you have your Mormons-On-Paper-Only, or people who quit so it's only the 'true believers' my comment refers to.

Spread it on!

51

^ 48

Re: Four horsemen of the electoral college

Steve Urkel.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:22:16 PM EST

none

Are those beliefs part of official Mormon doctrine? I've read part of the book of Moromon, but I really don't know what Mormons believe, or how much of their beliefs they keep secret (I once dated an ex-mormon, and she told me there was a ritual where the priest would annoint the perky breasts of young madiens like herself with oil. I still don't know if this is true or just wishful thinking on her part.)

"I find it is really hard to pin down but almost sickening how some people actually seem to hope for mass calamity to befall civilization."

If you add in apocalyptic Greenies it's obviously a widespread urge. In the past I think people hoped the world would get destroyed because there was so much misery everywhere. Now everything is pretty good, so people hope for it because they are bored.

52

^ 48

Re: Four horsemen of the electoral college

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:40:36 PM EST

none

Mormons really don't pray for world to end. Many empathise with fundamentalists, who really do pray for world to end, and buy into all varieties of fundamentalist wickedness, including loving Jesus metamorphosing into mass-murdering Rambo Jesus, but their religion doesn't push those things. "Be prepared" if things get weird, maybe, but not "rapture". On Mormon Temple in Salt Lake City, they have inscription that something about being world's most important temple until Jews rebuild temple in Jerusalem on Temple Mount, so they certainly don't expect world to end any minute now, like so many US government officials (James Watt famously wondered what point of conservation was when Jesus was coming soon) and those who appoint them or vote for them.

Worst thing about Romney has nothing to do with his religion. He stood for one set of principles as governor of Massachusetts and now stands for exactly opposite set of principles because he wants to be President. What does he really represent? Does he really stand for anything, or will it depend on how he feels when/if he takes office?

54

^ 52

The Weeping Witness

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 05:35:16 PM EST

none

Many empathize with fundamentalists, who really do pray for world to end,

I once had a boss who was a hard-core Jehovah's Witness.  During Gulf War I: The Beginning, she was absolutely beside herself with excitement.  "This is it!  This is it!  This will be the beginning of the Rapture".  Think of children on Christmas Eve.

Fast forward - Of course, the war ended but the world didn't.  She went into a month fugue because Jeebus didn't swing down in his chariot to reward the faithful and punish the wicked.  She took days off and considered getting  medication (Scotch?)  I wanted to get her a "Sorry that Jesus didn't visit" sympathy card, but my co-workers said that would be mean.  

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

55

^ 54

What you should have done with her.

MayorBob.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:07:55 PM EST

5.00 (brilliant)

Put knock out drops in whatever she's drinking for lunch.  When she nods off everyone clears the office.  When she comes to, someone on the office PA system say "all ye who art left behind are dooooooomed" in a deep, Godlike voice.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

57

^ 55

Re: What you should have done with her.

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:22:25 PM EST

none

You're a mean mean man.

I wish I had thought of that.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

56

^ 54

Re: The Weeping Witness

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:18:06 PM EST

none

Witnesses started waiting for world to end before World War One. Their leaders told them that there was only one generation left. 93 years later, it has been somewhat longer than one generation, and yet end still stays out of reach. Fundamentalist Christians have been waiting for end since beginning of 20th century, then thought they were really close when Israel was formed, then thought they were really really close when wars in Iraq began, and yet end still stays out of reach. Some people imagine these people can cause end by supporting insane war policies, but they can't because they have always been deluded, and deluded people don't achieve their goals. Maybe all fundamentalists imagine themselves to be Soran in Star Trek Generations, ready to kill off human race for their chance to go to heaven, but they don't have any of Soran's nifty gadgets (or Hitler's psychotic rage) so they'll never pull it off. They'll get old and die and they'll never rapture, and someday their children will stop believing that world will actually end and get on with business of living.    

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