SciTech

Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Posted to SciTech on Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 06:31:43 AM EST (promoted by port1080). RSS.

Several companies in Japan, Europe, China and America have been racing to develop different versions of "thin film" solar technology, which involves wafer-thin solar cells getting printed like newspapers directly onto aluminium foil.

If perfected, cells would be flexible, light, and so cheap they might rival coal in costs of power generation. Nanosolar, based in California, claims to be mass-producing them already for proposed solar power stations in Germany, where they expect to open another factory by 2009. Nanosolar's manager in Switzerland, Erik Oldekop, says

"We aim to produce the panels for 99 cents a watt, which is comparable to the price of electricity generated from coal. We cannot disclose our exact figures yet as we are a private company but we can bring it down to that level. That is the vision we are aiming at... We are aiming to make solar power stations up to 10MW in size. They can be up and running in six to nine months compared to 10 years or more for coal-powered stations and 15 years for nuclear plants. Solar can be deployed very quickly."
Jeremy Leggett, CEO of Solar Century, Britain's leading solar energy company, said it would be "breathtaking" if new cells were as efficient as claimed, adding
"This is a revolution. But people are going to be amazed at other developments taking place in solar technologies. We will be thrilled if this technology is as efficient as the company says. It will not change the direction of solar power in itself. Spectacular improvements are also being made in other parts of the industry."
German reactors represent only part of Nanosolar's potential European market. Washington's Earth Policy Institute recently released figures that indicated that solar electricity generation was now the fastest-growing electricity source, doubling its output every two years, and pulling in government and venture capital money like never before.

Tags: edited by Port1080, written by novy, solar power, cheap (all tags)

This story: 53 comments (1 from subqueue)
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8

Robot solar cell 'farms'

Steve Urkel.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:38:57 PM EST

4.00 (funny, funny)

If you can make them light enough, then you can use the cells to power small robots that make cells and build other robots that make cells. You set them up in the desert making cells. It's all gravy. If they can be made durable, you could then start putting the thin-film cells on everything: roof tops, parking lots, fat people.

24

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Re: Gobot solar cell 'farms'

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:19:21 PM EST

4.66 (interesting, informative, informative)

You set them up in the desert making cells
Except for the robots, that idea (the desert) was central to a plan outlined in this month's Scientific American.

The basic plan is to turn the US economy into a solar-based economy (rather than fossil fuel based) over the next century. The schedule calls for 69% of all electric generation to be solar by 2050. The technologies include a new, massive direct-current transmission backbone from the US desert southwest to the rest of the country. The plan includes a combination of photovoltaic and concentrated solar plants, and would generate electricity, day and night, rain or shine, by storing excess energy as compressed air in underground caverns or as heat in tanks of molten salt.

Expensive? Sure, but it could still be fiscally prudent. Government subsidies to have a solar economy? $10 billion or so a year for the next 40 years, after which time it should be self-sustaining. But, getting to tell the Arabs to go fuck themselves? Priceless.

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Re: Gobot solar cell 'farms'

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:22:36 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

But, getting to tell the Arabs to go fuck themselves? Priceless.

Amen, brother.  We were just saying that very thing today at work.  What a joyous day it will be when we can tell the House of Saud and the rest to piss off.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

28

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Re: Gobot solar cell 'farms'

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:34:59 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

What a joyous day it will be when we can tell the House of Saud and the rest to piss off
Not to mention the Canadians.

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Re: Gobot solar cell 'farms'

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:39:57 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

Hey, wait just one freakin' second there. We've still got 1/5 of fresh water on this planet, and if you play nice, we just might let you pipe some of it to Los Angeles and Las Vegas. But we get special rates at Luxor, front row seats at Spearmint Rhino, and you have to lighten up on all that anti-Canuck banter.

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piping water

shane.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 05:30:28 PM EST

4.00 (informative, interesting)

never.  let's not do that.  bad idea.

My uncle has a good idea about water though.   We have many rivers that dump water right into the ocean.. fresh water. He figures we should just buy up some single hull tankers, park them at the mouth of a river, and load them up.   Then when someone country is in drought Canada could just send over some surplus water.  I kind of like that idea...

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^ 36

Re: punintended

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 06:32:50 PM EST

4.50 (informative, informative)

Tankers, even supertankers, are too small. Take a dry nation like Saudi Arabia, for example. They need around 15-20 billion tons of fresh water per year, and the largest single-hulled supertankers only carry about a half-million tons.

Another idea was floated, about thirty years ago, to tow icebergs to the Middle East to use as a fresh water source. I guess it never amounted to much because engineers figured out how to desalinate water cheaper than shipping it all over the place. Still, at 100 million tons, an iceberg is equivalent to hundreds of tanker ships.

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Re: piping water

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:22:38 PM EST

4.00 (astute)

If we have many rivers that dump fresh water right into ocean, why not put huge pipes at mouths of those rivers and then pipe it to wherever we want to sell it? How would that be different in principle from filling tankers, which really wouldn't work for reasons zyx gives?

48

^ 38

Re: piping water

Shy Elf.

Fri Jan 04, 2008 at 12:43:16 AM EST

4.00 (informative)

It's funny to see this this come up without reason in a solar power thread, because generally water problems are about solar power.  Agriculture is, of course, the oldest form of solar power, with the engines traditionally being horses.  Recently, demand for ethanol has doubled the price of corn.

The most economic solution to a lack of water is almost always to curtail irrigated agriculture in the area with a water shortage, and to increase it somewhere else.

The lowest cost solution to move water long distances is usually to take water from near (no not at) the mouth of the river and move it under the sea.  Since the density of fresh water is fairly close the same as that of salt water (much closer than fresh water and air), this minimizes pumping and pipeline costs, but these projects usually don't get built anyhow.

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Re: piping water

novy.

Fri Jan 04, 2008 at 07:43:03 AM EST

none

Or at least they haven't so far because they really haven't been absolutely necessary. That may change over next few years.

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Re: piping water

thefadd.

Fri Jan 04, 2008 at 03:13:03 PM EST

none

Apparently Turkey doesn't technically qualify as water rich as that final link asserts but it is still well positioned in water resources relative to its neighbors.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 38

Possible answer

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:29:56 PM EST

3.00 (informative)

The water at the mouth of a river is probably brackish.  

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: Possible answer

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:33:33 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Oh, then move those pipes ten miles upstream.

41

^ 40

Re: Possible answer

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:40:11 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

I thought of that too...but what happens if so much water is taken out that it makes ports at the mouth of the river unnavigable or destroys/disrupts animal habitats along the way?  

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

42

^ 41

Re: Possible answer

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:51:30 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Then you take less, or remove some of those pipes?

43

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Re: Possible answer

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:55:39 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

I dunno...but one thing is sure, since fresh water from rivers might not be exactly fresh, this might not be the soft option in any case.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

32

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Re: Gobot solar cell 'farms'

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:53:14 PM EST

2.00 (astute, obnoxious)

We've still got 1/5 of fresh water on this planet, and if you play nice, we just might let you pipe some of it to Los Angeles and Las Vegas
You can take that up with the people in Vegas; I don't care if they have water or not. Anyway, it won't make them like you any better.

34

^ 32

Re: Gobot solar cell 'farms'

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:59:03 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

Only thing that made people in Vegas like us any better were all those 5-loonie tips.

9

^ 8

Re: Robot solar cell 'farms'

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:41:10 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

Ok, that was funny.  However, as a fat person and even though I'm still chuckling, if you were within arm's reach I'd probably grab you and sit on you.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

10

^ 9

Re: Robot solar cell 'farms'

Steve Urkel.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:47:55 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

I had to include that, didn't I? At least I didn't share my belief that about two days after this solar utopia finally arrives an asteroid will smash into the Earth sending us back to the stone age.

13

^ 10

Re: Robot solar cell 'farms'

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:56:01 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

You might really like this church near my house. Except they think that asteroid will be called Jesus.

17

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Re: Robot solar cell 'farms'

Steve Urkel.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:01:20 PM EST

3.00 (informative)

Unlike them I'm not looking forward to asteroid.

19

^ 17

Re: Robot solar cell 'farms'

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:06:19 PM EST

3.00 (astute)

Critical distinction indeed.

1

Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 08:33:32 AM EST

2.00 (interesting)

This should do very well in countries that aren't encouraged by oil/power interests to perform a standing ankle grab.  In others?  Not so much.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

3

^ 1

Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 09:34:22 AM EST

3.50 (informative)

What's oil got to do with anything? This is about electricity, and oil accounts for only about 3% of US electrical generating capacity. (Unless you're with novy and wish to posit a massive, highly secretive conspiracy.)

12

^ 3

Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:54:16 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

I missed that part of my story in which I posited massive, highly secretive conspiracies. Unless you mean to suggest that my review of "National Treasure: Book of Secrets" was cleverly intended to hype massive, highly secretive conspiracies as posited in that movie. Or unless you mean that I don't really believe in massive, highly secretive conspiracies and so I can be presumed to advocate them because I don't believe anything I say and don't say anything I believe. Or unless you think I already have dozens of sock puppet accounts on TnT and one of them could be Lou. Or unless there really has been some massive, highly secretive conspiracy that you know about but want to deny before anyone gets any ideas that you have teamed up with it. Or unless we actually mean to be talking about oil and gas industry rather than oil industry. Or unless it was just normal ad hominem attack I was supposed to chuckle at but otherwise ignore.    

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Just so you know

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:59:01 PM EST

2.00 (offtopic, funny)

dozens of sock puppet accounts on TnT and one of them could be Lou.

After years of yoga and strength training, I am finally able to shove my hand up my own ass than thus become my own sock puppet.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

18

^ 15

Re: Just so you know

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:04:56 PM EST

1.00 (offtopic)

And you were here long before me anyway. Actually, zyx should posit that after all your years of yoga and strength training, you manipulate me rather than vice versa. Actually, I get manipulated by Red Son.

20

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Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:06:30 PM EST

1.00 (offtopic)

I missed that part of my story in which I posited massive, highly secretive conspiracies...unless you think I already have dozens of sock puppet accounts on TnT and one of them could be Lou
No, I was responding to lou, not to you.

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Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:14:04 PM EST

1.00 (offtopic)

Your last sentence of comment 3 said, in response to Lou, "Unless you're with novy and wish to posit a massive, highly secretive conspiracy." Did you expect me not to notice?

For those others who don't follow such matters, I want to express my general appreciation for zyx's efforts to make my stories look heavily-commented upon, starting with story on London. He can be part of my massive, highly secretive conspiracy any time he likes.  

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Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:21:00 PM EST

1.00 (offtopic)

There was a story on London?

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Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:35:03 PM EST

2.50 (offtopic, funny)

Notice how modest (and secretive) zyx can be. He belittles his 15 comments in "Greatest City On Earth" as if they didn't happen (some stories here don't get that many comments altogether), or as if he didn't notice story was about London, or as if he didn't notice I wrote it. I still remember his ringing and noble defense of Halifax (that I modded to 5.00) in face of rEv's Montreal-based onslaught with gratification.

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Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:51:23 PM EST

1.00 (offtopic)

He belittles his 15 comments in "Greatest City On Earth"...
Oh, that story. I had forgotten.

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Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:56:15 PM EST

1.00 (offtopic)

Focusing instead on his more recent efforts to make my stories look like centres of attention. He can't fool me: he likes me, in spite of himself. I feel like Sally Field, minus 15 years and all those bone problems.

4

^ 3

Reading is fundamental

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 09:42:13 AM EST

2.00 (funny)

Please note I said "oil/power interests".  I would hazard a guess and say that US power companies account for close to 100% of power  generation in the US (not counting power bought from Canada during times of needing to buy power from Canada).

And don't be silly...I don't think there's a secretive cabal of oil/power interests that is out to control the US.  We're way the fuck past that...(Cheny...coff coff...Bush...coff...Haliburton et al...coff coff fucking COFF.)

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

5

^ 4

Re: Reading is fundamental

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 10:07:16 AM EST

3.00 (informative)

I would hazard a guess and say that US power companies account for close to 100% of power  generation in the US...
Those companies are heavily regulated. In fact, they are forced to buy electricity from you if you have a means to generate some.

More importantly, why would a US power company not want to get into the solar energy business? You're comment is illogical.

7

^ 5

Re: Reading is fundamental

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:32:59 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Not at all.  While it's true that power companies need to buy back electricity from a consumer, this will probably only last as long as home grown electricity generation is costly and complicated (having solar panels on your roof can even effect your home insurance).  And while it's true that it's possible that for the time being this stuff might be beyond the scope of an average home owner, how long do you think it will be before this film can be bought at home depot?  Now, I'm feeling kind of optimistic today so say that if this stuff does work as advertised and if it does  become cheap enough where we see Norm installing it on This Old House, power companies will probably ask the legislature in each state to let them off the hook for paying for home generated power.

Or they could stifle it somehow...whichever is cheaper for them.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

51

^ 7

Meter Reading is fundamental

JimmyHavok.

Fri Jan 04, 2008 at 05:33:23 PM EST

5.00 (informative, informative)

The net-metering clause in Hawaii's power regulations states that it only applies so long as co-generation produces less than 1/10th of 1% of the system's capacity.  Cute, eh?

52

^ 51

Re: Meter Reading is fundamental

Lou.

Fri Jan 04, 2008 at 09:32:37 PM EST

none

Cute indeed...like the old saying goes, "never come between a dog and its meat".

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

11

^ 7

Re: Reading is fundamental

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:52:44 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

...this will probably only last as long as home grown electricity generation is costly and complicated...
What, and the laws will suddenly and miraculously change?

...if it does  become cheap enough where we see Norm installing it on This Old House, power companies will probably ask the legislature in each state to let them off the hook for paying for home generated power
Let me try to be a bit clearer: I was using the example of being forced to purchase off-grid power merely to illustrate the fact that energy companies cannot simply do whatever they feel like doing. The more important idea that I wanted you to keep in mind was contained in my question, "why would a US power company not want to get into the solar energy business?" If it's true that the capital costs of these new solar cells (which I should note are being marketed for industrial installations, not for household use) is comparable with constructing a coal plant, why wouldn't an electric company want to invest in a solar plant rather than a new coal plant? Unlike coal the cost of sunshine is constant, after all.

53

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Electric Plant Selection

Shy Elf.

Sat Jan 05, 2008 at 07:59:19 PM EST

5.00 (informative, informative)

Utilities and other companies tend to think differently about which kind of plant they want.  Looking at some statistics from September:

Electricity Generation by Fuel, %, Sept 07
              US Total  US Utilities
Coal             47.8     59.8
Natural Gas      24.7     14.7
Nuclear          19.0     17.4
Oil               1.0      1.4
Hydro             4.1      6.4
Wood              0.91     0.08
Wind              0.74     0.17
Waste             0.40     0.05
Geothermal        0.35     0.04
Solar             0.0196   0.0005
Other Renewable   2.4      0.3
Other             0.32     0.02

Utilities strongly avoid alternative energy relative to other energy companies, with the only bright spot being a low reliance on natural gas.  A lot of this comes from the responsibility of a utility to assure that the system doesn't collapse, which gives them the responsibility to maintain reserve generating capacity.  They need power which they will know will be available at demand peaks.  If you're going to supply power from wind, you need a storage project (usually pumped storage hydroelectric) as well to assure that the power is available when you need it.  Where we've had deregulation, generally a non-utility wind power producer gets a free ride by not having to assure that the power is available when needed.

It's unclear how this effects solar energy, since solar energy output will peak during the summer peak demand times, but the very rare but worst electricity capacity crises usually occur in the winter as a combination blow with a natural gas pipeline capacity shortage.

The article actually claims that organic solar panels will be cost competitive "within 5 years", which is exactly the same thing I remember reading about them 3 years ago.  It makes no claims that they are cost-competitive now.

The majority of our current problems with electric supply stem from the freeze in coal sulfur emissions.  This made coal plants more expensive, causing power producers to turn to natural gas plants instead, which resulted in a shortage of natural gas and sharp spikes in natural gas prices.  In September 07, 24.7% of US electric power was produced from natural gas, up from  21.8% in Sept 06, and this is way above where it was about 5-10 years ago.

Our electricity policies do make oil availability significantly worse, chiefly through its use of natural gas, which in addition to competing directly with oil in the space heating market, can also be used quite easily to power vehicles.

With recently increased natural gas prices, coal is once again the low cost source of electric power, and don't expect any movement from this until we see greenhouse warming legislation.  Power companies are expecting this to come as a freeze as and then a gradual reduction, which will reward power companies for having CO2 emitting plants in place at the time it is passed with tradeable grandfathered emission permits, so the prospect of greenhouse warming legislation is actually a government incentive to emit more CO2 at the present time.

From looking at the current distribution of plants, it should be obvious that the preferred low-cost non-CO2-emitting power plant technology of power companies is nuclear power.  I would think that cellulose-waste burning plants ought to be even more profitable, especially if used to produce hydrogen as a byproduct for petroleum refining or the generation of gasoline from coal.  Wind power is very competitive now as well, but the best sites are mostly in northern Canada, and would require a long-distance power transfer network to be built.

For solar energy, at the present time it is clearly far cheaper to use concentrated solar energy to drive a heat engine to generate electricity than it is to use photovoltaics, and costs for will go down a lot farther with mass production, but despite this concentrated solar power seems to receive very little attention.

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From the article

Lou.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:11:21 PM EST

4.50 (astute, brilliant)

"Indeed, it is so light it can be stuck to the sides of buildings."

While the costs are comparable to constructing a coal plan for now, they most certainly will drop over time (did you know that a "cell phone" in the early 80s cost something like 4 grand?).  My question is this:  If a technology becomes so cheap that everyone can just slap it up on their home and produce something that used to be expensive, would a business invest tons of money to build a plant that will make a product that folks can get for free?

Now, I can give a tentative answer of yes if you need yards and yards of the stuff to create any appreciable amount of power.  If the installation requires a vast acreage of room, then it will probably remain outside of the scope of the small user and you are correct.  However, if it becomes cheap enough to slap on fat people (according to Steve), then I stand by what I meant originally that power companies will make a fuss over anything that could put them out of business.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

27

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Re: From the article

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:33:54 PM EST

4.00 (astute, astute)

If a technology becomes so cheap that everyone can just slap it up on their home and produce something that used to be expensive, would a business invest tons of money to build a plant that will make a product that folks can get for free?
Mostly for 24x7x365 capacity. See my comment below for a link to an article that explains the type of technologies that are needed to store electricity. People who currently use off-grid solar get their nighttime/rainy-day power either from the grid (producing and selling excess during the day, then buying it back at night) or by using on-site storage in the form of batteries, which are quite expensive.

16

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Re: Reading is fundamental

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:00:59 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

"Why would a US power company not want to get into the solar energy business?" Because they have common ownership with companies that mine coal or drill for natural gas?

14

^ 5

Re: Reading is fundamental

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 01:57:44 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

"Those companies are heavily regulated." If only they were free to buy Congressmen and Senators like other energy companies...

2

^ 1

Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 09:22:12 AM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Alternatives:

US technological advantage over other countries will end up being broken by political power of oil and energy companies desperate to avoid loss of stranglehold over US economy, willingness of such companies to engage in financial attacks on leading edge alternate energy companies, willingness of such companies to threaten and/or kill inventors of alternate energy-producing technologies, resource wars promoted by such companies, US presidents backed by anti-science elements like fundamentalist Christians killing US science education and preventing many kinds of biological research, and increasing movement of Western scientists to European Union or elsewhere in English-speaking world. When Japanese and Chinese technology no longer follow in footsteps of US technology but create new products based on their own advances, even US commercial advantages will start to wane.

People living in productive states like Northeast, northern Midwest, and west coast will take back their country from oilmen and fundamentalists, stop wasting money on battles for bygone energy supplies, rapidly retool their country to use alternate technologies that already exist, re-elevate science and technological innovation, and push religion back into its proper place in their society.

Changes in modern world take place at breakneck speeds. Countries whose citizens no longer have stomach for keeping up fall behind. When country based on immigration falls behind, its most productive social elements will begin to look elsewhere.

6

^ 2

Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

skeptic.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 12:45:30 PM EST

3.00 (astute, astute)

Since the company making these new and better solar cells is based in California, I do not see this as a sign that the US is losing its technological advantage over other countries.  This is exactly what the US needs to do in order to maintain its advantage; it is inventing new and better technologies.  Whether this will be enough to save the US, I cannot say.  The US has very serious problems these days.  But better technology, invented in the US, will help.  Not all the news is bad.

21

^ 6

Re: Solar Energy Revolution In Prospect

novy.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:08:30 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

Company comes from California, but only clients so far come from Europe, and they plan to open German factory next year. US has tons of brilliant people, but without clients or governmental assistance, they will end up somewhere else.

44

^ 21

consistency

skeptic.

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 09:30:02 AM EST

4.00 (astute)

In a different discussion (about religion) when I claim that the human race is not doing a good job of managing the world and could use some divine assistance, you disagree and cite all the magnificent progress that human civilization has made.  When, in this discussion, I express my appreciation for the progress that the US has made in the field of solar power technology, you disagree and predict that it will all work out badly for the US.  So which is it, novy?  Are we doing well or are we doing badly?  Does the US have a happy future?  I actually doubt that it does, but nonetheless, this particular technological development is undoubtedly a good thing.  Even if it is ONLY used for the purpose of exporting it to other countries, the US needs more exports anyway, to alleviate its balance of trade deficit.  And I really see no reason why the new solar power technology will not eventually be used in the US as well as exported elsewhere.  There is no need to be pessimistic about that unless you just enjoy pessimism.  And you don't seem to, given your other comment about how well the human race is doing at the overall job of managing the world.

45

^ 44

Re: consistency

novy.

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:10:08 AM EST

none

Human race has been doing great, and will probably continue to do great. Individual countries may do great and may fall behind.

Ever since US emerged as world-beating superpower, Americans have lost more and more of their original freedoms. When one country has too much power, people motivated by desire for power plot to subjugate that country and its people so they can use that country's power as they see fit. But to extent they succeed in appropriating power to their own ends, that power diminishes until dominating that country no longer has any special utility.

Britain once was superpower also, but no longer. For ordinary citizens of Britain, loss of superpower status has meant better life in most respects. When US loses superpower status, it will mean better life for Americans in most respects. European Union, China, India, Russia, and Brazil/Argentina cannot become superpowers fast enough for my tastes. Call that pessimism if you like, but it might be more accurate to call it wishful thinking.

46

^ 45

Re: consistency

skeptic.

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:55:06 AM EST

none

You previously claimed that the US, having developed a superior form of solar power cell, will not benefit from this and will lose its technological advantage, which is a somewhat odd conclusion to draw from an actual technological advance.  This doesn't particularly have anything to do with the superpower status of the US which you are now discussing.  However, I will agree that being a superpower doesn't seem to be doing the US very much good.  If the US could stop trying to dominate global politics it could devote its resources to making the US a better country.  Solar power will help.

47

^ 46

Re: consistency

novy.

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:57:03 AM EST

none

Solar power really would help, and I hope you get to use it.

35

^ 21

Money

profwhat.

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 04:15:18 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

Don't worry -- Al Gore has everyone buying "carbon credits" now, so I am sure there will be lots of money available for investment into solar power.

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