Politics

"Do Run, Run, Ron" Or "Don't Run, Ron?"

3fingerspointback.

Posted to Politics on Mon May 28, 2007 at 08:27:33 PM EST (promoted by 1fastdog). RSS.

Amongst the almost homogeneous field of 2008 Republican presidential candidates, Ron Paul has consistently stood out by promoting the Libertarian ideals of personal privacy, small government, and withdrawal from the international community.  Until two weeks ago, the attitudes of the Republican front-runners towards Paul was generally bemused tolerance.

What changed things was Paul's performance in the May 15 Republican debate.  Not only did Paul break with the field to decry the use of "Enhanced Interrogation Techniques" on prisoners, he also drew the wrath of Rudy Giuliani when Paul dared to suggest that the motivations of the September 11th terrorists were partly blowback from existing US policy in the Middle East.

The Republican pile-on was immediate.  Sean Hannity got in the first shot that very night, when he questioned Paul's moral judgment against foreign intervention.  Most of Hannity's network colleagues followed suit over the next week.  As Michelle Malkin attempted to link Paul with the "911 Truth" conspiracy theorists, someone else dug up excerpts from an old Paul newsletter that made racist generalizations about blacks.  A few Republican party leaders tried to ban Paul from future debates.

Clearly, the big-tent GOP is primed for a great revolt from within, as its mouthpieces carelessly alienate Paul supporters that number in the...well, how many are there, anyway?  Telephone polls have consistently pegged his popularity below "none" among Republicans, yet every time the Internet is used as a measurement, Paul looks like a front-runner.  The Paul campaign claims that it is not coordinating any sort of internet vote campaign itself, but that its members are highly networked amongst each other--probably by using a few of the seven networking services prominently displayed on the Paul home page.  If both online and telephone polls are accurate then the Paul campaign must be incredibly dedicated, as his name remains at the top of Technorati's most-popular list, and his YouTube subscription count now almost doubles that of Barack Obama.  Some Right wing forums have tried to counter this trend by banning Paul from further polls.

So whither Paul?  Will he split the Republicans enough to cost them the White House in 2008, like Nader did?  Or will he pass into obscurity as a gimmick candidate who affected nothing, like Nader also did?

Tags: written by 3fingerspointback, edited by 1fastdog, politics, GOP, Libertarian, Ron Paul, presidential candidates (all tags)

This story: 16 comments (5 from subqueue)
Post a Comment
1

Repetitive Comment

pO157.

Mon May 28, 2007 at 08:33:21 PM EST

4.00 (funny)

If he gets significant support look for a vote splitting effort in the primaries by the evangelicals and neo-cons signing up "Ru Paul."

Politics makes strange bedfellows. Sometimes one of them is a tranny. Usually the neo-cons have to pay extra for that kind of action, though.

2

Funny thing

tomc.

Mon May 28, 2007 at 11:32:59 PM EST

4.00 (interesting, interesting)

While Ron Paul will not win the Republican nomination, the funny thing is that if he did, he'd probably win the 2008 presidential election.

4

^ 2

Re: Funny thing

port1080.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 07:47:23 AM EST

5.00 (astute)

I think Ron Paul is to libertarians what Howard Dean was to greens / lefties in 2004. He looks new and exciting compared to the rest of the field, and his nominal platform appeals strongly to technically literate young men (keep your hands off my pot, my porn, and my stock portfolio!). Once you scratch the surface, however, just as Dean wasn't all that much of a lefty (at least, no more than any of the other major candidates - his one distinguishing feature was opposing the Iraq War), Ron Paul isn't all that much of a libertarian. He's morally pretty conservative (for instance, he opposes abortion and gay marriage, and desires regulation of both at the state level - a solution that would almost certainly result in many states banning both), something that alienates large chunks of the libertarian base. His big support comes from (like Dean) his opposition to the Iraq War (and overall isolationism). Take that away, and he's not much different from any of the other GOP candidates - and in some ways, more conservative. I consider myself to be somewhat of a libertarian (although I'm probably more of a civil libertarian at this point - I'm more willing to support the need for taxes and government services than I used to be), but I don't really get a good vibe from Paul...he's a bit more polished than some of the crazier parts of the libertarian party, but even if he did somehow survive the Republican Primary, he'd get ripped up in the general election.

10

^ 4

Re: Funny thing

pO157.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 03:54:52 PM EST

none

he's a bit more polished than some of the crazier parts of the libertarian party, but even if he did somehow survive the Republican Primary, he'd get ripped up in the general election.

I don't know if he would necessarily be ripped apart in the general election. Looking over his record I see a few things right now that appeal to a large section of the electorate. He voted against the Patriot Act and the Iraq war, likely before you could argue it became "trendy" to do so. How many candidates right now could say they did that? His immigration initiatives and approaches to reducing the national debt also likely appeal to the fiscal conservatives who are probably quite irked that their party has been hijacked into spending like there is no tomorrow. He has strong points that would be considered by both sides.

You'll never find a perfect candidate -- I know there were things about Gore and Kerry that I disagreed with even as I voted for them. I could see some liberals in a hypothetical general election choking their disgust over his gay rights and abortion positions in order to get the rest of the package (Let's be realistic: with a Democratic controlled congress it is unlikely those would be enacted anyway and his HR 4379 would likely be smacked down as unconstitutional). Conservatives would go for the fiscal control, limited government and 2nd amendment rights portions of his platform. It could happen.

Of course this is all very hypothetical, as I believe he has no chance in the republican primary. Then again, who knew about Edward Miner Lamont, Jr. before the whole 'netroots' thing took off?

11

^ 10

Re: Funny thing

thefadd.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 05:07:14 PM EST

none

I know I voted Gore but living where I knew Kerry would win anyway, I'm trying to remember if I was actually able to bring myself to punch the hole for that douche.

Gosh, I really miss the booths where you can pull the lever.

make it rain you nappy headed ho's

12

^ 11

Re: Funny thing

pO157.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 06:08:05 PM EST

none

I had the exact opposite thing happen to me. I lived in probably one of the most conservative states in the nation during the Kerry/Bush election. Even though I knew Bush would likely take my state with 70%+ of the vote (and that was low -- the protest vote sentiment was unreasonably high that election cycle) for some reason I couldn't get it together enough to make a statement by voting for a 3rd party candidate such as Michael Badnarik.

So I probably threw my vote away. Well, I suppose "throwing a vote" away in a state where the next most popular party routinely polls in the 20%s and the campaign headquarters is run out of a tiny storefront in an abandoned building by a porn shop and doesn't have signs to give out because "the national party wrote us off before the election even started" is a matter of degrees.

3

^ 2

Re: Funny thing

rEvolution inAction.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 01:04:27 AM EST

none

You sure about that? You could be right, because he's probably the only one who would say what needs to be said (everyone else is sold out on both sides).  If I could vote in your elections, he's the only one candidate aside from a Obama/Clinton ticket that I see as worthwhile.

Tipping Sacred Cows

5

^ 3

Re: Funny thing

pO157.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 07:59:42 AM EST

none

I wonder what would happen with both chambers of congress controlled by the democratic party and Ron Paul as president. That would be interesting.

All I know is that every time I hear everybody on CNN talk about Obama as "The First AFRICAN-AMERICAN" President or Clinton as "The First Woman" President or similar shallow platitudes rather than any actual serious discussion of the issues I think I vomit in my mouth a little. The whole affair has simply become a 4th grade student council election writ large.

7

^ 5

Re: Funny thing

tomc.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 12:36:01 PM EST

4.00 (astute)

I hear everybody on CNN talk about Obama as "The First AFRICAN-AMERICAN" President

I thought Bill Clinton was the first African-American President.

6

^ 5

Re: Funny thing

rEvolution inAction.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 12:17:56 PM EST

none

No one else running for the posts speaks about serious issues, they just talk about what their sponsors tell them to.

Tipping Sacred Cows

8

^ 2

Also Funny

uncarved block.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 01:05:18 PM EST

none

   Odd. I've run into a few folks (in print) who felt the same way about Kucinich, if he ever won the Democratic nomination.

Ex ignorantia ad sapientiam; e luce ad tenebras

13

Bigger than Paul

3fingerspointback.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 11:53:53 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

The pols and pundits who took aim at Paul may have thought they were only risking his supporters.  However, I think they just sent a pretty unflattering message towards the much larger body of potential GOP voters that are questioning why we are in Iraq--"don't question us, because we'll do our best to humiliate and marginalize you".  If this is the message the Republicans really want to send, I predict that a lot of their potential supporters will be staying home next year.

(is 3fingerspointback)

14

^ 13

Re: Bigger than Paul

pO157.

Wed May 30, 2007 at 06:25:05 AM EST

none

Seriously. Why are they attempting to drive things further to the right? This should be an election where the candidates are jumping over each other to avoid partisianship and move toward a more centrist position, or at least have "something for everybody." What ever happened to the party of the "Big Tent?"

The point is, while shenanigans like that can help energize a base it doesn't matter if the base gradually erodes over time and is a small minority anyway. Didn't Bush & Co try that in the days before the last election cycle? And we all know how that ended up.

9

Completely Off Topic

keta.

Tue May 29, 2007 at 02:27:29 PM EST

none

I don't know who Ron Paul is, and I don't give a tinker's fart who Ron Paul is.  I just wanted to vent about how blogs have copied (books;movies) the spurious practice of cherry-picking certain words from reviews to give a totally false rave when the parent was, in truth, a rant.

You'll see at the top of Malkin's blog (3rd link, 3rd para) the pronouncement, "Firecracker - The New York Times."  Now I read the original review of her website in the NYT, and what it really said was, "Malkin is a shrill and discordant gasbag who plays so fast and loose with facts that one day someone will shove a firecracker up her ass, out of which she speaks, and mercifully silence her."

Ta, my vent is spent.

15

RON PAUL! ZOMGBBQ!@@*!!!!!!1111111

pO157.

Tue Jun 05, 2007 at 09:27:45 PM EST

none

Interesting to note Ron Paul's "netroots" continue to kick butt on the internet yet he receives little notice in the mainline polls or mainstream campaign attention.

As you can see in a completely non-scientific poll on MSNBC as of now he is ~60% in 3 categories along the lines of "Who won the debate/kicked the most ass?"

Sadly, clearly netroots aren't everything.

16

^ 15

Re: RON PAUL! ZOMGBBQ!@@*!!!!!!1111111

pO157.

Wed Jun 06, 2007 at 11:55:59 AM EST

none

I'm an idiot who cannot use HTML appropriately, I guess.

Anyway, here is the real link to the poll: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18963731/

This story: 16 comments (5 from subqueue)
Post a Comment