Etcetera

Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Wouldn't Ask

Steve Urkel.

Posted to Etcetera on Sun Jul 22, 2007 at 08:53:14 PM EST (promoted by 1fastdog). RSS.

"Perhaps you can feel your blood pressure rise as you read these questions. Perhaps you are appalled that people can so much as think such things. Perhaps you think less of me for bringing them up. These are dangerous ideas -- ideas that are denounced not because they are self-evidently false, nor because they advocate harmful action, but because they are thought to corrode the prevailing moral order."

So writes Harvard professor, Steve Pinker, in an essay titled "In defense of dangerous ideas." This isn't Pinker's first foray in dangerous idea territory as evidenced by his linkage (he wrote the introduction) to the John Brockman book, What Is Your Dangerous Idea?: Today's Leading Thinkers on the Unthinkable .

Some of the dangerous ideas Pinker finds needful of discussing include:

Do women, on average, have a different profile of aptitudes and emotions than men?

Were the events in the Bible fictitious -- not just the miracles, but those involving kings and empires?

Did Native Americans engage in genocide and despoil the landscape?

Do most victims of sexual abuse suffer no lifelong damage?

Is morality just a product of the evolution of our brains, with no inherent reality?

Would society be better off if heroin and cocaine were legalized?

Is homosexuality the symptom of an infectious disease?

Would it be consistent with our moral principles to give parents the option of euthanizing newborns with birth defects that would consign them to a life of pain and disability?

Is the average intelligence of Western nations declining because duller people are having more children than smarter people?

Would unwanted children be better off if there were a market in adoption rights, with babies going to the highest bidder?

Should people have the right to clone themselves, or enhance the genetic traits of their children?

Should dangerous ideas be discussed? Which of Pinker's dangerous ideas do you agree/disagree with, and what are your dangerous ideas?

Tags: written by Steve Urkel, edited by 1fastdog, dangerous ideas, Steve Pinker, John Brockman, etcetera, morals (all tags)

This story: 58 comments (7 from subqueue)
Post a Comment
2

Re: Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Would

Thalia.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 12:09:11 AM EST

4.00 (astute)

My dangerous idea:  Scientists refuse to consider science which conflict with their prejudices.  They will ignore the scientific method in order to avoid having to reconsider.

Sadly true, and well documented.  Despite this, scientists refuse to acknowledge this fact.

Thalia

6

^ 2

Re: Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Would

port1080.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 07:02:55 AM EST

4.00 (astute)

It's not that they don't acknowledge it - they've acknowledged it for a long time (this book is probably required reading for every graduate and most undergraduate science majors, and quite a few in the social sciences as well). The problem is that it's hard to notice (that's the whole reason it's a problem). If you and everyone else around you operates as if a certain thing is fact, of course you're going to be suspicious when someone tells you it's not - and indeed, most times you should be suspicious, because odds are you're right (especially with cutting edge science, like cold fusion, etc.).

47

oops

nmiguy.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 12:20:50 PM EST

4.00 (astute)

Since, not sing.  Damn typo.  The point is that it is a high percentage of financial expenditure, and we still have yet to really pay for this war, for veterans health and benefits, and for all the lawsuits for crimes committed by the US.  The amount we've spent and the percentage of GDP cannot be calculated yet.  But that figure above?  Double it.  

4

I come to debase the currency

Steve Urkel.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:16:50 AM EST

3.50 (astute, obnoxious)

In profound contrast to the typical university professor, I favor free speech and the free exchange of ideas in general, but beyond that there are various reasons why open discussion of the ideas on that list should be tolerated. I think discussing the 'gay germ' theory, for example, should be tolerated because science should not be supressed,  and because objection to discussing it is irrational.

Some worry that open discussion of certain ideas will lead to those ideas happening. I believe it's the opposite, and that without open discussion the novelty of bad arguments can take a society by suprise, and by the time resistance to the ideas is formulated it's too late.

Some argue not discussing certain things is a matter of politeness (these people typically argue 'political correctness' is merely a form of politeness). But these people are dishonest. If Larry Summers was merely speaking the truth rudely by mentioning the well established inate cognitve differences between men and women, it wouldn't have been necessary to destroy him. But the truth contradicted a political and economic agenda. Which is why I never feel bad about bringing these types of things up. If I lived in a monoracial society, I probably wouldn't talk about race and IQ. But I live in a multiracial society, where the same people who want to supress discussion of this topic also favor policies to make society more multiracial, and at the same time seek economic and political redress when different races have differences in outcomes. The actions of these people demand this topic be discussed. (In fact I think Stinker avoids the full dangerousness of one of his ideas- "Is the average intelligence of Western nations declining because duller people are having more children than smarter people?", by leaving a specific mention of the immigration of lower IQ people out of that equation).

So it's going to seem a bit odd when I say discussion of certain things can "corrode the prevailing moral order", in fact can potentially corrode the order in general. When you take lines of thinking down to their roots - Pinker's example of "Is morality just a product of the evolution of our brains, with no inherent reality?" is a truly dangerous one, because in order to function all societys must contain certain premises which are irrational and so the questioning of the rationality of such basic premises can undermine a society (i.e. Where does authority and the prevailing morality come from? It's best to pull it out of hat (God) and move on).

7

^ 4

Re: I come to debase the currency

port1080.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 07:56:25 AM EST

4.50 (interesting, interesting)

In profound contrast to the typical university professor, I favor free speech and the free exchange of ideas in general

Since I'm in an academic career path right now it may shock you to find that I generally agree with this sentiment (even if it is a dig at my chosen profession). The tenure system is flawed - while one is free to do whatever one wants once one gets tenure, in the years leading up to that magical point it behooves one to do only the most PC and uncontroversial research. The top one or two percent might do something creative and controversial and use their success as a platform to get a job at a top school, but the vast majority feel intense pressure to conform just to make it through their tenure reviews. On top of that, once a prof has tenure, rather than being an incentive to pursue controversial or groundbreaking research, it can often lead to a steep decline in productivity (as the "publish or perish" motivation disappears). Hence you have the perverse result of the vast majority of new research papers being written by those with (relatively speaking) the least amount of experience, combined with the work of a few "top names" who can publish pretty much whatever they want due to their connections, even if it's rambling drivel or ad hominem attacks on researchers they disagree with. Also, one must consider that the tenure system often protects research that is, rather than controversial, simply absurd (i.e. Idaho's Mr. Bigfoot, who has also spent countless research hours trying to prove that the events of the Book of Mormon can't be refuted through genetic testing...).

That said, I'm not sure what the solution is. Ditching the tenure system for some sort of market system would probably improve performance (you already see this in the sciences, where there is much more research money, and hence much more competition for the high dollar grants), but a market system would also push people away from researching controversial topics, because if it's something people don't want to hear they aren't going to pay you good money to do an in depth study on it. Additionally, the pressure to perform would push research away from borderline research areas, because nobody would bother looking into a subject unless their was a sure (or almost sure) payoff. This would certainly lead to better performance numbers, but if we're truly interested in "free speech and the free exchange of ideas in general" we must also consider the impact of incentive systems in pushing research in one direction or another.

39

^ 7

A Simple Solution

uncarved block.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 09:33:28 PM EST

5.00 (interesting)

     Whenever the subject of the "decline of the university" comes up, I have many mixed responses. The first is to wonder when, exactly, universities were ever all free wheeling in the first place; writers, journalists, and provocative thinkers of all stripes have warned against going to one expecting a wide range of thinking for centuries, and pointing to anything before 1800 for an example strikes me as sheer folly. (Note: there are probably exceptions, but we're talking about the institution of the university as a whole.) Add in the typical claptrap about Political Correctness, and the political baggage grows to be too heavy to carry.
    Why are universities so conservative (ie resistant to change)? Well, there are two or three things I can think of off the top of my head, all related to the actual job without any culture war BS to consider. The first is that teaching is actually pretty drudging as a line of work for all but the luckiest profs, at least in the US model. Several classes each week, with prep time (in theory!) for all of them; the incessant deluge of grading homework; the emotional fatigue of dealing with poor students; and the constant struggles with your fellow teachers as professionals and individuals doesn't get any easier after ten or fifteen years. Add in a healthy heaping of extracurricular bullshit, and it's amazing your typical prof doesn't run screaming off campus at the end of every day.
    Then there's the students, the vast majority between the ages of 18-22. Dealing with one age group for years on end can be stultifying, to say the least, and must only get harder as a teacher gets older. This was the main reason I got out of the career, so perhaps I'm too sensitive on the subject, but the lack of variety must get fairly numbing after a while.
    In the same vein, the subject matter is a lot less variable than it appears at first blush. In my own major of English, the expectation, the core requirements, included survey courses covering English and American literature from beginning to about 10-30 years ago. This added up to five courses (two for the American, three for the English), each of which had to be offered at least twice every other year, and with a pool of four profs (at most) to teach each cycle. (The sciences strike me as even more tightly wound, though I don't have direct experience.) There are certain fundamentals everyone with a certain major should know before getting a Bachelor's degree, and this makes up (in my experience) most of what the faculty at a university does year in and year out. It's possible to remain intellectually curious after a decade or two of doing this, but it sure doesn't look easy.
    So what's the solution? Following a snippet from Jacques Barzun- certainly no PC liberal type, from what I gather- we should accept that the goal of education is "to remove ignorance", and judge universities more by that standard than any projection or idealization. Perhaps a revival of the salon is in order, possibly even televised in much the same way as C-SPAN. Perhaps think tanks could be expanded, and even rated or reviewed so that viewers would be better informed about the assumptions and politics underlying speeches and panels. Maybe local branches could do the trick, much as the fraternal orders keep lodges all over the country.
    In short, I think the expectations of a "free exchange of ideas" should be removed from universities and placed into the larger society, where it belongs. Never going to happen, of course, but it's the best solution I can think of, even if it does (or maybe especially because it does) require Americans to be responsible and consistent in what they think.

    Nah, sheerest fantasy. Forget I posted this.

Ex ignorantia ad sapientiam; e luce ad tenebras

14

^ 7

Re: I come to debase the currency

Steve Urkel.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:08:11 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Interesting insights.

My jab at Universities is a dig, though I bring it up mostly because it's sad. We have the situation where certain topics discussed openly in ordinary settings by regular people are unmentionable in elite circles.

A major problem is entire departments (like women studies) and branches of administrations (diversity outreach) are predicated on certain ideological assertions, and thus are predisposed to squelch discussion of certain topics, and also must do so to continue their own existance, an existence that often pays better and is more prestigious than being a legitmate scholar.

I think change may come because of improvements in technology mean not only can more research be done in out of the way places, but more people will know about it. This may cause some to start demanding changes. I think it may start when people finally wake up and demand an end to the financial aid cartel, though this may be wishful thinking on my part (the antitrust exmeption is supposed to expire next year, we'll see if that's allowed).

3

Re: Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Would

3fingerspointback.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 02:34:50 AM EST

3.00 (interesting)

I'm sure dangerous ideas should be discussed.  Most of the examples listed are only truly "dangerous" in the minds of people who wish for an excuse to close off discussion.  Whether homosexuality is environmentally determined has absolutely no bearing on the rights or treatment of homosexuals.  Native American history is largely incidental to the rights of their descendants today--in fact, to say that it is not is to enter into some truly dangerous thinking.

I do have a dangerous idea of my own, and it's one that I've put off writing up a sub on because I have to do, like research and math and stuff.  But in a nutshell, it's that if we want to become a spacefaring race that survives beyond this solar system, we must be prepared to give up some of our strongest taboos.

(is 3fingerspointback)

5

^ 3

strictly taboo

Steve Urkel.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:19:59 AM EST

none

What taboos are those?

12

^ 5

Oooh, oooh, I know!

gerrymander.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 12:25:56 PM EST

none

"No smoking within 15 feet of the entrance" and "don't drink and drive."

15

^ 5

Re: strictly taboo

3fingerspointback.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:46:40 PM EST

none

Coprophagia and cannibalism are probably the most unsettling ones.  Also acts of amputation and and brain surgery that no surgeon could perform today while keeping their job.  Possibly incest, as well.

(is 3fingerspointback)

17

^ 15

Re: strictly taboo

Steve Urkel.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:54:08 PM EST

none

I don't think it would be hard for spacefareres to get over the coprophagia taboo if it's recycled properly - as it would be. I don't understand what you mean by and and brain surgery. Incest - you mean on a journey through space of many generations eventually incest will start happening? I think there's ways around that. Also  won't future spacefarers be genetically engineered anyway?

21

^ 17

Re: strictly taboo

3fingerspointback.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 03:47:25 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

if it's recycled properly - as it would be

That's the rub.  Theoretically, all that one really needs to do to recycle feces is to give it a good pass through the microwave and add some supplements.  I've heard it thrown out--but haven't verified--that human fecal matter contains about 75% of the nutrients contained in the base food product.  If you sequester your original space travelers in a closed system with a forced organic diet for a few months you can also reduce the amount of toxic nonorganic components found in stool and urine, and eliminate the need for those filtration systems to be put onboard the ship.

The big drawback to this approach is that aversion to feces is not just societal--there are neural processes that can trigger a nausea reaction to the smell and taste of feces.  Hence the brain surgery:  either to stub out the revulsion one might get from eating stool, or to reroute it to a stimulus that is more appropriate for living on a space vessel, like a geiger counter.  And while we're rooting around in the brain, we might as well do what we can to eliminate our voyagers' biological need for certain amounts of personal space, or claustrophobic triggers.  And the arms and legs have definitely got to go.  Off-planet, they're just sentimental infection vectors that consume energy that would be better applied to robotic limbs that can be completely shut down when not necessary.  Incest may be necessary, depending on how many passengers you want on your vessel, and whether you think you can/should keep around physical intimacy.

The name of the game here is mass reduction.  It only costs $40,000 to transport a gallon of water from the Earth to the ISS, so we can still afford to indulge our biological foibles.  But to get to the next star system, the cost for that gallon is going to climb to the billions.  I don't doubt that it's possible to send full-bodied humans that don't eat their own shit to Alpha Centauri.  But I'm quite sure that we can give such astronauts a 20-year head start, then chase them with my deviant quadraplegics, and have the transhumans show up first.

(is 3fingerspointback)

26

^ 21

Clarification

3fingerspointback.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:31:05 PM EST

none

If you sequester your original space travelers in a closed system with a forced organic diet for a few months...

Should really be

If, while your original space travelers are still on Earth, you sequester them in a sterile environment and put them on an all-organic diet...

as a closed system would by definition not remove any contaminants.

(is 3fingerspointback)

28

^ 26

Re: Clarification

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:41:53 PM EST

none

I think it might be easier to just cross breed the people with some dogs that eat their own crap. Since you know, we are talking about space travel and all that.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

29

^ 21

Re: strictly taboo

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:47:52 PM EST

none

It would be redemptive for quadriplegics if their handicap made them most ideal for the trip. Indeed, it is usually those most marginalized by one society who are willing to make the sacrifices to begin a new one. In space, we would be even more dependent on our machines and people who were given abilities by those machines that they didn't otherwise have, would be most prepared to take that leap. So, I can see the wisdom in your argument.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

41

^ 29

Re: strictly taboo

3fingerspointback.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 11:25:33 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

Back when Stephen Hawking asked Yahoo how humanity could survive the future, it occurred to me to give this answer.  However, I was worried that he might take offense, given that his current lifestyle is just about the closest one could live like my hypothetical spacemen.  If I ever get around to putting some better estimates on this thing, I want to forward him a copy offline to see if he has any observations.

(is 3fingerspointback)

40

^ 15

Incest?

Paris Hilton.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 10:26:53 PM EST

none

That's hot.

1

A:

rEvolution inAction.

Sun Jul 22, 2007 at 11:12:11 PM EST

none

8

Regarding adoption markets.

MayorBob.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 08:18:47 AM EST

none

There already is one and has been for some time.  Childless couples who wish to/have to adopt children must prepare themselves to submit to great expense and time delays in their efforts to find a child.  In most cases, they are looking for a new born or a relatively young baby and the only way they are going to be able to get one in the US is to go through the process of proving: a). your fitness emotionally to be parents, b). your financial ability to provide for the child, and c). your willingness to have your privacy invaded by either the state adoption agency or a religious-affiliated adoption placement agency.  You could go outside the US to adopt, like say South America, China, or Romania.  But these are very expensive propositions (much more expensive than adopting in the US primarily due to travel expenses and paying off various and sundry local officials and fixers.

Of course you could do what a neighbor couple of mine did and arrange an adoption from a pregnant mother who doesn't wish to have a child.  There the expense tends to be that you have to agree to cover the expenses of the mother up to and including the delivery of the child.  They went this route twice.  The first time the birth mother delivered and changed her mind about giving up the baby.  This left my neighbors out approximately $10,000 which they will never recoup as the birth mother didn't have two pennies to rub together.  The second time worked out well for them, as they have a five-month-old healthy and adorable son.

 

Illegitimi non carborundum.

9

Re: Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Would

rombuu.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 10:16:46 AM EST

none

Did Native Americans engage in genocide and despoil the landscape?

Is there any question about this one?  The Anasazi didn't build those cliff dwellings in the middle of the desert.. they built them near forests then systematically destroyed the land around it.  Jerod Diamond talks about in Collapse, I believe.

10

^ 9

Re: Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Would

keta.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 10:25:00 AM EST

4.00 (astute)

Did Native Americans engage in genocide and despoil the landscape?

Yes, but they leave it to the white man to perfect these tasks.

11

^ 10

Re: Danger! Danger!: Questions Will Robinson Would

rombuu.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 10:36:00 AM EST

none

America loves the myth of the noble savage for some reason.... probably satisfies their need for guilty about things or something...

13

A Couple Of Mine

uncarved block.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 12:53:18 PM EST

none

    One of my favorite earlier examples of dangerous thinking comes from Bertrand Russell, who noted that the Soviet Union and Plato's Republic were remarkably similar, thereby irritating both the Communists and traditionalists at the same time. On a personal level, my first additions after a quick read of that list would include:

    -More humans are better off, materially and spiritually, than at any time in history.

   -Universities are open to freer discussion on more topics than ever.

   -George W Bush is as bad as most of his critics allege.

     I'll post a fuller response later today or tomorrow, after some consideration and errand running-- Monday is my weekend, which means it's time for groceries and laundry.

Ex ignorantia ad sapientiam; e luce ad tenebras

16

^ 13

Re: A Couple Of Mine

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:49:52 PM EST

4.50 (interesting, astute)

-More humans are better off, materially and spiritually, than at any time in history.

I think this is a dangerous idea but not for the reasons one might expect. Perhaps I'll be stepping on your toes here but I think we just don't know the answer to this. I think peaking into the relative happiness of others lives is a dangerous thing in that whether you see them more or less happy than you, you become less happy. We can help one another grow materially and spiritually but to hope to judge the material and spiritual value another places upon their own life is, in the end, futile. For this reason alone, comparing the value previous peoples placed on their material and spiritual worth leads us astray from finding spiritual (and ultimately material) value in own lives.

-George W Bush is as bad as most of his critics allege.

I may surprise one or two people here when I say I don't think Bush is as bad as most of his critics allege. Now, there's still time in the next year and a half of his Presidency for full blown real estate meltdown and/or stock market collapse. I do see (possibly even at a probability of 60%) shades of October 1987. This leaves ample time for Bush to make his true mark. But other than that, I don't see it.

I don't buy the Bush line of "9/11 changed everything" so I can't really hold that episode against him. Was going into Iraq the wrong thing to do? Yes. Was waiting this long to address North Korea the wrong thing to do? Yes. Was Katrina the worst public works disaster of the post-depression era? Yes. Is Cheney despicably evil and almost certainly the worst VP of the last hundred years? Yes. But what of it? Count me among those who see the troop surge in Iraq making progress already. The rest...I don't see long term consequences that Hillary Clinton can't mop up in about five months. In the end, he's essentially as ineffectual as his dad, he just had the good/bad/dumb luck to have 9/11 happen on his watch. He still can't hold a candle to Darth Reagan.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

31

^ 16

Activism

uncarved block.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 05:59:31 PM EST

5.00 (interesting, interesting)

    Ah, by "dangerous" as applied to the human condition, I was thinking more in the ideological sense. There's a whole lot of folks (on all sides of the political spectrum) out there with a lot of notions they want to put into action, but very few citizens/voters will let them get very far without a pressing reason. Examples should come to mind in droves, but think, say, of environmentalism-- if the modern system isn't actually worse than what it replaced, where does that leave the Kyoto Accords, or the recycling programs? (The latter is still probably a good idea- "waste not, want not" and all that- but it's hard to see it becoming a global phenomenon without a bit of morality attached to it.)
    Neal Boortz, to pick a Libertarian, wants to replace both the tax code, and even the way we elect our leaders. Picking through his latest book at random, I stumbled across his notion that America should switch to a parliamentary system, with direct election only of your immediate (district) representative, with the Senate and president selected by the Congress. (Yeah, I know, it's a bit loony.) Would Boortz even get a sympathetic listen, much less any action, if America actually turned out to be doing pretty well under the current system?
    The biggest threat, IMO, would be to the abusers of nostalgia, who rely heavily on the idea that things were better at some point in the past, and the correct course for the future is to try and emulate that era, if possible. Preachers and conservative moralists are the prime offenders, but lately liberals have had an era or two to get weepy over. What if folks really are better off spiritually now than in  the 50s? Or even the so-called Golden age? (Otto Bettman's The Good Old Days, They Were Terrible! is an interesting read along these lines.) Where would Bill Bennett and the other scolds be if the present hasn't really been ruined by the past?
     Clearly this is too dangerous of an idea to let spread very far :)

Ex ignorantia ad sapientiam; e luce ad tenebras

20

^ 16

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 02:55:20 PM EST

none

He still can't hold a candle to Darth Reagan.

You think the cold war spending was bad?  The Iraq war spending will be bankrupting our childrens children.  

Bush is worse than I thought he'd be by a large margin, and at least as bad as his detractors claim.  

23

^ 20

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:06:52 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

Funny you say that since defense spending as a percentage of GDP is at near historical lows.  But hell, don't let facts ruin a good rant.  The line about bankrupting our children's children is great...  puts it far enough in the future no one will remember how wrong you are.

33

^ 23

Re: A Couple Of Mine

Thalia.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 06:44:46 PM EST

4.80 (astute, astute, astute)

That's because "defense spending" doesn't include the "special appropriations" for Iraq and Afghanistan.  The classic conservative way of doing math.

Thalia

35

^ 33

Re: A Couple Of Mine

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 06:57:09 PM EST

none

Indeed, actual spending on defense is woefully negligent enough to give any real conservative like George Will a massive headache or at least an extreme distaste for the current "Republican" in office.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

36

^ 33

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 07:10:13 PM EST

none

You can add those back in, and you still aren't even near historical averages, much less make any sort of rational case that defense spending out out of control and is OMG! going to bankrupt the country (in 50 years or whatever your children's children's time means...hell we could all be using giant stone coins by then... who the hell knows).

37

^ 36

Re: A Couple Of Mine

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 07:36:50 PM EST

4.00 (brilliant)

and we probably will if Bush continues to be so negligent in his defense spending.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

38

^ 37

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 09:07:09 PM EST

4.00 (astute)

I'm sure the Democratic congress will do a great job controlling the purse-strings like they have doing...well...whatever the hell it is they've done since they got elected.  

42

^ 36

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 02:49:48 PM EST

4.00 (interesting, interesting)

Rombuu, the Iraq war is like 20 billion dollars a month.  That's a LOT of fucking money.  And the fiscal responsibility doesn't end with that spending, but in projecting costs, interest and future likely developments.  Return on investment?  Forget about it.  Baby Boomers retiring and killing social security?  Bet on it.  Healthcare crisis spiralling out of control?  Yeah a certainty.  Education costs skyrocketing?  Yup.  Dollar losing value to the euro?  Uh-huh.

The way you're doing math is comparing unlike times and unlike challenges.  The US cannot afford this protracted war.  And by the time the tally is in, the cost will be so staggering and the waste so indefensible it will be laughable that anyone could attempt to defend it.  

Part of the reason I gave up completely on Bush is that he is fiscally irresponsible.  He is NOT a fiscal conservative.  My grandparents probably thought the world would never recover from the costs of WWII.  Well it took a while but the world did "recover".  But WWII was a cause for restructuring the entire planet.  What was taken into consideration was future goals and what teh future would look like.  

Can you honestly say that the return on investment in Iraq will be worth the costs, considering what we are going to face over the next generation?  I mean there are things we know we are going to face and we can't seem to figure out an answer.  20 Billion a month?  Heck put that back in social security.  

43

^ 42

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 03:21:49 PM EST

3.00 (interesting)

20 Billion a month?  Heck put that back in social security.  

I'd rather they flush it down the toilet than waste it on propping up the social sercurity system, frankly.

I just pointed out that defense spending as a % of GDP is lower than it has been at most points in history -- the idea that it is bankrupting the country is absurd.  Is it worth the costs?  That's a judgment call for people to make on their own.  If the other things you listed are important to people, they will find a way to pay for it.. if they aren't so important...well, there you go.

44

^ 43

Re: A Couple Of Mine

keta.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 04:46:45 PM EST

4.50 (brilliant, brilliant)

Well, apparently the American people think it's time for the US to get out of Iraq, and it's important.

So tell me again how  wanting something important makes it so.

45

^ 44

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:50:54 PM EST

none

Fine, we should leave then.. what the hell is your point?

48

^ 45

Re: A Couple Of Mine

keta.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 12:22:08 PM EST

4.00 (astute)

My point is that what the people think is important is a mere trifle to what the government of the day thinks is important.

54

^ 43

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 10:55:50 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Social Security, you seem to consider this spending as some kind of mistake.  The time when we did not have social security was quite disastrous.  There was this thing, a world wide depression they called it.  The older folks we shit out of luck, clogging up those soup lines in Hooverville.  Yeah, the Social Security tax was meant to protect a part of the population from those types of conditions, and it is a social statement of responsibility and respect for our fellow citizens.  It is paying back to those before us who gave us the world to live in.  It was a security net for the old, disabled and a thank you to them as well.  They paid their lives into it, so when they age and can no longer work, they can still survive their golden years.  Over time, the aging were subsidized by the younger, working class.  Even so, Social Security is an important program, and without it, the United States is not the superpower it is today.  The cost of caring for the old and the disabled is staggering.  Social security off sets that tremendously, and helps to keep the economy robust.  If Social Security fails, I expect another great depression.  Keeping an expanding and growing demographic of our citizenry alive and involved in the economy is not "flushing" anything "down the toilet."  Saving social security is very important.  I won't retire for over 30 years, and I don't expect to see a cent of social security money.  But if it is still around then, America is better off.

46

^ 43

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 12:17:14 PM EST

3.00 (informative)

The cost of the Iraq war: $446,248,000,000+.  For that price we could have insured 267 million children.  That is enough to insure every child in the US.  Or we could have hired 7.7 million teachers for that price.  Or we could have given 21 million scholarships for that price.  

America's GDP is a prosperous 13.3 trillion  dollars.  Military expenditures are 4.06% of the GDP. (2005 estimate)  That is the highest percentage of military expenditure sing 1993.  

49

^ 46

Re: A Couple Of Mine

gerrymander.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 01:41:52 PM EST

none

The cost of the Iraq war: $446,248,000,000+.
[...]
America's GDP is a prosperous 13.3 trillion  dollars.

Working the math backward on that gives us an estimated $9 billion/month expenditure, and roughly a 0.8% per year expense from the $3.5 billion/year federal tax revenue.

No small amount of money, but it's hardly going to break financial back of the US.

50

^ 46

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 01:44:43 PM EST

none

Yeah, there are opportunity costs for everything.

4 whole percent..wow.  Yep.. bankruptcy is right around the corner.

52

^ 50

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 10:37:07 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Rombuu, talk to me in a couple of years.  The 4% we're talking about is only the up front costs.  The back end costs are always higher.  I'd like to see how you'd fare to spend 4% of your income on something that will have no return on investment and end up costing you double that or more in the long run.  If you make 70k/year that is liek spending 2800 bucks, we'll say on a jetski or something, but you can't get a ROI on it, there's no lake near you.  But lets say someone took it and used it and crashed it into a boat, and you were liable and it ends up costing you much much more, you don't think this could bankrupt you?  Diverting all that income and expenditure?  Remember the cost of living goes up, you still have to pay your mortgage and bills etc?  It could very possibly bankrupt you.  This hypothetical scenario is only an example of this recklessness.  

9/11 was an expensive and harmful day in our history.  But this Iraq war is a ridiculous waste of money.  And also extremely damaging to the financial well being of future America.  

55

^ 52

Re: A Couple Of Mine

rombuu.

Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 12:42:54 PM EST

4.00 (funny)

I'd like to see how you'd fare to spend 4% of your income on something that will have no return on investment and end up costing you double that or more in the long run.

So, you want to see my bar tab basically?

56

^ 55

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 01:28:52 PM EST

none

Yeah we'll compare.  Cheers!

51

^ 42

Re: A Couple Of Mine

gerrymander.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 02:08:49 PM EST

none

Can you honestly say that the return on investment in Iraq will be worth the costs, considering what we are going to face over the next generation?

When you put it that way, almost nothing the US does to assist the poor and disenfranchised is worth the effort. We've spent about $40 Trillion dollars on various anti-poverty measures since the mid-60s, and for what? A 9% reduction in the amount of poor people -- the 1965 poverty rate was about 34%, the current rate is around 25%.

If you want to argue "those are Americans, not foreigners," fine -- but then you need to explain why your argument doesn't also apply to all other foreign aid. That grain could be converted to ethanol, and those AIDS drugs don't manufacture themselves. We're giving away cash and goods for... what? How does it help the US to keep a bunch of underfed AIDS-carrying Africans alive?

53

^ 51

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 10:44:56 AM EST

none

If you want to argue "those are Americans, not foreigners," fine -- but then you need to explain why your argument doesn't also apply to all other foreign aid. That grain could be converted to ethanol, and those AIDS drugs don't manufacture themselves. We're giving away cash and goods for... what? How does it help the US to keep a bunch of underfed AIDS-carrying Africans alive?

The cost of keeping your humanity, of trying to make the human condition better, and to value life decency and health are priceless.

In a nutshell you should do what you can to help your fellow man.  It is the higher calling for living as a moral human being, a higher creature.  You don't do all you can to eliminate the competition, kill, slaughter or ignore the needy so you can live in the lap of luxury and drive limosines.  Anyone of us could, at any given moment suddenly fall into poor health or hard times.  We could conceivably need some help from our neighbors.  The rich and the poor alike.  Sow the seeds of love and hope they come back to us in our time of need.  And in the sowing of these seeds we strive for a higher state of being.  

I honestly believe that many of the world's problems can be cured by decency.  Ending the war, using diplomacy, respecting human dignity, assisting the needy, and appealing to the nobler nature of men instead of engaging in the lowest forms of bloodshed and competition is the true way to change the world.  

57

^ 53

Re: A Couple Of Mine

gerrymander.

Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 02:55:30 PM EST

none

You don't do all you can to eliminate the competition, kill, slaughter or ignore the needy so you can live in the lap of luxury and drive limosines.

If you believe this is what the US is doing in Iraq, you have a very disjointed view of who is causing harm to whom, nmiguy.

I honestly believe that many of the world's problems can be cured by decency.

I agree. And what of the problems which can't be cured by decency?

58

^ 57

Re: A Couple Of Mine

nmiguy.

Tue Jul 31, 2007 at 01:10:35 PM EST

none

And what of the problems which can't be cured by decency?

Uh.  INdecency?  

No, seriously, some problems can't be solved.  

22

^ 20

Re: A Couple Of Mine

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 03:57:47 PM EST

none

Clinton (Bill) did so much to strengthen the base of our economy, that it would take a lot more (and Bush II still certainly has time to do some damage but I just don't see him with the evil streak of Reaganomics) than raging budget deficits put the country in the kind of whole that Reagan did. We're down a peg on the world economy at the moment but we still have a much stronger place to come back from in 2007 than we did in 1987.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

30

^ 22

Re: A Couple Of Mine

Jackkeefe.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 05:09:29 PM EST

none

I'm curious as to what specific acts of Bill Clinton you believe "strengthened the base of our economy." To me, crediting or blaming a President for the performance of the economy during  his tenure is similarly to crediting the bear patrol for keeping the bears out of Springfield.  Given the office's limited powers,  the acts of a president are far down in the list of actors who significantly effect the economy.

 I'm especially baffled as to how Clinton can be given much credit for the economy during his Presidency.  
His presidency was not notable for any significant reforms or changes in policy.  He certainly did not take any actions to roll back the Reagan's tax reforms.   His advocacy for the passage of f NAFTA was probably his most important act relative to the long term economy, and I don't think anyone argues that NAFTA has been a stabilizing influence.   It is true that he signed balanced budgets passed by Congress, but Congress deserves at least as much credit for balancing the budget as he does for signing it.  Plus, we now know that the balanced  budget was caused by an internet bubble and accounting shenanigans that necessitated the passing of Saarbanes Oxley.   How the internet bubble,  NAFTA and  Enron  "strengthened the base of our economy" is  beyond me.

32

^ 30

Re: A Couple Of Mine

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 06:31:32 PM EST

none

I'm pretty big on results as opposed to the standard statistics so many internet spinners are wont to base their rants on. The fact of the matter is employment rose and crime fell in real terms under Clinton. Inner city residents were ready to riot and make like 1968 all over again at the drop of a hat after 12 years of Reagan-Bush policies. Just look at movies like "Do The Right Thing" or "Menace II Society." Shit was actually like that -- take the 1988 NYC riots in Tompkins Square Park, for example.

Under Clinton, people either went to jail or miraculously found jobs. Now, after almost 8 years of more Bushisms, we are ever so slightly beginning to near that brink again. Look at the massive numbers of murders in cities like Philadelphia. You don't find these things out by quoting stats on the internet. You find these things out by going on public work projects, talking with people at the bottom of the economic ladder and people who work closely with those at the bottom of the economic ladder and observing the general business that is conducted in your city.

I'm not going to "credit" Clinton with these things but I will take the educated guess that his gun control, tax, 3 strikes, childhood education, lack of fear-mongering, crackdown on gun running religious right organizations and welfare reform policies (just to name the 7 that came immediately to mind) had a great deal to do with it.

When you simply foster the concept that the world could end tomorrow, sometimes people begin to act like it. To look for a moment at the values conservatives tend to love in a President, Clinton exuded calm, confident, even leadership. Bush is babbling fucking monkey. Which is still better than Darth Reagan.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

19

^ 13

Monday

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 02:43:54 PM EST

2.50 (informative, funny)

Monday is my weekend, which means it's time for groceries and laundry.

There's a dangerous idea, making Monday your weekend.  The result would be weekends that suck.  

18

discuss.

nmiguy.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 02:29:29 PM EST

none

Is the average intelligence of Western nations declining because duller people are having more children than smarter people?

I don't think that eugenics makes as much difference in the "average intelligence" question posed here.  Western nations become more populated and there are more streams of data and access to thought and ideas, through media and internet, books, schools and society.  Intelligence is not something that is clearly delimineated by genetics (although it may play some part) but rather through stimulus and hard work.  People with access to various sources of instruction will have better brain growth and intelligence and pass this on to offspring and friends.  Now some people are born disadvantaged, perhaps with a disability or lack of access to resources.  That is an entirely different question.  But the question as to whether the average intelligence in western nations is declining because of dumb people breeding more I think there just is not enough data to support that conclusion.  

For every dullard, say a high school dropout who got pregnant at 16 and has 10 kids and can barely read or write or balance a checkbook, out of those 10 kids, most of them may rise above the intelligence of their parents.  Perhaps not all of them, but to assign a genetic reasoning for "average intelligence" is a dangerous idea.  Eugenics have been used to foister great injustices in the world, and the Holocaust did not make Germany all of a sudden "smarter".  

Darwinian evolution does take into account adaptations required for species survival.  The larger and more intelligent brain evolved for specific reasons and as a result of other adaptations (opposable thumb, binocular vision, upright posture).  But the jury is still out as to whether the adaptation will translate into a long healthy existence of our species.  Sharks and Alligators have been around for millions of years.  I mention Darwinian evolution, because Eugenics takes examples of scoietal and cultural descriptors and tries to insert evolution into the equation.  The flaw in eugenics is that as far as intelligence and cultural descriptors, there are far more factors than genetics.  The nature versus nurture argument is flawed, as has been evidenced, it is both, and the degree to which (nature or nurture) has the greater influence varies far too much to come to a conclusive answer.

34

^ 18

Re: discuss.

Thalia.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 06:46:14 PM EST

3.00 (funny)

Eugenics have been used to foister great injustices in the world, and the Holocaust did not make Germany all of a sudden "smarter".  

That would be because on average Jews are smarter than Germans.

Thalia

24

^ 18

Re: discuss.

Steve Urkel.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:09:42 PM EST

none

The reason the question is considered dangerous is because of the implications of eugenics, but whether it is actually happpening or not is independent of anything to do with eugenics.

Eugenics is something that needs to be discussed more openly. Most people are eugenic on the individual level. Genetic testing which allows selective abortions is a sort of 'soft' eugenics.

Estimates of heritability of IQ range from .4 to .8. This is difficult to determine because, as this review notes, "a problem in the estimation of the heritability of g, is that there is greater assortative mating for g than for any other behavioral trait; that is, spouse correlations are only ~.1 for personality and only ~.2 for height or weight, but the correlation for assortative mating for g is ~.4." The thing is, as that review also notes, assortive mating "may contribute to the substantial additive genetic variance for g, because positive assortative mating for a character can increase its additive genetic variance." Of course assortive mating enhances environment as well.

25

^ 24

there, I took your bait

thefadd.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:25:18 PM EST

none

There's a reason "soft" eugenics as you've termed it is okay and eugenics is not. I had genetics in high school, too, so don't try to conflate the two with a basic reproductive analysis. Individuals making choices about the betterment of their own lives and the lives of their theoretical children is cool. "Eugenics" as a basis of social policy is deeply flawed (perhaps even depraved) and not in line with either the realities of a market-based system or the evolutionary strength such a system's attendant morality dictates.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

27

^ 25

Re: there, I took your bait

Steve Urkel.

Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 04:36:48 PM EST

none

It's not bait, this is a complex issue worthy of discussion. For example even some on the pro-abortion side think allowing to individuals to use genetic tests to selective abort is wrong in and of itself in the case of sex selective abortions, others on the pro-abortion side worry it will lead to broader eugenic measures. Where the line is drawn is far from self evident.

 

This story: 58 comments (7 from subqueue)
Post a Comment