Business

Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

pO157.

Posted to Business on Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 01:22:27 PM EST (promoted by port1080). RSS.

On July 24th, minimum wage earners in the United States get a mandated raise to $5.85 an hour. This applies only in the 18 states where local governments have not already raised the rate above the previous $5.15hr.

The Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007 (HR #2), sets the raise to $5.85 as the first step-up of 3 in a final boost to $7.25 over 3 years.

Although the raise does not affect over 90% of the workers, it is important because when adjusted for inflation the rate sits at the lowest level for 52 years according to the Economic Policy Institute.

However, an analyst from the American Enterprise Institute states that a raise in the cost of low-skilled, uneducated workers will only cause employers to make cuts in labor. As an alternative they suggest lowering payroll taxes for employers.

The majority of minimum wage earners are young (under 25), likely to have a high school education or less, be on one of their first jobs, likely to be part time. The proportion of Black or White hourly workers paid the minimum wage is around 3%.

Tags: edited by Port1080, written by pO157, minimum wage, tax, employment, labor, young adults, education, economics, taxes, payroll tax, American Enterprise Institute, HR 2, Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007, Economic Policy Institute (all tags)

This story: 40 comments (2 from subqueue)
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1

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 01:36:14 PM EST

5.00 (astute)

Thank God for the Democratic Party. The 2% of adult workers now receiving the minimum wage will be lifted out of poverty due to the new increase.

It's a new day in America!

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^ 1

Thank God for the Democratic Party

gerrymander.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 04:03:20 PM EST

3.66 (astute, illiterate, astute)

And with such speed! Here it is, only six months after the bill was introduced, and it's already been passed. At this rate, Congress might be able to pass another bill pledged from their "first 100 hours" campaign by Christmas.

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^ 7

Re: Thank God for the Democratic Party

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:28:08 PM EST

none

They shouldn't have spent so much time trying to bail out Bush on his loser immigration reform.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 13

Re: Thank God for the Democratic Party

gerrymander.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 12:06:47 AM EST

none

Or held three months of hearings on the firing of a few attorneys. Or tried to pass half-assed attempts to pull out of Iraq over and over.

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^ 26

Re: Thank God for the Democratic Party

keta.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 02:42:35 PM EST

4.00 (funny)

Or tried to pass half-assed attempts to pull out of Iraq over and over.

Geez gerry, you make the Iraq clusterfuck sound so...sexy.

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^ 26

Re: Thank God for the Democratic Party

thefadd.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 08:48:21 PM EST

none

Or held three months of hearings on the firing of a few attorneys.

Yeah, because those have gone so poorly. Let's see, just today we got Rove subpoenaed and Gonzalez painted further into the perjury corner. Alberto is gonna get nailed one way or another. Cleaning up some of W's domestic mess is well worth putting the rest of the docket on hold.

Just don't let the geniuses like Biden near the Iraq plans, please. Geez, I used to like the guy but three "soft" states under a weak centralized government...when in the history of the world has that worked...

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 35

Re: Thank God for the Democratic Party

gerrymander.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 11:26:23 PM EST

none

Let's see, just today we got Rove subpoenaed and Gonzalez painted further into the perjury corner.

Rove will make the same play that Miers and Bolten did, professing executive privilege, and we've seen where that leads: a dead end. The Justice Department isn't going to issue any warrants without evidence of an actual crime, something three months of hearings has yet to unearth. Which means Congress has to use it's own bailiff or appoint an independent counsel, and the Democrats haven't got the votes to do either.

This entire sideshow is just an ongoing display of Democratic incompetence. What a quagmire!

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Good eye

Lou.

Fri Jul 27, 2007 at 06:52:15 AM EST

5.00 (brilliant)

This entire sideshow is just an ongoing display of Democratic incompetence. What a quagmire!

Yeah, and if the neocons know anything, it's quagmires.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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^ 1

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 02:24:04 PM EST

none

Yep, just goes to show you how woefully out of touch with its people the Federal government is.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 2

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

tomc.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 08:20:32 PM EST

none

One question I always like to hear politicians answer is, "How much is a quart of milk?"

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^ 1

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 02:33:50 PM EST

none

Given that the poverty rate is 13%, that's a 15% decline in poverty if it were true that a raise to the minimum wage even lifted them out of poverty.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 3

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 04:06:33 PM EST

none

Given that the poverty rate is 13%, that's a 15% decline in poverty if it were true that a raise to the minimum wage even lifted them out of poverty
Yeah, well, I was kidding above. Since only a small fraction of those making the minimum wage are actually poor, raising the minimum wage probably won't have any measurable effect on poverty.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:23:03 PM EST

none

It's true. Most of the poor in America make less than minimum wage as undocumented workers.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:40:13 PM EST

none

Most of the poor in America make less than minimum wage as undocumented workers
Those folks aren't included in the poverty statistics. (And with good reason.) Most of the poor either do not work at all, or work only itinerantly.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

Steve Urkel.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 09:38:57 PM EST

none

Something that for some reason gets little mention in minimum wage debates is that undocumented workers who make more than the minimum wage can still cost less to employers than a legal employee making minimum wage, and that's without including potential costs from being sued.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 08:40:17 PM EST

none

I assume you're referring to being sued by your legal employees and implying that illegal employees are less likely to sue but maybe I'm just being cynical. It's beneficial to the employee and hugely beneficial to many business owners who get away with it to employ people under the table, whether the employees would otherwise be legal or not. Small businesses, cash businesses, businesses were people can pay employees with something other than money...of course this lends itself to employment of illegals but it's true -- just because someone is paying someone off the books doesn't mean they're paying less than minimum wage. They may even be paying more as a deal with the employee. Employer spends less, employee makes more, payroll companies and uncle sam get cut out of the deal.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 1

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

pO157.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 02:35:16 PM EST

none

Out of curiosity, perhaps an economist could explain what effect raising the wage for all the unskilled would have on inflation, if any?

My guess is, not much. Only a few states will actually be affected by this so it will be much more symbolic than actually "do anything."

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 04:11:38 PM EST

none

...perhaps an economist could explain what effect raising the wage for all the unskilled would have on inflation, if any?
As with most economic questions, the answer is, "it depends." On the one hand, all else being equal, raising the minimum wage increases the money supply, thereby increasing inflation. On the other hand, all else won't remain equal and raising the minimum wage increases unemployment, which lowers spending and the money supply, thereby reducing inflation.

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^ 9

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

Steve Urkel.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:18:01 PM EST

none

An increase in the price of unskilled labor no more increases inflation or the money supply than an increase in the relative price of any other good.

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^ 10

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 07:18:00 PM EST

none

An increase in the price of unskilled labor no more increases inflation or the money supply than an increase in the relative price of any other good
I beg your pardon. I misspoke. I should have said "money velocity" rather than "money supply."

The productivity of the minimum wage workers doesn't increase, of course, just because you throw more money at them; the output of the economy would therefore remain the same. Increasing the minimum wage would have the effect of increasing the velocity, thereby increasing the price level.

I did note, however, that we would expect higher unemployment due to the increased minimum wage. I suppose the one would offset the other and we'd be right back at equilibrium as far as inflation was concerned, but with higher unemployment.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 07:28:16 PM EST

none

While in general terms you're right, this gives little thought to where the job market is currently. Usually, if you have to lay someone off, other people have to pick up the slack. However, worker productivity remains near all time highs and unemployment relatively low. That combination signals what most employers who will look to lay someone off will realize -- you can't get more work out of your workers at this point. Given market expectations, I find it far more likely that the costs will be passed on to the consumer in the form of inflation.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 07:51:30 PM EST

none

...you can't get more work out of your workers at this point
They already know that. That's why they're paying minimum wage. If the workers were able to produce more they wouldn't be making minimum wage.
...I find it far more likely that the costs will be passed on to the consumer in the form of inflation
As a statement of macroeconomics, that is so imprecise as to be all but worthless. A firm cannot simply "pass on to the consumer" any price increase that they'd like to. There is a certain amount of elasticity to demand, and that means price increases will often be rejected by consumers, resulting in decreased demand. Decreased demand means that firms will not need as many workers, and will lay some off.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 08:48:22 PM EST

5.00 (astute)

They already know that. That's why they're paying minimum wage. If the workers were able to produce more they wouldn't be making minimum wage.

Way to skirt the issue.

There is a certain amount of elasticity to demand, and that means price increases will often be rejected by consumers, resulting in decreased demand. Decreased demand means that firms will not need as many workers, and will lay some off.

Name one sector that typically employs minimum wage workers and can't pass additional costs off to the consumer. Wal-Mart? McDonalds? Orange Juice? If their businesses practices cannot meet the demand of the consumer, then they should go out of business and allow themselves to be replaced by a more modern thinking employer.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 20

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 10:09:55 PM EST

none

Name one sector that typically employs minimum wage workers and can't pass additional costs off to the consumer. Wal-Mart? McDonalds? Orange Juice?
Yes, all of those. We're talking about a basic economic principle, not a flawed business plan.
If their businesses practices cannot meet the demand of the consumer, then they should go out of business and allow themselves to be replaced by a more modern thinking employer
Perhaps an employer that can somehow offshore some jobs that McDonalds couldn't?  Perhaps an employer that can utilize sub-minimum-wage labor for certain practices? (You're almost certainly unaware, but McDonalds and Wal-Mart have both done such things to try to avoid silly minimum wage laws.)

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 08:42:11 PM EST

none

But that's neither here nor there to the point.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 34

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Fri Jul 27, 2007 at 07:45:22 AM EST

none

But that's neither here nor there to the point
Really? What was your point, then?

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

Steve Urkel.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 09:30:31 PM EST

none

I don't see how a minimum wage increase would effect the velocity of money.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 10:03:58 PM EST

4.00 (astute)

I don't see how a minimum wage increase would effect the velocity of money
It's fairly easy to see that minimum wage workers are generally not in the investment class. That is to say that an extra penny added to the wages of a minimum wage worker is likely to be immediately spent rather than saved. Also, Minimum wage workers are more likely to be paid weekly rather than bi-weekly, or at some longer interval.

The sooner wages are spent, the more money velocity increases.

29

^ 1

Blowback

pO157.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 09:14:37 AM EST

none

If I recall correctly, some welfare benefits are tied to a comparison of your income versus a defined "poverty level" based on the lowest wage earners in society. I believe that is what I was told by a co-worker who had a massive medical accident and attempted to go on it for a while (unsuccessfully, I may add. Never be a highly educated person attempting to get public assistance).

Anywho, if the above is true wouldn't this cause the unintended "blowback" of making more people eligible for welfare now thus having a net drain on the government purse?

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Re: Blowback

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 10:12:11 AM EST

4.00 (informative)

If I recall correctly, some welfare benefits are tied to a comparison of your income versus a defined "poverty level" based on the lowest wage earners in society
I am unaware of any welfare program administered by that criterion. In any event, I mentioned poverty, and the official measure for who is poor is based on what the government thinks someone's food budget ought to be, and is therefore unaffected by the minimum wage.

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^ 29

Re: Blowback

thefadd.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 08:35:18 PM EST

none

I would assume your tried to go on some sort of medical assistance which probably ran into insurance issues and who the hell knows what kind of bureaucracy kicked in. I've had numerous (well educated) friends go on unemployment assistance a la George on Seinfeld. It doesn't seem terribly hard to get on a short term basis, neither should it be since those who work W-2 jobs pay a specific tax for it.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

40

^ 32

Re: Blowback

pO157.

Fri Jul 27, 2007 at 08:49:12 AM EST

none

Yeah, I never really asked her about it much after the initial incident. Nobody likes to pry. But apparently the county's response was "Well, you have an MS, that is all the education you need. Drop out of school, get a job and pay off that $20k+ hospital bill your insurance refuses to cover. Make sure you get it done by the due date (which happened to be in a few weeks)! Got a problem with it? TS Eliot, declare bankruptcy then."

This was apparently justified by the fact that they were "underfunded" and could barely afford to cover the medical care and benefits of those who were chronically unemployed and would never get off welfare.

Ahh, red state hilarity. You can't make this stuff up if you tried.

27

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

gerrymander.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 12:32:14 AM EST

5.00 (astute, interesting)

For the record, I'm totally OK with this. Yeah, I get all the economic arguments about how a minimum wage increase won't actually help the poor and will cause some distortion in the market. It's just that I think those arguments miss the point.

The biggest benefit of a minimum wage law isn't for the poor; it's for the working class. The way I figure, most people are pretty good when it comes to calculating money flow, even if the decisions they make regarding what to do with that money sucks. Also, most working-class people understand the churn of the job market. To the vast majority of the employment base, the minimum wage is the floor on a calculated risk -- "if I lose this job, I can still make at least $X doing some crappy job until I find something else." To them, the minimum wage isn't enough to live well, but it should be enough to put food on the table and keep the utilities turned on for a while. The value of X was about $10,000 a year, but inflation over the past decade degraded that. So, now we need a hike to keep things even.

There are alternatives, of course. Other countries use job protection legislation to solve the same problem differently, and are plagued with high unemployment, especially among the poor and young. The way I see it, a minimum wage increase is a small price to pay to keep an open job market going.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

Lou.

Wed Jul 25, 2007 at 06:49:40 AM EST

none

Who are you and what have you done with Gerrymander?

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

5

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

pO157.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 02:36:35 PM EST

none

Also, I forgot to mention in the writeup about the "Subminimum wage" as Dvandom pointed out. It is an interesting little quirk in the law.

6

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

rombuu.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 03:23:42 PM EST

none

Disclaimer:  I think having a minimum wage is stupid anyway.

But if you are going to have one, having a national one that is the same everywhere and ignores the cost of living in different parts of the country is even stupider.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:26:47 PM EST

none

On the one hand, yes, on the other hand, no. Does it make sense for California to have a minimum wage almost double that of many other states? Considering its standard of living, yes. But does it make sense for the Federal government to allow Mississippi to wallow in substandard living, dragging the rest of the union down with it? No. So if the minimum wage is part of an overall package of regulations that seek to bring Mississippi's standard of living in line with the rest of the country so their citizens are not overly dependent on Federal programs, then yes.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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^ 12

Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

rombuu.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 06:54:47 PM EST

none

So if the minimum wage is part of an overall package of regulations that seek to bring Mississippi's standard of living in line with the rest of the country so their citizens are not overly dependent on Federal programs, then yes.

I've never seen any evidence that the minimum wage actually lifts anyone out of poverty.

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

Steve Urkel.

Tue Jul 24, 2007 at 09:25:06 PM EST

none

Artificially raising wages won't result in raised standards of living.  

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Re: Minimum wage workers get 70¢ raise

thefadd.

Thu Jul 26, 2007 at 08:50:40 PM EST

none

Why not?

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

This story: 40 comments (2 from subqueue)
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