Diary

Obama's People Project Brokered Convention

thefadd.

Posted to Diary on Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 02:55:09 AM EST. RSS.

Confidential election projections from inside the Obama camp were recently accidently emailed to Bloomberg news. Despite percentage losses in Texas and possibly Ohio on March 4 (the last 2 large states), Obama's campaign team guesses it could end the primary election season with a 1,647-1,580 lead over Clinton. With 2,025 needed for the nomination superdelegates would almost certainly come into play. Even they might not settle the question, though.

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1

Disgust

pO157.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 09:29:57 AM EST

5.00 (astute)

20% of the delegates to be seated are "Superdelegates?" Why even bother to vote if somebody can come in 2nd place and be pushed into the nomination by a mass of unelected people? Isn't this the same party that bitched and moaned when Gore won the popular vote but got screwed by the electoral college system?

Doesn't the democratic party bill themselves as the party of the people? The poor, unwashed masses who have been spurned by the system? But its cool to not only disallow delegates from two states that simply tried to enfranchise their people in the broken primary system, but also pack the convention with unelected party loyalists and hangers on?

Come on.

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Re: Disgust

wetkarma.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 12:40:53 PM EST

5.00 (interesting)

I think you've clued in on the "Its not torture if we do it" principle of American government.

Still whats there to object to? The rules have been the same for many elections now -- more importantly they were known to all parties at the start of this current election.

Anyone who is objecting now is basically admitting that they would have been fine with the status quo if the superdelegates didn't play a deciding role.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

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Re: Disgust

pO157.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 01:19:59 PM EST

none

This is correct, but how many Democrat brokered conventions have there been in the past several election cycles?

Given that brokered conventions were likely a rarity "back in the day", I could see offering Super delegate slots as simply a way for elected officials to participate in the process in an ex officio manner. In addition (cynical pO157 here) to offer party leaders free travel and lodging for a  party that comes 'round every 4 years.

I consider myself a slightly above average person when it comes to political knowledge, yet I did not realize that so many slots were apportioned to supers until this go-round. Imagine how much of a shock it will be to the rest of the hoi polloi if Obama gets the majority of the state delegates but Hillary pulls it out in the end.

That would be delicious. (So delicious.)

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Re: Disgust

zyxwvutsr.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 01:27:01 PM EST

5.00 (interesting)

Imagine how much of a shock it will be to the rest of the hoi polloi if Obama gets the majority of the state delegates but Hillary pulls it out in the end
The shock might be enough to make them vote for McCain. (At least Clinton can count on Ann Coulter's vote.)

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Re: Disgust

gerrymander.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 03:41:54 PM EST

5.00 (interesting, interesting)

Imagine how much of a shock it will be to the rest of the hoi polloi if Obama gets the majority of the state delegates but Hillary pulls it out in the end.

That would be delicious. (So delicious.)

Want an even more beautiful scenario? Obama gets a very narrow majority of delegates (state and super), but not a majority of the popular vote because Clinton won most of the states with large cities. Then Clinton sues to get Florida's delegates recognized, as we see the 2000 presidential election played out again as farce wholly within the DNC.

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Re: Disgust

thefadd.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 08:07:15 PM EST

4.00 (funny, funny)

Given the way the dems divy up delegates instead of going whole state by state and the way Obama has been gaining popular steam while Hillary seems to remain the choice of the party establishment, it seems more likely that Obama could land the popular vote while Hillary takes the lead with the super delegates. It would be truly interesting to see how that would play out. You've got to give the nod to Hillary's experience and connections in a brokered situation--at least Vince Foster would ;-)

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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At last, the truth

Lou.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 05:00:39 PM EST

4.66 (funny, funny, funny)

but Hillary pulls it out in the end.

Now we know why Bill had such a roving eye.  

Those Wellesley girls are all alike.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: Disgust

thefadd.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 03:27:10 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

While the democrats adopted the urban immigrants through the 20th century, they were an openly corrupt organization during the turn of the century political machine days, so I'm sure the super delegates were there to make sure the party got its way. Have some also been added over the years purely for the perks as well? I'm sure...I heard that Dean offered to pick one in April should a brokered convention look like a certainty to which Obama and Clinton each laughed.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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Re: Disgust

profwhat.

Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 04:29:04 PM EST

5.00 (interesting, informative)

Super delegates were created after the 1980 convention, at which Ted Kennedy and Jimmy Carter fought over who'd get the nomination.  It's not a carry over from the bad old days, but an effort to swing contested conventions more toward the Will Of The People.

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Re: Disgust

gerrymander.

Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 11:34:47 AM EST

4.50 (astute, interesting)

Isn't this the same party that bitched and moaned when Gore won the popular vote but got screwed by the electoral college system?

Yep, and they have continued to bitch and moan for the past seven years -- which is what makes the current superdelegate debacle so funny. (And if they push Hillary into the top slot in summer? Hilarious!)

11

Superdelegates

thefadd.

Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 01:32:39 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

Moveon.org is doing a petition that they want to publish in USA Today urging the Democratic Superdelegates to "let the voters decide" who get the nomination and then "follow the will of the people."

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

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