Politics

The following takes place between 12am and 11pm, on the day of the California presidential primary.

pO157.

Posted to Politics on Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 02:52:29 PM EST (promoted by port1080). RSS.

Super Tuesday is here, and California, along with most of the country is up for grabs!

It's the Mother of all Primaries. A contest that we have been waiting on for over a year. It is finally here, and voting in the primaries and caucuses is not just confined to those living in the United States.

On the Democratic side, front runners Clinton and Obama are in a dead heat with the only other remaining candidate polling at around 1% nationwide. The Democratic contest is likely to continue past today as it is mathematically unlikely that any one candidate will have the required 2,025 delegates to win at the end of the day.

On the GOP side, McCain and Romney are nearly tied in delegates, with Huckabee and Paul trailing. Romney is fresh off a win in Maine, with Paul coming in second in number of state delegates won. Huckabee is still fighting in the race with a significant level of support despite being advised by Romney to leave and throw his support to the former Governor from Massachusetts. McCain remains the heavy GOP favorite overall today.

So how did you do today? Did you vote? For who and why? Those reading from outside the United States and looking in at this mess, please share your thoughts about the direction your neighbor is heading.

Tags: edited by Port1080, written by pO157, Super Tuesday, politics, 2008 elections, 24, Jack Bauer (all tags)

This story: 51 comments (10 from subqueue)
Post a Comment
10

A few good webpages...

port1080.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 06:56:35 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

CNN's page w/Super Tuesday results & delegate counts

Yahoo's 2008 Presidential Race Dashboard - has lots of poll results, plus delegate counts.

MSNBC Dashboard - has vote counts, plus video clips of commentary / updates.

FoxNews State By State Results - somewhat less flash / graphics intensive than the other sites, but basically the same info.

15

Mitt Romney's speech

profwhat.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 09:39:56 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

Just watched it.  Mitt said that if "Washington" continues on its current course, America will become a "second tier" power.  That's a striking statement from him; exit polls show that he gets the majority of voters who are happy with Bush.  Are those voters aware that Mitt thinks Bush has sent the country on a road toward being second tier?

19

^ 15

Re: Mitt Romney's speech

thefadd.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 02:01:13 AM EST

4.00 (astute, astute)

And the one's who are unhappy with Bush are voting McCain who most of the left is the most likely to be Bush III. There's no 'splainin' Republicans;-)

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

18

Down To The Wire

uncarved block.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 11:09:48 PM EST

5.00 (interesting, astute)

at least on the Democratic side. California polls just closed as I write this, but it doesn't seem this is going to make any difference even tomorrow. The wins seem very scattershot, with some obvious results (Clinton in NY/NJ, Obama in Georgia) mixed with very intriguing ones (Clinton in Oklahoma, Obama in Illinois). What does seem clear is that both candidates can claim to represent fairly well in places that aren't very friendly to Democrats normally-- which means both would have a strong argument that they could win a general election*, no matter who the Republicans eventually put on the slate.
    Which appears to be McCain at this point. Yeah, all the broadcasters are saying things like, "this race is far from over" and "Romney's got hope", but I'm not under  contract to sound fair, so I'll say it: the other two appear to be screwed. Huckabee did better than expected in the south, but McCain is really racking up delegates tonight, and it will take the sudden withdrawal of either Romney or Huckabee to give whoever doesn't drop out a chance to make up the difference. This seems unlikely. If McCain does end up winning the nomination but losing the election, it will be interesting to see if the RNC decides to change the rules selecting delegates, and follow something closer to the proportional representation that's keeping the race close for Democrats. If you hate Hillary, you must still feel that Obama has a chance to take her down even after today's results; if you hate McCain (and the knives sure are out for the old man, aren't they?), the results tonight ended much of your hope far earlier than must feel comfortable. Time will tell.
    So why is McCain "rising from the dead" like this? One argument would have to point to the other candidates splitting the party base vote . . but I'm not so sure this is the whole story. A personal theory is that there's change underway on the Republican side of the aisle, away from the shouting and abuse that characterized so much of the political discourse since 1994-- not that Republicans trust the Dems any more, but they're getting a bit less likely to think that bashing "liberals" is an effective governing strategy. If McCain is tapping into the change in attitude, it would certainly explain the hysteria from certain public figures on the Right, who see their gravy train being cut down a few cars, and possibly even sidelined for good.
    But that just may be wishful thinking on my part. Another possible explanation is more homely, but might be just as true. When criticism is leveled at Hillary that she's too cold, too ambitious, my reaction is, "what, are we electing a president or a mom?" Well, in the case of John McCain, the question would be, "are we electing a president or a grandfather?", and the answer seems to be that these aren't necessarily mutually exclusive statements. This would explain why voters like McCain so much, despite some fits of temper, and political baggage that might sink another candidate. Average Republican voters certainly don't seem to be having any trouble voting for the guy, and this reason makes as much sense as any. Or maybe I'm just silly :)

    *The argument, as I believe Charlie Cook (among others) put it, is this: can a Democrat win all the states Kerry did in 2004, and then two more? If so, they are clearly a viable candidate at the end of the day-- which was one reason I never cottoned to Edwards, because I just couldn't see him doing this.

Ex ignorantia ad sapientiam; e luce ad tenebras

2

Disenfranchised in Delaware...

port1080.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 03:05:58 PM EST

4.66 (informative, interesting)

I didn't vote today because I couldn't. Delaware doesn't allow registered independents to vote in primaries. If I could have voted, I probably would have voted for McCain to help make sure he wins the Republican nomination, as he's the only R candidate that I can stomach (sorry pO157, but as much as I agree with some of Ron Paul's policies, I have problems voting for deluded racists). I'd be okay with either Clinton or Obama, so I would have felt a vote in the Republican primary to be more important. Of those three (McCain, Clinton, Obama) my rank order is probably Clinton, Obama, McCain. I like Obama's message best, but I worry that he would end up like Carter - well meaning, but ineffectual and not capable of effectively dealing with our foreign policy and economic woes. I don't really like Clinton, but, for better or worse, she has more White House experience than any of the other candidate ever could, and she won't make the sort of radical miss-steps that the relatively unproven Obama might. She will come in with a team ready to go and be on task right from the beginning - there won't be the one or two year learning curve that would be inevitable in an Obama (or even a McCain) administration. She knows what's possible and what's not, whereas Obama (or McCain) could waste time on impossible initiatives and political non-starters. Given the state that our country's in right now, I just don't feel that we have the time to waste - so I would rather have an effective administration that I somewhat disagree with than an administration that I whole-heartedly agree with that might make quite a few miss-steps right off the bat.

5

^ 2

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

thefadd.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 04:43:32 PM EST

5.00 (astute)

I just don't buy the Ron Paul racist meme, not even for a nickle. There's nothing in his political record or platform to suggest that he's got some hidden racially motivated agenda. Which one is the conspiracy theory again?

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

6

^ 5

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

port1080.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 04:52:24 PM EST

5.00 (interesting)

Is he actually racist?  Maybe not exactly - but he certainly had no problems associating himself with racists.  I don't buy the excuse that sometimes the enemy of my enemy is my friend - you can't make those kind of alliances, even when you're desperate, because then you're beholden to those people forever.  For quite a while I supported Bush because I thought that even though he associated with the religious right, he was just taking their money and support to get elected.  Eventually I came to realize that even if Bush was just using them for instrumental purposes, he still had to throw them some bones (like Alito and Roberts, or the ban on stem cell research, for example) to keep their support.  I feel the same way about Paul - even if he's not a racist, the fact that he accepted support from racists, and therefore owes them some debt, essentially means he might as well be a racist.  

9

^ 6

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

thefadd.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 06:19:46 PM EST

4.50 (interesting, interesting)

I'm sort of the inverse of you on this one. I don't care if he's *actually* a racist...only if he's *effectively* a racist. His views are "extreme" on all counts. For that reason very few of them will see the light of day in Washington. But that's exactly the point. Very little of anything would see the light of day if he found his way to White House.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

21

^ 9

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 02:22:06 AM EST

4.50 (astute, astute)

Racist, schmacist.  I like government employees like postmen, cops and firefighters.  

I don't want to live in a Libertarian wonderland.  I have a job, and I don't wanna fix the potholes on my street.  I don't want to have to generate my own electricity.  I don't want to have to pay for every damn thing, or haggle over the cost of health care or education.  I like the USDA inspecting food, and I like the FDA testing drugs.  I like CalTrans, interstate highways, and the FAA.

So Ron Paul and his ilk will never get my vote, just because he's got the right idea on Iraq and U.S. forces overseas,  a stopped clock is right twice a day.

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

22

^ 21

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

pO157.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 06:17:17 AM EST

4.00 (informative)

Well, to be technical I doubt you'd see the USPS dissolved under a hypothetical Paul administration since it is authorized by Article 1, Section 8 of the Constitution.

Also, I think it is unlikely that the law enforcement and fire services disbanded as that has always been a function of the state/local level. The FBI, et al, would probably remain, although I imagine they would be responsible for enforcing a much smaller body of regulations. Which may be a good thing, since they might not spend as much time busting people for littering and smoking the reefer.

36

^ 21

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

thefadd.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 01:32:53 PM EST

4.00 (interesting, interesting)

Eh, he only gets to be President for four years. I think everyone left and right agrees that after the largest expansion of the federal government in its history under Bush, the thing needs a hacksaw, not pruning shears. It's not like he's going to have either house of congress on his side.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

37

^ 36

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

pO157.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 01:41:16 PM EST

3.33 (astute, interesting, interesting)

This is exactly why I think Paul or some libertarian candidate would be a good choice at this time. Some of his more eccentric ideas would get shot down by congress, and most of his more reasonable suggestions would be approved. Even if congress is 100% against him he could by executive order reverse much of the damage.

Can anybody actually see Obama, Clinton or McCain going ahead and voluntarily reversing the unwarranted expansion of the government and removing BushCo's sketchy laws from the books? Be serious now.

38

^ 37

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

thefadd.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 02:00:38 PM EST

4.00 (interesting, interesting, interesting)

Obama, to some degree, McCain to a lesser degree, Clinton I have my doubts about.

Surfing topics, we were discussing McCain a little bit in the chat last night and I just don't know where the guy really stands on stuff anymore. He was the firebrand libertarian candidate in '00, then he patched things up with Bush and kinda got coopted. Can he be his own man? Does he have anything he really stands for? It just seems to me like Obama would kick his ass. Toss a confederate flag at him and he's toast.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

50

^ 38

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

MC Nally.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 09:56:33 PM EST

4.33 (funny, funny, astute)

Can he be his own man? Does he have anything he really stands for?
Do you mean does he have anything he really stands for apart from the unwavering belief that John McCain should be president?  Because he's a real rock on that particular principle..

41

^ 38

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

Jackkeefe.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 03:57:12 PM EST

4.00 (interesting, interesting)

He ws the firebrand libertarian candidate in '00

When has Mr. Campaign Finance Reform ever been a libertarian? On any issue?  To my mind, McCain is fairly comfortable, and has always been comfortable, using the federal government's  regulatory powers to implement any type of policy he favors.  A major part of his problem with the Republican base is his activist tendencies.

45

^ 41

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

thefadd.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 05:56:31 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

There was a period in 2000 were McCain was cast as an Arizona "Western Republican" without much concern for the moral intrusions of the religious right. Combine that with the standard fiscal conservative that came with all Republicans pre-Bush II and "straight talk express" and you get a distinctly "firebrand libertarian" feel from the mainstream voter. Whether any of these impressions were ever even vaguely correct assertions of who McCain is, is entirely different question and was my question.

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

28

^ 21

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 07:23:26 AM EST

3.50 (funny, funny, funny)

I don't want to have to pay for every damn thing...
Can't someone else pay for the things I need?!

43

^ 28

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 05:05:17 PM EST

3.50 (interesting)

No, I pay, you pay, we all pay for the things that we need, that no single person has the resources to provide for themselves or anyone else.  

I do not have the time to fix my little section of the street, maintain my little section of the power grid, sewer and gas lines, and still have time to do my job with some time left over to whine about somebody, somewhere, getting something for nothing.

In libertarian fantasy world, does the earth spin slower so we get 36 hour days?

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

44

^ 43

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 05:32:22 PM EST

4.33 (astute, interesting, informative)

If you would take the time to listen to them, you'd find that a lot of libertarians aren't necessarily against the government, for example, providing education. They merely think that the federal government has no business doing it.

46

^ 44

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

thefadd.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 05:59:26 PM EST

3.00

you mean, they're strict constructionists? ;-)

It is easy to buy small plaster models of what you think life is like.

47

^ 46

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 06:12:29 PM EST

none

Perhaps I've mentioned one of my definitions of a "liberal": an American who loves the Bill of Rights, except for the 2nd and 10th Amendments.

48

^ 47

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 07:14:24 PM EST

4.50 (astute)

Hey, I'm all for gun ownership.  I'd be a hypocrite if I felt otherwise.  If the FBI spent as much time on illegal firearm trafficking as they did entrapping people for as yet uncommitted terrorism crimes, I'd be all the happier.

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

49

^ 48

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 07:28:45 PM EST

none

But the 10th Amendment you don't like?

51

^ 49

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Thu Feb 07, 2008 at 01:35:46 AM EST

4.00 (astute)

I got no dog in that hunt.  So far so good.  I don't think regional or local entities can do the things that the FAA, CDC or FDA or USDA does, though.  Not to mention the National Parks and Forests, NOAA and the FDIC.  The list goes on.  

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

14

^ 9

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

joshv.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 07:18:23 PM EST

4.00 (brilliant, offtopic, interesting)

I think it's a sign of the times when a strict constructionist who is strongly in favor of devolving federal power to the states is seen as extreme.  I think most of the founding fathers would have been quite comfortable with Ron Paul's positions.  Now, talk about a bunch of racists...

20

^ 14

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 02:14:45 AM EST

3.50 (informative)

Sorry, but a 'strict constructionist' is not someone who favors devolution of federal power.  A strict constructionist is someone who favors the prosecution in criminal cases, and the defendant in civil cases, and adheres to the theory of the 'constitution in exile'.  

Refer to Rehnquist, Scalia et. al.  

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

23

^ 20

Labels

profwhat.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 06:38:50 AM EST

4.33 (interesting, informative)

A strict constructionist is someone who favors the prosecution in criminal cases, and the defendant in civil cases, and adheres to the theory of the 'constitution in exile'.

Aside from Rehnquist's throwaway comment from a memo he wrote in his youth, no person today who calls themselves a "strict constructionist" would find this definition accurate.  Strict constructionists interpret legal documents narrowly, and in Constitutional law are more inclined to find that the constitution does not authorize a state power unless it clearly allows for such a thing.  This can cut both for and against criminal defendants, although because criminal defendants have benefited most from activist Warren Court doctrines that were radically pro-defendant, strict constructionist views can cut against them.

Also, the "constitution in exile" movement does not exist; it is a bogeyman invented by Cass Sunstein.  

27

^ 20

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

joshv.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 07:21:31 AM EST

4.00 (astute)

Huh, did I say that a strict constructionist is one who favors devolution of federal powers?  Nope.

39

^ 27

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 02:04:35 PM EST

4.00 (informative, astute)

And I quote:

I think it's a sign of the times when a strict constructionist who is strongly in favor of devolving federal power to the states is seen as extreme.

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

40

^ 39

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

joshv.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 03:40:16 PM EST

4.50 (astute, interesting, informative)

I said Paul was a strict constructionist who is in favor of devolving federal powers.  I did not say that all strict constructionists are so in favor, nor did I claim that the desire to devolve federal powers to the states is a defining characteristic of a strict constructionist.  I merely related the two in describing Paul's positions.  I believe the sentence is accurate as it relates to Ron Paul.  It may or may not be used to describe any other individual's position.

I would argue that these two positions are usually closely related, though not always.  A strict constructionist sticks to the Constitutional letter of the law, and is not compelled by liberal interpretations of the 14th and other amendments that tend to find federal rights where no such explicit right is mentioned in the text of the Constitution.  These federal rights in turn tend to encroach upon the ability of states to legislate in these matters.  Thus if a strict constructionist is happy with a particular SCOTUS decision, it is most likely a result that cedes more legislative power to the states.

Reading the Wikipedia entry on strict constructionism, it seems the term has fallen out of favor as it is a bit too general to describe any single approach to Constitutional interpretation.  The term appears to have also acquired a bit of a pejorative taint over the years as a means of pigeon holing conservative judicial appointees.

42

^ 40

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

PenitenziAgite.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 04:56:51 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

I appreciate your clarification.

The trouble with 'strict constructionism', for lack of a better term, is that I fail to see why it's attractive, except as a justification to ignore stare decisis in cases that you don't agree with.  In my view, it presents this kind of tautology.  "I think X decision was fundamentally flawed, therefore I can cast it aside, citing no more than my supernatural ability to know what the framers of the constitution would think about it."  That isn't very sound legal reasoning.  It sounds like crap to me.

I don't know what Ron Paul's actual judicial philosophy is, and I think it's a side issue.  Paul's Libertarian philosophy in general is what I find objectionable.  

sierra tango foxtrot uniform

25

^ 6

Dude... Wait, what?

pO157.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 06:44:57 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

Is he actually racist?  Maybe not exactly - but he certainly had no problems associating himself with racists.  I don't buy the excuse that sometimes the enemy of my enemy is my friend - you can't make those kind of alliances, even when you're desperate, because then you're beholden to those people forever.

It's a stretch to say there ever was an alliance. From the evidence above I'd go with a few decades ago RP was lax and let people whose views he did not agree with publish garbage in his newsletter. Was it stupid? Hells yeah, and he admitted it by apologizing. A mistake a few decades ago does not mean there are current alliances with white supremacists and whatnot. What evidence is there for this?

For quite a while I supported Bush because I thought that even though he associated with the religious right, he was just taking their money and support to get elected.  Eventually I came to realize that even if Bush was just using them for instrumental purposes, he still had to throw them some bones (like Alito and Roberts, or the ban on stem cell research, for example) to keep their support.  I feel the same way about Paul - even if he's not a racist, the fact that he accepted support from racists, and therefore owes them some debt, essentially means he might as well be a racist.  

This is an unfair comparison. Bush was quite vocal about his affection for the religious right. He hasn't apologized for his connections with them and disavowed them. Where is the same level of public support for these groups from Ron Paul? Has RP been going around saying he is an instrument of and on a mission from the KKK? Have there been reports from a campaign insider saying he accepts and encourages Stormfront's endorsements and money with open arms? Does his public platform seem to indicate racist leanings to the same extent our President advocates for the religious right in his policy decisions? Finally, do you really think with the number of 'mainstream' volunteers and staffers working for him that if RP was really in with the racist wackos that he could have kept it hidden for so long?

How many times has RP run re-election? If there were any truth to these rumors, don't you think it is quite likely he would have gotten canned before this point, seeing as how his district includes some metropolitan areas?

16

^ 5

Fluke Discovery

uncarved block.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 10:23:53 PM EST

5.00 (interesting, informative, interesting)

    Reason magazine apparently did a little digging, and came up with a theory that Lew Rockwell and Murray Rothbard were likely the authors of the worst content in those newsletters. Is the evidence overwhelming? Is it a smear on Ron Paul? A "libertarian food fight" of no consequence? Hell if I know. I do know the discussion that followed (link at bottom) was pretty damn amusing, and a sign that "circular firing squad" is a description that fits more than the New Left.

    (OK, that Reason link wasn't working for me right away. The site isn't coming up either, so maybe this is just a temporary problem.)

Ex ignorantia ad sapientiam; e luce ad tenebras

3

^ 2

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

pO157.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 03:40:57 PM EST

4.50 (interesting, astute)

If I could have voted, I probably would have voted for McCain to help make sure he wins the Republican nomination, as he's the only R candidate that I can stomach (sorry pO157, but as much as I agree with some of Ron Paul's policies, I have problems voting for deluded racists).

I don't know about that. I think the racism claim is a bit much. A newsletter bearing his name did publish some ridiculous crap several decades ago which he has apologized for. He should have kept a tighter lid on that publication, and I believe he let several kooky groups write columns in there that are uncalled for and obviously will hurt him in the long run. If that is the only skeleton in his closet I am willing to give him a pass on it, since it is obvious from his speeches since then (even before this run for president) that he does not hold those views).

RP does have a problem presenting himself, and he is hampered by a few of the groups that support him which rightly offend the sensibilities of the mainstream. Does that make him a bad candidate? A local op-ed columnist here wrote a report worrying our state's defense forces were simply a hotbed for anti-government wingnuts who like to sit around, stockpile guns and do whatever it is "survivalists" do. Does that mean the entire idea of a citizen defense force/militia is a bad idea and everybody who supports/is a member of it is a black helicopter theorizing tinfoil hat wearing crazy?

Don't take my word for it. Ask the local NAACP president for his area who does not believe he is a racist. The point is Ron Paul may be many things (unlikely to win, a goldbug, no longer a part of the GOP mainstream, etc), but I do not believe he is a racist.

24

^ 2

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

profwhat.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 06:41:42 AM EST

4.00 (funny)

I didn't vote today because I couldn't. Delaware doesn't allow registered independents to vote in primaries.

So, by "disenfranchised," you mean, "not allowed to stick my nose in other people's business?"

26

^ 24

I got disenfranchised.

pO157.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 06:52:36 AM EST

4.00 (informative)

As a New York voter I wanted to go for Gravel. Sure, if Obama wins I'll probably vote for him in the end (depending on who else runs), but at this point I wanted my opinion registered that the Democratic party has not done its job in providing oversight and stopping this bullshit war.

I knew I'd have to write-in because Gravel only made the ballot in 20 Super Tuesday states however when I arrived I found the write-in slot jammed shut. So, I was forced to vote for Kucinich, which sucked because he pulled out of the race.  When I returned with my wife so she could vote in the GOP election that evening I read the sample ballot on the wall. In fine print it indicated that NYS allows no write ins during primary elections. My rights to throw my vote away on a long-shot anti-war candidate were violated because I did not have my choice on my particular brand of long shot also ran.

30

^ 24

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

port1080.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 08:29:57 AM EST

none

"not allowed to stick my nose in other people's business?"

Haha, very funny. This might be a valid complaint, if it weren't for the fact that a large number of states do have open primaries (or they allow you to declare your party on the day of voting - which I think probably is the best compromise on this issue). This isn't something that there is a decided consensus about. So tell me, why shouldn't we allow independents to vote in the primaries? If we had an inclusive, many-party system I would be more supportive of closed primaries, but as it is, sometimes the only choice you really have is during the primaries. Take Delaware, for example - in the governor's race, there isn't a single credible Republican candidate running, so the real election will basically be the Democratic primary (we have our state primary later in the year, so even though the Presidential primary was yesterday, we still haven't voted on the local races). Why should Independents & Republicans be completely excluded from voting in that race?

33

^ 30

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

profwhat.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 08:52:01 AM EST

5.00 (informative)

It's up to the Democrats whom the Democrats nominate, and it's up to the Republicans whom the Republicans nominate.  It is their party, not yours.  Now, if they are nice, they can invite you to play with them (as some states do), but requiring them to do that would infringe their freedom of association.

It's not tough to become a member of those parties; just check the box and sign the form.  You, however, have chosen to be an independent.  Good for you; that's a meaningful political statement in itself.  But there are consequences to that decision, and this is one of them.

35

^ 33

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

port1080.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 09:26:20 AM EST

none

It's up to the Democrats whom the Democrats nominate, and it's up to the Republicans whom the Republicans nominate. It is their party, not yours.

I see your point, but given the fact that we have an institutionalized two party system (I think you'll agree that third parties don't have a realistic chance of getting national power in the near future, or probably ever), isn't there a compelling interest to force the party primaries to be more open? Does it make sense to (potentially - it doesn't look like it will play out like this in this election, but it has in the past) allow the extreme ends of both parties to determine the candidate, when the majority of people fall somewhere in the middle? Basically, 1/3rd of the country identifies as liberal, 1/3 as moderate, 1/3 as conservative (and within those categories, there's a similar distribution of strong liberal / mainstream liberal / moderate liberal, liberal moderate, complete moderate, conservative moderate, etc.). Given that, you can easily have a result where the majority of the people (the moderate 1/3rd, plus the moderate liberal 1/9th and the moderate conservative 1/9th) prefer a certain candidate, but that candidate has no chance in hell of actually making it the general election because he or she will be vetoed by the liberal or conservative wing of the parties (i.e., what happened to McCain in 2000 and probably would have happened to him again this year if the conservative wing had a compelling candidate to rally behind). If you force open primaries, that gives the moderates the opportunity to have their voices heard during the primary process. If you keep them closed, it makes it much, much more likely that extremist candidates that only appeal to a minority of voters will make it to the general election. Given that the US system is otherwise designed to promote consensus politics and to prevent rapid / extreme change, why should we tolerate a closed primary system that actively works against those goals? Those problems, in my mind, outweigh whatever freedom of association concerns that might come out of requiring an open primary system.

29

^ 2

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 07:33:48 AM EST

4.00 (informative)

Delaware doesn't allow registered independents to vote in primaries
Can't you vote in the primary of the Independent Party?

31

^ 29

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

port1080.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 08:34:45 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

No - that's why I specifically wrote independent with a lowercase "i". I know (at least, hope) you're being semi-facetious, but I taught an intro to American Government class, and it was pretty sad how many students (at least a third of the class, maybe more) thought that if you registered independent that meant that you were registering as a member of the Independent Party (and believe me, those kids were not talking about the Independent Party you were linking to - they firmly believed that about 1/3rd of the US was registered to some imaginary Independent party which was strongly challenging the Republican and Democratic parties for voter registration. Some of them also thought there were large, national "Conservative" "Moderate" and "Liberal" parties. Maybe lowering the voting age to 18 wasn't the best idea after all...).

32

^ 31

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

zyxwvutsr.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 08:42:26 AM EST

none

I don't know how Delaware election law works, but in New Jersey you can be a "registered Independent" as well as "registered voter without party affiliation." It's probably easy to get confused when one fills out the form.

4

^ 2

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

MayorBob.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 04:23:52 PM EST

3.75 (illiterate, interesting, interesting)

As a registered Republican, I'll be voting for McCain as soon as I get to the polling place.  Actually, I'm thinking about voting for Obama come the general election.  If Hillary heads the Democratic ticket, I'll have to stick with McCain.  I'm not enamored and sold on McCain other than the fact that he's the best the Republicans offer.  It's low praise indeed, running against God's chosen messenger, the Huckster, and the former Arrow shirt ad model, Mitt.  But, I have a thing about voting in every election, general and primary, out of some sort of misguided sense of public duty.

Illegitimi non carborundum.

13

^ 4

Re: Disenfranchised in Delaware...

joshv.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 07:14:12 PM EST

4.00 (interesting)

I voted for McCain today as well, and I've come to the same conclusion you have regarding the general election.

If it's McCain against Hillary I'll vote for McCain - if McCain v Obama, I will probably vote Obama.  I can't imagine we are the only two Republicans leaning this direction.  Even my wife, born and raised in the staunchly conservative Chicago suburbs has said she'd vote for Obama - but she toes the conservative line with rabid Hillary Hate.

I wonder if the Democratic big-wigs are on to this trend and it's implications for Hillary's electability.

As a Republican I am thoroughly bored with my choices.  Ron Paul makes my inner libertarian swoon, but I have no desire to throw away my vote on a candidate most people think is a nut case.  

So come election day, I am up for voting for a little bit of nebulous "Hope" and "Change".  I think Obama will go far on the world political stage mending bridges that Bush II has precision bombed.  Obama will be a freakin rock star in Europe.

8

But Think of the Children!

Shy Elf.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 05:38:32 PM EST

4.50 (interesting, interesting)

While flipping channels, I happened to catch Hillary speaking to the Yale Child Study Center, and when she talked about how children had always been her motivation for public service, I was, surprisingly, utterly convinced that she meant it.

True, she has always been more motivated by seeking money and power, but isn't the act of seeking the Presidential nomination with our current nominating process in itself proof that one is an egomaniac?  From Hillary's college days when she chose to sacrifice her time for something bigger than herself, it has always been for the notion of the government helping children.  When she had an uncredited ghostwriter write a book for her, wasn't the title, "It Takes a Village and Other Lessons Children Teach Us."  Ask her about of her proudest accomplishments, and she will talk about the "No Child Left Behind Act", which screwed up schools nationwide.  Ask about her deepest regret and it is that the Children's Health Insurance Program didn't cover more children.

Why is it that when Hillary Rodham Clinton tells us her vision of the important things for the federal government to accomplish we simply don't believe her?  Hasn't she told us enough times?

12

^ 8

Re: But Think of the Children!

zyxwvutsr.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 07:07:35 PM EST

4.66 (informative, funny, informative)

Why is it that when Hillary Rodham Clinton tells us her vision of the important things for the federal government to accomplish we simply don't believe her?
Why indeed?

17

Re: Exit polling

Jackkeefe.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 10:26:36 PM EST

4.50 (interesting, interesting)

According to the exit polls I've seen, Obama won AZ, MA, NJ and MO.  As of now, it appears that he lost most of those states rather handily.  Throw NH into the mix and it appears that there is a significant trend developing.  I'm not aware of any state that Obama has won that the polling indicated Clinton was going to win.  If anything, given the supposed number of new voters Obama is supposed to be generating,, you would expect him to exceed  the exit polls, which are based on traditional turn our models. Obama seems to do well in caucus states, where voters vote publicly, but severely under performs in primary, private voting states.  It appears that a number of voters are telling the e

In 2004, the networks realized they used too many college age woman outside polling stations.  The theory was that voters, especially male Bush voters reported that to the woman  that they voted for Kerry, because they assumed that was what the woman wanted to hear.  I think something similar is going on here.  My guess is that a number of white voters are reporting Obama votes to receive affirmation for their progressiveness, while actually voting for Clinton.  

34

^ 17

Re: Exit polling

novy.

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 09:23:42 AM EST

4.00 (informative, interesting)

Obama won Rocky Mountains, midwest, southeast, small states in northeast. Clinton won Latins and Asians (thus California, Arizona, and maybe New Mexico), Arkansas and states near Arkansas, and big states in northeast. They came so close to splitting delegates that some say she won more delegates last night than Obama and some say Obama will turn out to have won more than her when counting is completed.  

1

Huckabee wins WV, Romney Caucus-blocked!

pO157.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 02:59:56 PM EST

4.33 (interesting, informative, informative)

Paulites and McCain supporters defect en masse after 2 rounds of ballotting to barely keep the state from falling into Romney's hands.

11

^ 1

Re: Huckabee wins WV, Romney Caucus-blocked!

pO157.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 07:03:45 PM EST

4.00 (informative)

7

Invitation to chat & watch the results come in

port1080.

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 05:33:17 PM EST

none

Anyone who wants realtime chat about the results is welcome to join us in the TnT Chat Room.  We'll be there all night.

This story: 51 comments (10 from subqueue)
Post a Comment