You say fiasco, I say opportunity.
Neither of the two problems currently hitting the US economy are unsolvable. The housing market is midway through its crisis already. It might not yet have hit bottom (I doubt it has, but we'll need a few more months of data to be sure), but we're seeing some indication that it is being resolved in the collapse of sellers' price resistance. You can't find the bottom until people start looking for it. I expect the May, 2009 housing outlook will be substantially different from now.
Oil is a bigger issue, but even there we're seeing some movement. Opinions about offshore drilling and nuclear power are sliding to the "favorable" end, and both would be welcome changes. The latter would enable more power at better prices and better efficiency (read: less pollution), and would shift US energy expenditures from the Middle East to Australia; that's a win for everyone who isn't a Saudi sheik or Hugo Chavez. The former guarantees increased oil supply, jobs and taxes while the other, larger correction happens.
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Re: Ego
Wed Jul 02, 2008 at 12:47:09 PM EST
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Even after reading your comment, I still say "fiasco". :-)
Opinions about offshore drilling and nuclear power are sliding to the "favorable" end, and both would be welcome changes.
I've read those same articles, and I too welcome the shift in attitudes as positive. But damn man, do you understand the time scale involved? Even if the NRC waived all the environmental impact statement nonsense and issued permits for a shitload of new reactors today, it would be three to five years at a minimum before a single watt of additional electricity was generated. The time lag on new offshore drilling platforms would be comparable.
Neither will help the next president one bit. Maybe the one we elect in 2012, but not McCain or Obama.
{Insert amusing quotation here}
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Re: Ego
Wed Jul 02, 2008 at 01:59:55 PM EST
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But damn man, do you understand the time scale involved?
Oh, yeah, totally. We're talking about a 20-year scope here, start to finish. Despite that, I think the next president (whoever that is) has the potential to steer the national mood from "we're doomed" to "we can fix this". Every journey, single step -- you know the drill.
Whether that potential will get used properly is anybody's guess.