Politics

The O.D. in the O.C.

pO157.

Posted to Politics on Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 11:57:27 AM EST (promoted by port1080). RSS.

Although technically not a a sanctioned debate, nor an actual head to head matchup, Saturday night's forum in Orange County, California was the first time Senators Obama (D-IL) and McCain (R-AZ) answered questions on the same stage since becoming the presumptive nominees of their parties.

The open forum style town hall was hosted by Rev. Rick Warren at his Saddlebrook Church. Each candidate took the stage for one hour, starting with Senator Obama, and was asked a series of identical questions.

Analysts say the stakes were high for McCain, who has a large following among conservative faith based voters. While Warren is against abortion and gay marriage, he is part of a growing movement to turn the attention of the religious right from these two wedge issues. Obama was expected to have a strong showing as he is recognized as a good orator although he has made some high profile gaffes before.

Rev Warren says these types of events are critical for the success of the country.

"As a pastor, I believe in the separation of church and state, but I don't believe we can separate religion from politics, because one's faith determines one's worldview, which informs one's decisions and determines how one would lead. The reason we are hosting this historic event is to stake out common ground for the common good."
He says his debate, called the Saddlebrook Civil Forum, will increase polite discourse in politics, regain lost credibility by religious groups and help people take responsibility for their actions. Reaction from liberals to Obama's participation has been mixed, with the vacillating response of Salon's Joan Walsh exemplifying their discomfort with the religious nature of the venue, combined with their hope that Obama can finally be the Democratic candidate that crosses over and snags some Evangelical votes.

On a related note, Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr (L-GA) who was excluded from the forum and had asked a judge to allow him to participate. Supporters point to the fact that over half of Americans believe Barr should be in the debates, and over 40% support allowing Nader to participate as well. The judge denied this request.

Tags: edited by Port1080, written by pO157, debates, religion, politics, Rick Warren, Barack Obama, John McCain, 2008 Elections, Bob Barr (all tags)

This story: 39 comments (3 from subqueue)
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1

reactions

gerrymander.

Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 01:05:13 PM EST

5.00 (interesting, interesting)

Saw the -- forum? -- so I have a few thoughts:

  1. Having each candidate give answers uncontested and unheard by his opponent worked well.

  2. Obama came within a split-second of giving Republicans commercial fodder for the rest of the campaign with "I don't think he [Clarence Thomas] has enough exper..." You wouldn't support a man for high office because of his inexperience, Senator? How interesting.

  3. McCain mostly sounded decisive, Obama mostly didn't. How much of that was character vs. how much was about being in front of that moderator/audience is an interesting question. Personally, I'm guessing a bit of both. If so, it does not bode well for Obama, as two of the three upcoming town hall debates take place in the South (Mississippi and Tennessee).

  4. Despite the venue and moderator, there were a couple of questions I would have expected Obama to knock out of the park, but he didn't. Questions regarding orphans and slaves seemed tailor-made to shore up the importance of a diplomacy-and-aid international stance, but he had nothing worthwhile to say.

  5. The one question McCain miffed, IMO, even though it played well with the audience was the "federal funds for churches" question. Obama had it right; if you want the king's coin, you follow the king's orders.

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Re: reactions

pO157.

Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 10:04:54 PM EST

5.00 (brilliant)

Couple comments:

   1. Having each candidate give answers uncontested and unheard by his opponent worked well.

I agree. This was a good idea. The open discourse between the Reverend and each candidate allowed it to take on more of an interview form that a debate with its constant banter and interruptions would not have. It allowed for more polite, civil discussion. The only thing it was missing was a view of the opponent in the soundproof booth a la Family Fued.

Obama came within a split-second of giving Republicans commercial fodder for the rest of the campaign with "I don't think he [Clarence Thomas] has enough exper..." You wouldn't support a man for high office because of his inexperience, Senator? How interesting.

IIRC, didn't Obama go all the way and say he would not have nominated Thomas because of a lack of experience at the time? Perhaps my brain just filled in the gaps, but I do not believe he caught himself. Is there an official transcript of the forum? I'm curious. Anybody else see this exchange?

10

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Re: reactions

gerrymander.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 11:48:34 AM EST

4.50 (informative, informative)

Hot Air has a video of the segment.

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^ 1

Thomas

profwhat.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 09:57:16 AM EST

5.00 (astute)

Attacks on Thomas frequently result in embarrassment for liberal critics, and this is just the latest example.  People desperately want to continue to believe the script that was written in 1991: that Thomas is an unqualified lawyer who was appointed only because of his race, and now simply parrots Scalia.  Several hundred opinions later, it's hard to agree with this; even if you don't agree with Thomas opinions, it is hard to fault their research or attack them as unclear.  As for Scalia-following, in many years, that Breyer and Ginsburg agree more often than Scalia and Thomas.  And then there's the old saw that Thomas is "disengaged" because he doesn't ask questions from the bench--an assessment that even Steven Breyer has publicly attacked.

Not too long ago Harry Reid got into serious hot water when he said that Thomas was "an embarrassment to the court" and that his opinions "were poorly written," although when pressed for specific opinions and why they were "poorly written" the legal scholar Reid came up short.  Now Obama is getting into the same problem.  Oops.

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Re: reactions

wetkarma.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 06:23:45 AM EST

none

Not being in the USA, I just now managed to see this last night. My perspective is that McCain blew Obama away - especially in his answer re: evil. Maybe Obama was having an off-night or maybe my focus on national security creates a McCain bias - but this was not exactly a good performance and did virtually nothing to reassure me that he would be any good at foreign policy.

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

3

Barr None

pO157.

Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 10:09:44 PM EST

5.00 (interesting)

To stimulate discussion:

Is anybody else completely shocked that over half of the electorate thinks Barr should be in the debates? I am simply agog. I'd like to believe that the results are significant because of the 10%+ difference between Nader and Barr, which suggests to me that the respondents were not simply saying "Sure, whatever, let whoever it is have his say." If this is true it makes me feel somewhat better about the electorate. That such a large percentage are open to listen to ideas they may strongly disagree with is a heartening sign.

I am also shocked that Zogby or another major polling organization took the time out to run a poll on this subject. Perhaps now on they will include him by and Nader in the presidential preference polls.

However, I am under no illusion that Barr will be in the debates. As much as he should be, he will be excluded.

5

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Re: Barr None

zyxwvutsr.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 08:41:42 AM EST

4.00 (funny, funny)

Is Zogby agog, too?

7

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Re: Barr None

pO157.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 09:42:08 AM EST

4.50 (funny, funny)

They are 72.5% agog with a +/- 1.7% margin of error.

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Re: Barr None

delete me.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 01:49:06 AM EST

none

I'm a bit shocked that a throw-away joke in the Q got Barr's name on the poll for this story. :)

I'm not shocked that people think that Barr should be allowed to debate. I felt that the steps the Green and Libertarian parties took to be taken seriously and be heard has worked out pretty well.

Though, I'm not quite certain of what the hell the Green Party is doing now with their current choice of cand- wait, they ran Nadir once, huh?

- derumi (del-me)
"Bobby Fischer? Man, that guy is crazy!" - Mike Tyson

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Re: Barr None

pO157.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 09:41:36 AM EST

none

I'm not shocked that people think that Barr should be allowed to debate. I felt that the steps the Green and Libertarian parties took to be taken seriously and be heard has worked out pretty well.

I believe a large segment of the US would be receptive to a Libertarian message, if it had the money and resources to compete at the same level as the Dems & GOP. It is sad how much serious journalism (if any covers them at all) simply revolves around discussing how 'crazy' that party is, or simply dismissing parts of the platform out of hand. It as if people would rather engage in personal attacks and faulty logic rather than discuss issues.

Though, I'm not quite certain of what the hell the Green Party is doing now with their current choice of cand- wait, they ran Nadir once, huh?
Talk about flushing credibility down the toilet with their candidate choice. I know there are Libertarians pissed about the party choosing Barr, but he is nowhere near as bad as McKinney.

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Re: Barr None

port1080.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 12:50:43 PM EST

5.00 (astute)

I believe a large segment of the US would be receptive to a Libertarian message, if it had the money and resources to compete at the same level as the Dems & GOP.

I wonder about this...ultimately I don't think so, though.  I don't think the American people are being tricked.  I think we have the government we want.  Go out, talk to people.  People want order and they want good economic times and they want low crime and they want "morality".  Republicans and Democrats both offer paths to these things (although through very different ways, of course).  Republicans promise that helping business and promoting "values" will fix all our woes.  Democrats promise a social welfare state and while they don't have as strong a "values" platform as the Republicans, they still love to pander to the "save the children" crowd with things like HRC's proposals for censorship of violent video games, etc.  Americans have come to love feeding at the government teat these days.  We no longer fight over whether the gov't should be involved or not - the only question is who gets to feed and how the food will be distributed.  Politicians say the things they say because they know it will get them elected.  If there was a constituency where an anti-government message was truly popular, we'd see libertarian candidates out there.  The simple, sad fact is that it doesn't sell.  It sells to a certain number of people - mainly reasonably well educated white males who don't have a strong religious background and don't have kids - but libertarians are by no means in the majority even in that (relatively limited) category.  Most people here in the US (and probably most people, period) simply don't value the same level of personal freedom that we do.  

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Re: Barr None

profwhat.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 10:33:35 AM EST

4.00 (interesting)

I doubt that 55% of Americans know who Bob Barr is; they answer "yes" to the poll question because we're an open minded people, and, hey, why not hear all sides?  You could put almost any name into that question and get a similarly high response.  Only a notorious name like Nader will get you a lower number.

The press will take Libertarians seriously when voters do.  Their presidential candidate in 2004, Michael Badnarik (who listed his greatest prior political achievement as being a "big man on campus" and vice-president of his college dormitory) got 0.43% of the vote in 2004.  By reference, some voting machines have a 1% error rate.

As for how crazy Libertarians are, judge them by the company they keep.  How did Sonny Landham get the LP's nomination to run for U.S. Senator from Kentucky after he referred to Arabs as "camel dung shovelers" and said "We should bomb every man, woman and child in the Muslim countries. They're hiding weapons and breeding terrorists. We need to commence genocide in the region. Islam is not a religion"?  And this guy had the nomination this year, until outcry forced the party to withdraw it.  I won't even get into the LP's entanglement with the militia movement in the 1990s.

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Re: Barr None

kenmoellman.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 03:57:30 PM EST

4.83 (informative, brilliant, informative)

Sonny Landham nomination

Landham had the nomination before making those comments.

Landham was stripped of the nomination after making those comments.  The "outcry" didn't force squat. The "outcry" was about 30 people in California and 10 in and around Detroit, who have another agenda anyway.  We made our decision based on what was best for LPKY.

I received 2 messages from people in Kentucky.  Both were from people within the freedom movement, but outside of the LP, with whom I have worked closely.

I know.  I'm the chair of the LPKY.

One outrageous candidate doesn't discredit an entire party.

If it did, the Republicans and Democrats would be discredited a whole lot more.  Ted Kennedy, Nancy Pelosi, Gary Condit, and Jimmy Carter are good examples of bad politicians known to most people on the Dem side. Republicans have their share of poor candidates as well.

People looking for a new way

Meanwhile, our press is taking us seriously in Kentucky.  We're building an organization here in Kentucky. People are angry at the R's and D's, crying out for a new way.  We are still building it, but it's coming along nicely.

We most recently (2006) had a Libertarian Party US Congressional Candidate in KY-4 take 5% of the popular vote with about $750.  

55% of people saying that Barr should be included is likely more of a reflection that 55% aren't satisfied with the 2 "Big Party" choices.

It's not about choice

The real problem is ballot access.  Republicans and Democrats write election laws that hurt each other a little bit, but mostly keep out any new competition.  This is effectively the creation and maintaining of an oligarchy.

In Kentucky, Republicans and Democrats need only 2 signatures to be on the ballot.  3rd parties and independents need between 100 and 5000, depending on the office being sought.  So we spend time and money gaining access to the ballot for a couple of months first, setting the campaign back in funding and critical campaign time.  This has happened to Barr as well.  Petitioning is still on-going in some states.

By contrast, Indiana has had ballot access since 1994, and has people in both non-partisan and partisan office.

McCain-Feingold prevents the LPKY from assisting with the Barr campaign without filing FEC paperwork.  That increases our 'cost of entry' if we wish to get involved in Federal races.  Legislators tried to pass a miniature state-level version in our past legislative session.  Imagine if the state chapter of your political party wasn't able to campaign, give advice, or basically do anything that helps the campaign.

Summary

The press is starting to take us seriously.  We are starting to make some big moves in Kentucky.  Even still, 33% of Kentuckians push the "straight party ticket" button, and another 33% vote consistently with their party (unless the Candidate does something really stupid, like former Republican Governor Ernie Fletcher).  That means we have to win every single open-minded person's vote to win in today's climate.  It's an uphill battle.  We'll get there.

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Re: Barr None

profwhat.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 06:56:45 PM EST

5.00 (astute)

OK, you get credit for withdrawing the nomination, but serious parties don't nominate genocidal racists to the U.S. Senate.  It's hard to see how his racism came out in a single press interview (his first press interview, right?) but didn't come out in your primary, or convention, or whatever it is you use to vet candidates before nominating them.  I would think that you'd at least check as to whether the people the Libertarian Party nominates are, well, libertarian.  Someone who favors limited government would typically not favor using a government to murder all members of an ethnic group, right?

Yet you want a fast-track path to the ballot.  Good luck with that plan.  And in the meantime, what "other agenda" are you referring to in "Detroit"--the agenda of the many Arab-Americans who live there?

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Re: Barr None

kenmoellman.

Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 08:30:59 PM EST

5.00 (informative, brilliant, brilliant)

Racism and the End of a Candidacy

We did investigate his record.  He was accused of being a racist by the Southern Poverty Law Center, but they call anyone who isn't for complete redistribution of wealth a racist, so that didn't play a role, in our minds.  He had also done an engagement for the CCC, but that was explained as a paid engagement (I've done work for the NEA. So what?).  Other prominent and known elected officials had participated in the same organization.

We gave him our endorsement, knowing that he was 80% libertarian, based on what he had said during the a multi-day, multi-event "interview" phase; 80% is significantly better than McConnell or Lunsford.  Certainly Republicans and Democrats don't insist on platform purity (do they even have a platform?)  Heck, Democrats in Kentucky would be Republicans in California.

His original comments about Bush and McConnell taking us into war over oil are exactly what many believe.  He espoused a belief in smaller government,  returning power to the states, and helping people help themselves by getting government out of the way.  We were very hopeful for his campaign and his chances.

He had multiple interviews with the media prior to the comments in question.  Beyond the announcement that went worldwide, and was apparently broadcast on CNN, there were a number of other interviews, on both radio and TV (Fox News, too), as well as the print media.

The first that I heard about the comments was the Friday following the first, second, and third time the comments were made.  Once I became aware of the situation, I alerted the executive committee, and we worked internally in the party to determine our options.  We don't have full-time paid lawyers on retainer.  We investigated our options before taking the appropriate action.

The LPKY does not file FEC (McCain-Feingold; frickin' McCain) paperwork, we are not directly related in any Federal campaigns once the campaign begins.  We don't involve ourselves because we're not allowed.  McCain-Feingold is another example of the system being rigged against 3rd parties and independents by increasing the cost of entry.

Perfect Parties?

Republicans and Democrats have run racists.  David Duke ran under both banners.  Strom Thurmond under both banners.  Robert Byrd of WV formerly led the local branch of the KKK.  Just a few examples.  Certainly there have been racists in both parties in the past who have even held office, and very likely there are still racists in office still today.

To insinuate that Parties don't make mistakes from time to time is ridiculous.  Parties are a group of people.  People are not perfect.  Mistakes can and will be made, because people are not perfect.  The actions taken after a mistake are what you should judge.

Other Agenda

The "other agenda" in Detroit and (mainly) California I mentioned is an internal squabble within the Party at the national level that has no bearing on this topic.  The only people to contact me from the Arabic community was the Center for American-Islamic Relations, who called me to commend us on our actions in removing him from the ballot.

You obviously know what the Libertarian platform is about, based on your commentary. Perhaps you have another agenda by bringing up the Landham situation?  I'm pretty sure the topic is Bob Barr.  Barr had nothing to do with the Landham campaign.  So commentary about Landham in a thread about Barr is mostly irrelevant.  Unless we're going down the route of associating McCain with Stevens (AK) and Craig(ID) or Obama with Byrd (WV) and Jefferson (LA).  But that seems like a side-bar from a presidential candidate's inclusion in a debate.

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Re: Barr None

Lou.

Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 07:42:53 AM EST

5.00 (funny, astute, funny)

Republicans have their share of poor candidates as well.

No understatement here, eh?

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: Barr None

skeptic.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 10:53:30 AM EST

none

It can be argued that the winner of the 2008 Presidential election will be either McCain or Obama, not Barr, therefore it would be a waste of time to even bother hearing what Barr may have to say.  The problem with that reasoning is that it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.  Naturally Barr cannot win if we cannot even be bothered to hear what he has to say.  Maybe if we did listen to what he has to say, he might have a chance of winning (although I am not endorsing him; I still prefer Obama).

Since neither the Republicans nor the Democrats have any great record of solving the problems of America over the past 60 years or so, we may well need to consider other options, and to be willing to include other voices in our debates.

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Barr probably won't be there.

pO157.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 11:09:06 AM EST

none

He has two (constitutional eligibility, ballot access on enough states) of three criteria, but probably will not hit the third (15% in the national polls after Labor Day) without a miracle. He would have to more than double his current standing of 6%, although that ballpark was good enough to get Perot into the '92 debates.

I would support a change of the debate invitation rules in 2012. I propose requiring polling at either 20% nationwide or polling above 5% nationwide with at least 33% of Americans supporting inclusion in the debate, as tested in a variety of surveys. No more than one candidate from each party. This would allow the Will of the People to allow a credible minor candidate access to the national stage and give them a big boost going into election day if their platform was accepted. Perot parlayed 7% at the time of the debate into 19% on election day. It is a good idea and would force people to oppose the ideas of others with more than a blanket condemnation of their mental health status.

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Re: The O.D. in the O.C.

tomc.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 02:14:51 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

I watched the program and noticed that McCain commented about a question on the Supreme Court that he knew was coming up.  He knew the question was coming up???

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Re: The O.D. in the O.C.

gerrymander.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 03:27:10 PM EST

4.00 (informative)

Warren is on record as having mentioned some of the questions to each of the candidates, so they wouldn't feel ill at ease. Neither McCain nor Obama got special treatment in that respect, and no circumvention of the rules was necessary or in evidence.

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Re: The O.D. in the O.C.

tomc.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 10:12:33 PM EST

5.00 (astute)

The way it was reported was not that McCain got special treatment, but that he had the opportunity to hear some of the questions, unbeknownst to Warren.  I think the comment shows McCain did get information before he appeared for his segment.

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Devil's advocate

pO157.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 03:15:49 PM EST

none

Isn't it possible that since the Supreme Court is such a hot topic during a presidential election (moreso now with some of the recent controversial decisions) McCain anticipated the general terms of a few questions?

I mean, wouldn't it be logical to expect a question on Iraq or something?

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Re: Devil's advocate

Lou.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 03:17:33 PM EST

none

I mean, wouldn't it be logical to expect a question on Iraq or something?

I guess that would depend on if any of the SCJ were planning to retire soon.  I dunno since I haven't been following that.

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Oyez!

pO157.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 04:35:43 PM EST

none

It's possible the next president could have a major impact on the court. Stevens is over 85, Scalia and Kennedy are in their 70s.

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McCain vs. Obama

skeptic.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 11:48:46 AM EST

5.00 (interesting)

The two candidates have many similarities.  Both want America to be secure and prosperous.  Both are Christians.  They would like to protect the environment and make America independent of foreign oil imports.  The clearest difference highlighted by these interviews is about abortion.  Obama supports Roe vs. Wade, McCain is opposed.  

Americans should think very carefully before they vote for a candidate who, if elected, may well succeed (by way of Supreme Court appointments, or by any other means he can devise) in bringing back the ban on abortion which existed prior to Roe vs. Wade.  

It is all very well and good to value human life and to protect even those who are not yet born, giving them the chance for full and, we hope, productive lives.  But the actual consequences of banning abortion are very harmful.  We have seen that when women are not allowed legal abortions they will seek illegal abortions, often with terrible consequences for both mother and fetus.  The coat-hanger abortions prevalent prior to Roe vs. Wade were notorious, and a national disgrace.  

And even aside from that, the consequences of forcing women to have children that they don't want, are even more serious.  Unwanted children generally do not have as good an upbringing as those who are wanted.  This is quite understandable, because women who don't want children generally have very good reasons for not wanting them; they are not prepared, by reason of economics, education, maturity, and so forth, to have children.  One can always argue that if that is the case, they should have taken greater care (either through sexual abstinence or by using birth control pills or other such precautions) to avoid getting pregnant, which is true, but which is also beside the point, because there are always going to be people who become pregnant accidentally, and we still have to consider what the consequences are of forcing those accidentally pregnant women to bear children that they do not want.  

Children who have an upbringing of inferior quality will, statistically, be more likely to grow up to be unemployed, or criminals, or drug addicts, or otherwise unproductive members of society, than those who had better upbringings, and that is a logically inevitable result.  Childhood is a preparation for adulthood; if you are not well prepared, the outcome will likely be worse.

So how much more crime can America afford?  The prisons are already desperately overcrowded, and the enormous cost of imprisoning all these people is one of the reasons why the country is sliding, slowly but surely, toward bankruptcy.  Banning abortion could well be the final nail in the coffin of America.  It would be an incredibly stupid thing to do.  And McCain wants to do it.  This is very serious.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

Jackkeefe.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 04:30:06 PM EST

4.00 (astute, interesting)

bringing back the ban on abortion which existed prior to Roe vs. Wade.

Abortion was not banned prior to Roe and was legal in some states. A reversal of Roe would not entail a ban on abortions and I'll a large number of states would immediatelly move to protect the right to abortion should Roe be overturned.  

 will, statistically, be more likely to grow up to be unemployed, or criminals, or drug addicts, or otherwise unproductive members of society

Does that give society the right to abort all black babies, because they are statistically more likely to grow up to be criminals.  By only aborting all black babies we could certainly obtain all the benefits you list for our country.  

One could also make the arguement that aborting babies is bankrupting the country because there will be fewer workers to support are rapdily aging population. Since social security is a pyramid scheme, we are risking our country's solvency and future by removing otherwise potenially productive workers.  

It really becomes hard to argue that these unwanted babies will all become criminals because you are ignoring the adoption market.  The long waiting lists demonstrate how easily it would be to place these unwanted babies in secure and nurturing homes.  

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Black babies

Lou.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 04:46:21 PM EST

none

By only aborting all black babies we could certainly obtain all the benefits you list for our country.  

Bill Bennett Speaks

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

skeptic.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 09:34:59 AM EST

none

Given the aggressively anti-abortion policies that would exist in a McCain administration, I am sure that in the absence of the protection offered by Roe vs. Wade, federal legislation would bring an end to abortion in all states.

Adoption has always been a viable alternative to abortion, but it my observation that most people who oppose abortion are not willing to adopt the babies whose birth they are trying to bring about.  Even now, with so many abortions taking place, there are lots of children in orphanages who are not being adopted.  To some extent this is because people who do want to adopt children are often prevented from doing so by bureaucratic obstacles - but at the same time, we wouldn't want to allow unfit parents to adopt, so some control is needed.  I don't think that adoption is the solution although it would be a very humane solution if it could be done.

While it is true that one could make much the same argument about black babies that I am making about unwanted babies resulting from accidental pregnancies, I think that there is a significant difference.  It is reasonable that women should have the right to choose whether they want to have a baby or not, and it is more important, in my opinion, for a baby to be wanted by its mother, than for it to belong to the more prosperous ethnic group.  I have also proposed (in a different discussion) that reproduction could be licensed in order to improve the rate of successful parenting, by denying licenses to people who seem likely to be unfit parents, and while such decisions would not be racially based - there are certainly many African-Americans who make excellent parents and are fully qualified as parents - this would tend to weed out people, of whatever ethnicity, who are not really qualified to be parents.  That would be the way to do it, rather than making ethnicity a qualification, which is unfair since every ethnicity does contain a wide variety of people.

I would also like to point out that I am not arguing that ALL babies whose mothers are forced to bear them against their will are therefore going to grow up to become criminals - merely that a disproportionate number will do so.  And that is more than we can really afford.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

Jackkeefe.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 02:41:32 PM EST

none

 federal legislation would bring an end to abortion in all states.

I don't think a Democratic House and Senate would outlaw abortion.  Even if the  Democrats committed political suicide and did so, the Supreme Court would find the law unconstitutional, probably unanimously.  I know Scalia has already stated that he would find any such federal ban unconstitutional. .

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

skeptic.

Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:18:20 AM EST

none

Of course, it is entirely possible that even if John McCain is elected President and he then uses every means at his disposal to outlaw abortion in the US, he might still find it impossible to do so, because of obstacles in either the Congress or the Supreme Court.  I have been looking at the worst case scenario, which I have somewhat overstated for rhetorical purposes.  The threat is not quite as dire as I have predicted since it might still be avoidable.  But then again, it might not.  I would consider it to be foolish to give McCain the chance to outlaw abortion even though he might never be able to actually do it.

We have to consider as well the possibility that if the American public elects a Republican President (against current expectations and polling results) they might also surprise you and elect a Republican Congress which would support their Republican President and his reactionary policies.  And certainly, McCain as President might well have enormous impact on the composition of the Supreme Court, although he might have to wait for some years for existing justices to either die or retire.  So I would not completely count on either Congress or the Supreme Court to hold the line on abortion rights.  It would be better to elect Obama.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

gerrymander.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 02:19:01 PM EST

none

We have seen that when women are not allowed legal abortions they will seek illegal abortions, often with terrible consequences for both mother and fetus.  The coat-hanger abortions prevalent prior to Roe vs. Wade were notorious, and a national disgrace.

Of course, that was before the widespread use of birth control and "day after" pills, the introduction of latex condoms and decades of "safe sex" messages, and in days prior to generous welfare programs for unwed mothers when single-parent households were socially shunned. With all those changes, shouldn't the concern over back-alley abortions diminish?

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

skeptic.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 09:43:04 AM EST

none

One would think so.  But despite birth control, "day after" pills, latex condoms, decades of "safe sex" messages, and generous welfare programs for unwed mothers, there are still lots of abortions being done.  Apparently there are still people who foolishly fail to use birth control mechanisms (whether pills or condoms) when they should - as well as a certain number of cases in which these birth control mechanisms fail, since they are not 100% reliable.  There are still women who do not want to have a baby despite the prospect of generous welfare payments.  These people who currently seek legal abortions can be expected to seek illegal abortions if the option of legal abortion is taken away.  It may also be that if abortion becomes illegal in the US, people will be more likely to use birth control, if they are not complete idiots.  But we can safely predict that there will still be women seeking abortions.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

wetkarma.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 09:59:20 AM EST

none

Come up with a male version of the pill and watch the abortion rates fall some more (and STD's rise).

Memory is a strange bell, jubilee and knell.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

skeptic.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 10:09:01 AM EST

none

The closest equivalent of the male birth-control pill is the vasectomy.  In any event, while birth control helps a lot, there would still seem to be a need for abortions.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

profwhat.

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 10:55:17 PM EST

none

Children who have an upbringing of inferior quality will, statistically, be more likely to grow up to be unemployed, or criminals, or drug addicts, or otherwise unproductive members of society....

Where are the statistics you refer to?

We've spent so long trying to excuse socially unacceptable behavior as the consequence of poverty that we've forgotten that the vast majority of poor people do not, in fact, want to stab you and spend the cash in your wallet on crack.  A lot of people in the U.S. grew up poor.  Very few of those people become criminals and drug addicts.  I don't know what it means to grow up to be "unemployed," as very few people spend their entire adult lives unemployed.

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Re: McCain vs. Obama

skeptic.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 09:53:50 AM EST

none

It is perfectly true that there are people who are both poor and yet still honest.  As well as people are affluent yet dishonest (or even, people who are affluent because they have been so successful at being dishonest).  That is really not the issue.    Children should be raised by parents who feel prepared (whether by reason of economics, education, emotional maturity, or any other relevant factor) for the challenges of parenthood and who want to raise a child, rather than being forced to do so because of an accidental pregnancy and legal obstacles to getting an abortion.  I have seen actual statistics on this, but I don't have them at my disposal at the moment (please excuse me).  

It is actually true in any area of endeavor, not just child-raising, that people who willingly choose to do a particular activity are more likely to succeed than those who do it unwillingly under duress.  This is very logical.  People do not usually put forth their best effort for something that they didn't want to do in the first place.  And raising children is tremendously demanding.

It is equally logical that the children whose parents take good care of them are more likely to succeed as adults, than are the children who were not so well cared for.  Diet alone can make a huge difference.  It is not even necessarily a question of being able to AFFORD to feed your children well, so much as it is a question of knowing what children need to eat and caring enough to feed them an appropriate diet.  That affects development.  And there are many other ways in which bad parenting can adversely affect the development of children.

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Abortion & crime

profwhat.

Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 06:39:07 PM EST

none

And how does your utilitarian calculus account for unwanted children who are born and grow up to make extraordinary contributions to society?  Not everyone with a horrible childhood becomes a horrible adult; some rise above and give us wonderful things.  Does one John Lennon make up for the "inevitable" multitudes of "unproductive" citizens that you'd rather be aborted?

You throw around words like "logical" and "inevitable" as if you were talking about right angles in triangles.  You are not.  When you are making a policy argument for abortion choice based on sociological and demographic effects, you are far away from a place where logic is available to decision makers.  You are firmly in the land of hunch.  Although there is a real debate about the effect of abortion on crime (and the most famous proponent of that theory, the Freakonomics guy, has admitted at least one serious error), it is not clear to me that reducing crime should be a society's paramount concern, valued above the dignity of life.

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Re: Abortion & crime

skeptic.

Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:10:30 AM EST

none

I have been clear from the beginning that I am discussing statistical results.  Obviously, not all the children who might hypothetically be born as a result of preventing their mothers from obtaining abortions would grow up to be unproductive citizens.  Some people rise above difficulties, and they are to be congratulated for doing so.  Unfortunately, many other people fail to rise above their difficulties.  As a society, we should be at least somewhat practical in making our decisions, because there really is only so much social chaos that we can afford to deal with, and we seem to be reaching the limit already.

My arguments have been perfectly logical, even though they are not mathematical, nor have you shown any defect in my reasoning.  Do you disagree that willing parents are more likely to do a good job than unwilling parents?  Do you disagree that children who are brought up well by good parents have a better chance of success in life than those who were brought up badly by bad parents?  You haven't even addressed these issues, you merely assert that I'm not so logical as I claim to be.  So what's wrong with my logic?

I am not suggesting that reducing crime is a paramount value above that of the respect for human life.  I respect human life.  I would not, for example, advocate that everyone convicted of even a minor crime should be immediately executed.  I happen to believe (unlike Senator McCain) that human life does not begin at conception.  Abortion is a matter of preventing the development of what might BECOME a human life if it were allowed to develop.  It is a loss of human potential but not a loss of actual human beings.

Of course, the loss of potential is itself unfortunate in some respect.  Some of the people who might have been born had they not been aborted might grow up to be great people, like John Lennon.  But by that logic, the more people live on planet Earth, the better.  If seven billion people are good, a hundred billion will be even better; think of all the great artists, scientists, leaders, and so forth, who could potentially emerge from such a large planetary population.  But of course, such joyous expectations ignore the fact that the resources of the planet Earth are not adequate even to give our existing population of seven billion people the standard of living that they want and increasingly insist upon, and are willing to go to war about.  A world with a hundred billion would be total madness.  So there is a limit to the amount of human potential we can afford.  At least, unless we can expand our arena of operations.  The capacity to export excess population other planets, for example, could make a huge difference.  But no such capacity presently exists.  So far, we can land on the moon but we can't live there, and certainly not in any significant numbers, even if a lunar colony were to be created.  It would have no effect on overpopulation on Earth.

Abortion is not in itself a good or desirable thing.  It is always better to avoid unwanted pregnancies in the first place.  In general, surgery is not desirable; it is much better to avoid having the kind of serious injuries or illnesses which might require surgery.  Prosthetic limbs are not as desirable as real limbs.  But some people still lose their limbs and require prosthetics.  People who carelessly failed to use birth control when they should have, and who wind up with an unwanted pregnancy are foolish.  But from the viewpoint both of their individual freedom and the good of society at large, it is still necessary to allow them to have abortions, rather than to penalize their  mistake by forcing them to have children that they don't want.

16

McCain was in the cone of silence...

Lou.

Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 03:41:16 PM EST

none

or, maybe not

It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

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