Politics

Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

novy.

Posted to Politics on Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 10:51:01 PM EST (promoted from Diaries by port1080). RSS.

Polls showing Barack Obama pulling away in swing states like Ohio and Florida illustrate American media bias against conservatives, right? I mean, everyone has known for quite some time that television news and big national newspapers favour leftists, but now it looks like most national polling organisations prefer leftists too. They obtain their obviously-wrong results by purposely oversampling Democrats, and they think Americans won't notice, and bet that Republicans will respond to their propaganda by staying home on Election Day because they think Mitt Romney can't win or, even worse, by curtailing their contributions to Romney's campaign. Fortunately, conservatives haven't been taking this polling assault lying down, and unskewedpolls has assembled proof that Romney has this election all but sewn up. Massaging Rasmussen's assumptions and techniques has produced great and welcome news for Republicans. Now, The Truth Is Out There.

Or would "I Want To Believe" and "Trust No One" be more accurate? Sure, realclearpolitics, which usually leans right, may show Obama 4 or 5 points up on Romney, but they've been averaging socialist lies with more accurate polls, so what does anyone expect? As for Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight blog showing Obama running away with this election, how can he predict anything before Obama and Romney debate? He writes for The New York Times, for heaven's sake. And his explanations of why some predictions fail tells us more than he intended.

But all that propaganda has had its intended effect. Even Dick Morris calls this race "a toss-up"! He wants Romney to win, like everyone else on Fox, but can't bring himself to embrace reality because he has been beaten down by left-wing numbers. Americans have had enough of dependency and socialism, and  have been rallying to Romney's side ever since he finally embraced conservative principles and started calling out America's Freeloadin' Forty-Seven. Now, if only Romney will stand by his conservative principles when he debates Obama, starting on 3 October, what could possibly go wrong?

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1

Stephen Colbert

novy.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 11:06:13 AM EST

none

I think I finally know what Stephen Colbert feels like when he does his show.

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

AngryWhiteMan.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 12:38:57 PM EST

5.00 (funny)

There are two distinct sets of facts that exist side by side in our universe. There is only way to see the other set of 'facts'. You must listen to AM radio for 6 months. Cranked to 11.

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

AngryWhiteMan.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 12:46:17 PM EST

none

Welp, as it turns out, it's God's fault. We should have known:

Glenn Beck: God put Romney behind in polls to prove it's a miracle when he wins

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

novy.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 02:26:11 PM EST

none

Your linked article about Glenn Beck really affected me. I now understand that George Washington and I have remarkable similarities. First,

"[Beck] went on to explain that Romney's hidden private life proved that he was 'kind of on the line' with President George Washington. 'Nobody knew Mitt's private life,' Barton agreed. 'In the same way, you have George Washington. When you look at his private life, now you know why he's a great guy. And a politician to hide that shows even deeper character, I think, Beck observed. 'It shows he knows [God is] in charge. And he obeys. ... He's enough like [Washington] that God can change you.'"
Nobody knows my private live either. But when you look at my private life, you know why [I'm] a great guy. I have even deeper character. It shows I know God is in charge. And I obey. [I'm] enough like Washington that God can change me.

Second, neither I nor Washington was born in The United States of America. He wasn't because it didn't exist when he born, and I didn't because my parents were not in harmony with God's will. Similar if not identical reasons. Third (although not mentioned by Beck), Washington opposed "entangling alliances" with European nations. I totally agree. European nations suck, which explains why I don't live in Europe.

I was also impressed with Beck's reasoning about "A -- God" (as opposed to "B -- God", who can't be trusted):

"I am to the point that -- A -- God is trying to make this so clear to us that if it happens, it's his finger. Because nothing looks good. And yet, everybody I know who I consider a spiritual giant feels good... And it bothers me that I feel good because, I'm like, there's no reason that I should feel good on this."
I can't think of any reason I should feel good on this either. (Neither Obama nor Romney will ever run Canada, after all, so who even cares?) And it bothers me that I feel good because, I'm like, B -- God wants me to feel Bad. All my spiritual giant friends feel good, but then spiritual giants always feel good, even when they feel Bad. Right?

Of course, everything will change if Obama actually wins, because A -- God would NEVER allow Obama to be elected President, except maybe in 2008. So if Obama got elected, it would definitely NOT be A -- God's finger. It might be B -- God's finger, but then we've already established that B -- God can't be trusted.

But just like Obama wasn't really born in Honolulu (and if he was, then it wasn't really part of America in 1961), if B -- God allows him to be elected in 2012, he won't REALLY have been re-elected at all! We can all just report to Mitt Romney as if he was President -- or at least ruler of some alternate Mormon universe -- because he really WILL be President! We just have to have enough faith to see how A -- God works.

Glenn Beck and David Barton totally rock.

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

indecentspeech.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 03:03:55 PM EST

none

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

novy.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 03:18:58 PM EST

5.00 (rocked)

If he wasn't, he couldn't totally rock, now could he?

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

AngryWhiteMan.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 07:45:43 PM EST

none

Yep. And just when you think the Conservative Sociopathic Express couldn't possibly fly any further off the rails....

http://idle.slashdot.org/story/12/10/01/2214254/glenn-beck-reports-cia-plot-between-embassy-killing- and-something-awful

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

novy.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 09:35:14 PM EST

none

Thank goodness Beck never found out about Carl Steadman or MY cover would have been blown too. Not that I have ANYTHING to do with CIA regime change efforts in Syria or Libya or even Belarus or anything like that, of course. I mean, I don't even have any cover to blow, really, although I like getting blown as much as anyone else.

Something Awful going on with Something Awful; that seems really Awful. But why did Beck let everyone in on CIA involvement in video gaming culture, and blogging, and whatever else America's intelligence community has taken over recently? Does he figure Democrats have been using CIA Soft Power to undermine him? Not so soft, eh?

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

HidingFromGoro.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 10:58:54 PM EST

5.00 (funny)

Wait till he finds about real-life Something Awful "conspiracies" like the EVE Online goonswarm thing, "sabotaging" Bitcoins, or any of the rest.

I got more styles than prison got bricks- ain't that some shit?

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

HidingFromGoro.

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 11:06:35 PM EST

5.00 (informative)

Also if Vilerat was in any way connected to the CIA he would have NEVER SHUT THE FUCK UP about it, because that's just how insufferable the guy was.  Not that I'm saying he deserved to die for bad posting (by that standard I'd have been killed long ago), but let's not trip over ourselves to whitewash his terrible opinions and terrible judgment just because he died.

I got more styles than prison got bricks- ain't that some shit?

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

gerrymander.

Tue Oct 02, 2012 at 11:07:39 AM EST

none

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

HidingFromGoro.

Tue Oct 02, 2012 at 10:28:56 PM EST

none

sounds like someone's still mad about a spreadsheet game lol

I got more styles than prison got bricks- ain't that some shit?

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

gerrymander.

Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 09:05:54 AM EST

none

Heh. Not really. My interaction with Goonswarm is usually limited to reading isk scam requests from "new" players with names like "Jacques Gobbelcoque" in chat channels.

11

Kiss My Ring.

Mittenz Romney.

Tue Oct 02, 2012 at 06:54:35 AM EST

none

I am, after all, the presumptive president-elect for life.  My reign, er administration, will feature caviar slathered in high fructose corn syrup on every table.  I leave it up to you, my fellow subjects, to select the endangered species you wish to serve with caviar.

Sic Usquequaque Pro Spurcus Uber

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Re: Kiss My Ring.

novy.

Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 08:59:41 AM EST

none

What happened to "Mittens"?

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Re: Kiss My Ring.

indecentspeech.

Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 09:29:26 AM EST

5.00 (funny)

TnT got sued.

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Read My Profile For An Explanation

Mittenz Romney.

Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 05:52:19 PM EST

none

I was ill served by the 47 percent.

Now, if you'll pardon me, I to whip some Kenyan-born butt in the debate and my team needs me focused on the zingers they cooked up for me.

Sic Usquequaque Pro Spurcus Uber

13

Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

tjb.

Tue Oct 02, 2012 at 02:40:07 PM EST

none

Or there could be a tie!

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Re: Unskewed Polls Show Romney Winning Easily

novy.

Tue Oct 02, 2012 at 03:17:53 PM EST

none

If Romney tied, he would win, of course, because Republicans have 80%+ chance of winning enough state congressional delegations to elect Romney under America's 12th Amendment. But,

"[S]uch an outcome remains quite unlikely. Of the 25,001 simulations that we ran on Monday, a 269-269 tie came up in 152 model runs, or about 0.6 percent of the time. Still, this probability has roughly doubled from a few weeks ago, when the chances had been hovering at about 0.3 percent instead."

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