Here's a tip: unless he is promising profits to banks, big business, or billionaires; don't believe anything Obama says- especially if it's anything to the left of Dubya.
I got more styles than prison got bricks- ain't that some shit?
The cynic in me says this was all orchestrated to coincide with the NC marriage amendment. First Biden sets the ball and then Obama spikes it.
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Thu May 10, 2012 at 07:46:46 AM EST
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I think Biden's comment was off-message, but that it was a cynical decision in response to that off message comment. The decision was made that they'd damage themselves more by distancing Obama from what Biden said than from backing him up. The optics don't look right for Biden's comment to have been calculated, though, particularly since Obama took so long to come out with this statement, and his initial comments after the Biden statement still tried to straddle the line. I think they trial ballooned a few different ways to walk back from what Biden said, realized that they weren't going to work, and finally said fuck it, we're committed, might as well roll with it. All that said, I think it's obvious that Obama has supported gay marriage right from the start - the political calculation was always him saying that he didn't (and, of course, the timing of admitting that he supports it).
Allons-y!
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Thu May 10, 2012 at 07:51:20 AM EST
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Anything that distracts from the economic news is a good thing for the Obama Campaign.
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Thu May 10, 2012 at 07:55:54 AM EST
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Fri May 11, 2012 at 08:00:20 AM EST
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More than anything, the man can read a poll. Two years in a row with more support than oppose, that's evolution for you.
However, it's not about national aggregate trends, it's about the effects on November by state. Here's an analysis of that. I'm a bit mystified by the conclusion, as if the opposition movement uses this as a rallying point, it could swing Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina from their 2008 results. That still has Bo winning with 277 electoral votes though. Interestingly, there's a ballot amendment in Minnesota for 2012. I doubt Minnesota would swing; Bo won by 10 in 2008, and opposition to gay marriage doesn't quite make that difference according to the available polls. But, coupled with flagging support, it might make the state somewhat interesting in 2012.
the secret to happiness is to have you pay for my cocaine and mountain climbing-p0157
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Fri May 11, 2012 at 09:56:11 AM EST
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Hopey was never going to win NC again in 2012 no matter what happened. It was only a "perfect storm" set of circumstances - exasperation with Shrub, a horribly inept McCain organization in the state, and some congressional contest oddities - that gave NC to Obama in 2008. And even will that, he only won by 14,000 votes out of 4.3 million votes cast.
[I'm not that guy.]
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Sat May 12, 2012 at 05:19:47 PM EST
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Thanks for the idea...I keep living in useless vote states but I should move back to NC for November.
I HAD HAD SEX WITH HUNTER S THOMPSON. HE CAME IN MY MOUTH AND I SWALLOWED IT. I SHOULD HAVE HAD HIS BABY. WE WOULD BE BALLIN' LIKE KOBE'S SON!!
Excellent! Now he's caught up with Dick Cheney.
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Fri May 11, 2012 at 01:45:10 PM EST
5.00 (texan, insightful)
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Perhaps that's why Fox News reconsidered their headline on this story. Especially since Obama's stance appears to be the same 'states rights' position that Cheney took years ago.
I remember a lot of people complaining that Cheney wouldn't have come to that conclusion if his own daughter hadn't been gay. Yeah, well, I never saw the point of individuals owning guns until I moved to Texas.
In a way, this speaks even better for Dick Cheney. He could simply stay mute on the matter, but certainly has enough money to support a nice lifestyle for his daughter, her partner, and his grandkids in whatever part of the world would be most legally-tolerant toward them... and still hop on a private jet and visit the grandkids whenever he wanted. He also has the resources to insure that his kids wouldn't see any disadvantages of living in a no-gay-marriage state; you really think Dick Fucking Cheney couldn't pull strings at an adoption agency or at a hospital to secure visitation rights for his daughter or her partner?
That speech is the sound of a lost election. No amount of pro-gay marriage money would allow Obama to afford 20% of the black vote to stay home this November. I doubt they would vote against him, but decreased voter turnout matters.
As for whether or not the NC amendment is predictive, I suspect that's in the hands of gay activists. The most recent Gallup poll shows them losing a small amount (3%) of support from the previous year. The more they express open contempt for religion and intolerance for opposing speech, the more middle-of-the-road people will turn against them.
Perhaps I'm being overly literal, but before I describe a politician as "supporting" something I expect to see commitment to the issue and steps towards concrete action. With that in mind, I have yet to see any "support" here.
On the other hand if you wish to say "Obama tepidly acknowledges allowing gay partners access to marriage might be a good idea" you can do so without further objection from me.
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Thu May 10, 2012 at 01:18:13 PM EST
5.00 (astute)
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I seriously doubt that voter turnout will be diminished due to President Obama stating he openly supports same sex marriage. Quite the opposite will happen. This sort of leadership has been long overdue.
Below is a paragraph from the 5/9/2012 NYTimes editorial that sums up the Presidents statement as well as any I've read:
"I think same-sex couples should be able to get married," with those 10 words, President Obama finally stopped temporizing and "evolving" his position on same-sex marriage and took the moral high ground on what may be the great civil rights struggle of our time. His words will not end the bitter fight over marriage rights, which we fear will continue for years to come. But they were of great symbolic value, and perhaps more. As Mayor Michael Bloomberg noted, no expansion of rights embraced by a president has failed to become the law of the land.
Where presidential politics are concerned, Romney now must convince us being gay is being a second class citizen. And he nust convince us how in the world same sex couples getting married detracts us from our existence? Another opportunity to conjure up his mystical 8 ball/etch-a-sketch/mommy jeans/severely conservative lunacy.
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Thu May 10, 2012 at 02:19:15 PM EST
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no expansion of rights embraced by a president has failed to become the law of the land.
It's also true that no program to give everyone a free iPad, which was embraced by a president, has failed to become the law of the land.
Honestly, how often does the president ever embrace an expansion of rights?
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Thu May 10, 2012 at 02:36:59 PM EST
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It's also true that no program to give everyone a free iPad, which was embraced by a president, has failed to become the law of the land.
Hey, that's sassy!
Honestly, how often does the president ever embrace an expansion of rights?
I think the key word missing from Mayor Bloombergs statement is "Equal".
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Re: Obama Supports Gay Marriage
Sat May 12, 2012 at 05:22:15 PM EST
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You listen to NPR don't you?
I HAD HAD SEX WITH HUNTER S THOMPSON. HE CAME IN MY MOUTH AND I SWALLOWED IT. I SHOULD HAVE HAD HIS BABY. WE WOULD BE BALLIN' LIKE KOBE'S SON!!
Nothing says "today's GOP" like an unwed teen mom with no relationship with her child's father sanctimoniously lecturing a happily married father of two well-adjusted, happy kids about parenting. - about bristol palin
My liberal friends have covered my facebook page in it.
I HAD HAD SEX WITH HUNTER S THOMPSON. HE CAME IN MY MOUTH AND I SWALLOWED IT. I SHOULD HAVE HAD HIS BABY. WE WOULD BE BALLIN' LIKE KOBE'S SON!!
I have to hand it to this guy, he is an absolutely cold blooded manipulator. As a black man, he knows his supporters will swallow unquestioningly anything he says or does lest they consider themselves racist. 16 years ago, Obama supported gay marriage. When he ran for President, he decided it would be better to oppose it, so he did without complaint from his pliant worshippers. Now, he's gay for pay again because his homo bundlers were mad that Dick Cheney was more progressive on the subject then he was.
So now he comes out and admits that after years of "evolving" his opinion has changed and now he supports gay marriage, again. While doing so, he admitted his intent to lie about his view on the subject until closer to the Democratic convention until Crazy Joe Biden forced his hand early. More power to him, he can admit that he intended to lie through his teeth on an issue for political advantage and end up crowned the first gay President by the slavishly devoted media. Does any promise he makes, other than his commitment to expanding abortion, come without an expiration date?
Nixon was a piker compared to this guy.