So reduce CO2 emissions and instead pollute groundwater?
As shown in a study by the Breakthrough Institute, fracking was built on substantial government investment in technological innovation for three decades.
Guess you didn't read through to the end, thought I'd add that in there for you. Also - while I generally think fracking and natural gas is better than strip mining and coal, let's not forget that there are very valid environmental side effects from fracking as well, and they actually directly impact people on the ground right now a lot more than global warming. State regulators need to keep a close eye on what's going on right now, because nobody really knows what the environmental consequences might be down the road. Take a drive through the abandoned strip mines and culm banks and uninhabitable towns of the anthracite coal region in central PA sometime if you want a sense of what unregulated extractive industry can do to the environment.
Allons-y!
Look at the EIA report. Natural gas production has been fluctuating between 19 and 22 quadrillion btu since 1973. Coal has been fluctuating between 21 and 23 quadrillion btu since 1990.
Pretty much the most bullshit conclusion I've read in, oh, since that last time zyx typed his name. I mean, it couldn't possibly make sense that CO2 is down due to businesses that are running far below capacity now since that marvelous global meltdown brought on my the miracle of unbridled capitalism. Oops, I mean, poor people.
Or that people are driving less to the jobs they don't have due to the miracle of unregulated greed. Nope. Couldn't be.
Gotta be Solyndra. Which btw, cost us about as much as one F-35 piece of shit worthless fighter. And if Solyndra really pisses you off, take it up with tjb's favorite, perfect capitalists - China. Who was government subsidizing the crap out of their panels in order to corner the market. Mission accomplished comrades.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 10:40:25 AM EST
5.00 (searing)
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Natural gas production has been fluctuating between 19 and 22 quadrillion btu since 1973. Coal has been fluctuating between 21 and 23 quadrillion btu since 1990
It's somewhat sad that you believe you know enough about the topic to form an opinion.
Did anyone say the chief reason the CO2 emissions are down is because natural gas production is higher? If you had read the article (and were capable of understanding what you read) you would know that's not the case.
(For anyone who can understand, the reason is that fracking has made gas production cheaper, to the point where it is a more attractive commodity than coal for production of electricity. Natural gas can produce electricity much more efficiently than coal can, so a ton of natural gas CO2 displaces considerably more than a ton of coal CO2.)
... it couldn't possibly make sense that CO2 is down due to businesses that are running far below capacity...
Total energy production in the US was higher in 2009 than in pre-recession 2007. So, no, that's not why CO2 emissions are much lower.
Or that people are driving less to the jobs they don't have...
Must be that, sure. According to the page you linked to, miles driven is down 3%. Surely that accounts for a 14% drop in CO2 emissions.
Who was government subsidizing the crap out of their panels in order to corner the market. Mission accomplished comrades
Yes, how awful that China taxes their citizens in order to benefit American consumers.
Really, really stupid comment from you. Again. At least indecentspeech thinks you are "brilliant." But I guess there's no accounting for why people mod up sockpuppets.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 01:49:23 PM EST
1.00 (mendacious)
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I don't have any sockpuppets if that's what you are saying. I only had one another account and that was 'improper', and I stated already in another thread that I can't use that account.
I already waste enough time here without needing sockpuppets.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 02:10:02 PM EST
1.00 (brilliant)
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Really? That was the most flattering explanation as to why you would mod that comment as "brilliant."
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 02:23:23 PM EST
1.00 (deceitful)
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Your reading comprehension is still abysmal as post #15 was an explanation of why I don't have sockpuppets.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 02:45:37 PM EST
3.00 (brilliant)
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Well, then, tell me: why did you call that comment "brilliant"?
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 02:47:20 PM EST
3.67 (irrelevant, gay, funny)
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If it upsets you that much I will not look at another poster again. By the way, you look pretty today.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 03:15:26 PM EST
5.00 (correct, agreed)
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Nothing here upsets me: it's all various degrees of entertaining since Thalia left.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 02:24:55 PM EST
5.00 (informative)
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Total energy production in the US was higher in 2009 than in pre-recession 2007. So, no, that's not why CO2 emissions are much lower.
If we're discussing gas replacing coal, shouldn't we be discussing electrical production rather than all energy? That went down from '07 to '09 and, while it was trending upward again, was still lower in '10 than in '07. Coal use went down more than gas went up, but wind went up almost as much as gas-- and a much higher percentage up, of course.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 03:11:07 PM EST
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If we're discussing gas replacing coal, shouldn't we be discussing electrical production rather than all energy?
No.
...wind went up almost as much as gas...
Incorporating wind power into a generating system can make the system less efficient and cause increased emissions.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 03:31:00 PM EST
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In what other area of energy production is gas replacing coal?
Incorporating wind power into a generating system can make the system less efficient and cause increased emissions.
Could you site some examples of that happening? The only incidences I'm aware of the system becoming "less efficient" is times when turbines were producing too much energy and had to be taken off the grid. That doesn't increase emissions.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 03:31:51 PM EST
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 06:16:15 PM EST
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 06:37:37 PM EST
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Also wind turbines murder birds.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 08:32:12 PM EST
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That's bad because birds taste good.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 11:56:17 AM EST
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Also wind turbines are a visual blight.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 12:08:43 PM EST
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 12:13:49 PM EST
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I like how circular fields look.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 09:18:21 AM EST
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"If" "in danger of" "could"
In other words: it's a possibility as we progress toward properly managing the grid.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 09:25:48 AM EST
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...it's a possibility...
It is an empirical fact.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 10:32:40 AM EST
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Elastic properties have more of an effect on the speed of sound than the density of the medium.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 06:14:14 PM EST
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In what other area of energy production is gas replacing coal?
I have no idea, but if there were any I could find out in the EIA report. So could you.
Could you site some examples of that happening?
TX, CO, UK, NL.
The only incidences I'm aware of the system becoming "less efficient" is times when turbines were producing too much energy and had to be taken off the grid. That doesn't increase emissions
The loss of efficiency is when, unpredictably, the wind stops blowing. Which happens a lot.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 09:16:47 AM EST
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I have no idea, but if there were any
Exactly.
The loss of efficiency is when, unpredictably, the wind stops blowing.
You don't understand what efficiency means in terms of the electrical grid.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 09:27:29 AM EST
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Exactly
I have exactly zero idea what your point is.
You don't understand what efficiency means in terms of the electrical grid
I probably have a decent understanding, but I don't believe I was discussing the grid.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 10:27:21 AM EST
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Then your comment wasn't relevant.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 10:47:37 AM EST
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 01:12:20 PM EST
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Incorporating wind power into a generating system can make the system less efficient and cause increased emissions.
That's ridiculous.
The articles you cited do not support your assertion.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 02:03:23 PM EST
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A study in the Netherlands found that turning back-up gas power stations on and off to cover spells when there is little wind actually produces more carbon than a steady supply of energy from an efficient modern gas station.
What's so ridiculous about that? The Bentek paper was based on empirical data and found an increase in CO2 under certain scenarios when wind turbines were introduced into a system with coal-fired plants.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 02:30:00 PM EST
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It's blindingly obvious a technique exists whereby replacing or augmenting power production with windmills will reduce green house gases. What's ridiculous is you cite this clearly biased anti-environmental nonsense.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 02:45:06 PM EST
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Did you even read the articles?
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 02:55:35 PM EST
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 03:01:05 PM EST
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I just quoted from the second. The third has a lot of detailed data.
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 03:04:49 PM EST
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wind-watch.org, really. Do you expect me to take that seriously?
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 03:07:45 PM EST
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A simple thought experienement:
- wind energy starts getting created.
- gas generators are reduced from full-boil to simmer.
- wind energy stops getting created.
- gas generators are increased from simmer to full-boil.
Has the c02 in the system been increased or decreased through adding wind?
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Re: US CO2 Emissions Lowest in 20 Years
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 03:14:46 PM EST
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Not gas generators, coal.
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Good Enough for Government Work
Sat Sep 29, 2012 at 01:25:54 AM EST
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Here's the article in question, or a more recent version by the same author. It's non-peer reviewed, and is blatantly political propaganda. To quote:
This article is a shortened version of a report in Dutch: 'Brandstofbesparing bij de Nederlandse elektriciteitsvoorziening' sent to the Netherlands Government and Parliament in August 2012. Parts usually well known to insiders have been left out.
What he does is to take the amount of fuel used for electric generation, subtract the actual generation divided by the reported efficiency factor, and to assume for no good reason that the difference is due to inefficiencies caused by wind power. (All numbers as reported by the government of the Netherlands.) These numbers should be equal regardless of what wind power actually does to efficiency. "Because the government of the the Netherlands says 1+1=3," isn't a good reason for anything.
Peer review exists to avoid playing whack-a-mole with utter nonsense like this paper.
The Bentek paper is from a reputable source. Their business is selling natural gas information, so the bias in their spin will be heavily pro-natural gas, but nevertheless they're a reputable source.
They're talking about emissions of specific coal plants in the Texas electric grid. (The US has three electric grids, the Western one, the Eastern one, and the Texas one. I think that says something fundamental bout Texas.) The Texas has the largest fraction of both coal and wind generation. They look at actual operations during windy shoulder month days, when demand is lowest, and they actually have to curtail baseload power.
The headline said that "pollution went up", but they find that SO2 emissions of the plants went up slightly, not much, NOx emissions went down slightly, not much, and CO2 emissions dropped quite a lot. Unsurprisingly, when they didn't run the plants at their designed rating, total efficiency was down slightly, and instantaneous efficiency was down a lot during the times when the plant was putting out little power, and mostly sitting round hot and waiting.
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Re: Good Enough for Government Work
Sat Sep 29, 2012 at 06:47:28 AM EST
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They're talking about emissions of specific coal plants in the Texas electric grid
And Colorado:
In 2009, the lower number of events resulted in...111,506 tons of CO2 more than would have been produced had the cycling not occurred.
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Ken goes Full Retard
Thu Sep 27, 2012 at 05:53:07 PM EST
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Oh dear.
Did it ever occur to you that if coal production is roughly steady and we aren't eating the coal or living under mountains of coal, well, something else must be happening? Like, maybe it's being exported to, and burned in Europe. Damn, lucky for us it's being used way over there at the other side of the Pond. Safe again.
And thank the baby jeebus, free markets have saved us from green house gasses again. Well, except that free methane is a greenhouse gas too. In fact it is a much worst gas than CO2. But lets not test for that, mmmmkay?
That alternate reality IV drip was bound to make that vegetable patch on you shoulders unresponsive at some point. I guess that bird has already flown
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Re: Ken goes Full Retard
Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 07:20:07 AM EST
5.00 (wondered)
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Did it ever occur to you that if coal production is roughly steady and we aren't eating the coal or living under mountains of coal, well, something else must be happening?
I am wondering whether the "if" and "roughly" qualifiers in your question are indications that you are ignorant, or disingenuous.
Carbon dioxide emissions in the United States are lower than at any time in the past two decades. More remarkably, CO2 emissions per capita are lower than at any time in the past half-century.
How did this miracle come about?
The truth is that the US has dramatically lowered its greenhouse emissions because of the actions of greedy fracking capitalists.
I wasn't aware that climate change was proven to be real. Isn't a little assumptive to refer to CO2 emissions as "greenhouse emissions" and/or lower CO2 as a good thing?
I got more styles than prison got bricks- ain't that some shit?
By the way, y'all, I really should have highlighted this example of the impressive failure of the left:
... the shift from coal to natural gas has reduced U.S. emissions by 400 to 500 megatons CO2 per year. To put that number in perspective, it is about twice the total effect of the Kyoto Protocol on carbon emissions in the rest of the world, including the European Union.
[Emphasis mine.]
I find this whole argument less than convincing. CO2 emissions in the US in the first quarter were down 8% year on year, but around half of that was due to freakishly warm weather. So why all the focus on the quarter which was due to coal to gas generation switching?
I suppose you could argue that the weather was just a weird one-time effect and won't likely be repeated, but doesn't that make the drop much less impressive? And if that isn't true and freakishly warm winters are the new normal, why use the warm winter weather to make the argument that global warming isn't going to happen, as the headlines imply?
The generation switch itself was also mostly a one-time switch due to changing operating schedules in order to prioritize gas use over coal use, so that switch can't be a trend, although the slower process of changeover of the generation capacity will still happen to at least some extent. The reporting on this issue seems to me to be assuming that we can make this one-time switch every year.
So, how did an 8% drop get us back to the levels of 20 years ago? That happened because emissions were already almost flat, which makes reporting them in numbers of years almost meaningless. Why were they flat? Mostly because high energy prices forced conservation measures, which is the direct opposite of the energy price projection made here. If natural gas prices stay low, this will likely increase, and not decrease, net energy CO2 emissions, because it will remove the price incentives which have forced efficiency increases.
So, ignoring questions about the future availability of natural gas, assuming we actually got rid of all coal generation and replaced it with natural gas, would the resulting emissions reduction be enough? Given that electric power is about 40% US CO2 emissions a 50% reduction (this seems very optimistic to me, given that it compares new baseload combined cycle plants compared to old technology coal, and there are many gas turbines being built which are less efficient, and newer coal plants would also be somewhat more efficient, but, whatever, let's accept it for the moment) would cut US emissions by 20%. Is this enough that we don't need to do anything else, as the article seems to imply?
Keep in mind that it takes tens of thousands of years for CO2 leave the system of the atmosphere, ocean, and soils, so anything we add stays there effectively forever. Cutting emissions by 20% globally would just mean that it takes 25% longer to get to the same place. Given the way we're melting extremely high carbon soils in the Arctic it seems wildly optimistic to me to assume that the net flux into soils will even be positive. Solubility in the ocean is almost exclusively by an acid neutralization reaction which saturates, giving a dissolved CO2 increase proportional to (1/PCO2 preindustrial) - (1/PCO2). The shallow ocean eqilibrates almost immediately. There is a flux into the deep ocean which equilibrates over around 300 years, and is still near preindustral concentrations, but this flux saturates and doesn't rise linearly with atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
Barring some some extremely unlikely scenarios, it seems that we are already committed to more than 2C of global warming, and it seems to me that we are now deciding whether we want to live in a world with 4C or 8C or warming. Given what this summer looked like with 1C of warming, which one do you think makes more sense?
Think about whether or not you like to eat before answering.
It must be pointed out: the entire reason we have a c02 problem is because of greedy capitilists.